Boy, John, are you good! Close, your 4's and 5's are upside down, but you
were still right about who they would play.
I think it is funny that ESPN.com has all the western teams together in one
bracket and the eastern teams shown together in the other on their chart.
That is never how the tourney is set up!
Well, now we get on with the fun next weekend!
HOCKEY!!!! -- GO GOPHERS!!!
kam
[log in to unmask] <mailto:[log in to unmask]>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: - Hockey-L - The College Hockey Discussion List
> [mailto:[log in to unmask]]On Behalf Of John T. Whelan
> Sent: Sunday, March 17, 2002 7:07 PM
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: "The Season Ended Today" bracket prediction
>
>
> With just about an hour to spare, I've posted my predictions of the
> NCAA tournament brackets at http://slack.net/hockey/
>
> For the impatient, these were the brackets I got.
>
> 5W Michigan (C) 6E Harvard (E)
> 4W St Cloud (W) 3E Maine (H)
> 1W New Hampshire (H)--+--2E Boston Univ (H)
> |
> 2W Minnesota (W) --+--1E Denver U (W)
> 3W Mich State (C) 4E Cornell (E)
> 6W CO College (W) 5E Quinnipiac (M)
>
> For details, read on.
>
> The season ended today, 2002 March 17
>
> © 2000-2002, Joe Schlobotnik (archives)
>
> URL for this frameset:
> http://slack.net/~whelan/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2002/pairwise.020317.shtml
>
> Game results taken from US College Hockey Online's Division I
> composite schedule
>
> Now that the CCHA title game has been played, all the results are in
> for selecting and seeding the NCAA tournament field. Central to this
> process are the pairwise comparisons among the 27 teams who finished
> the season at or above .500 (in games against tournament-eligible
> teams, which doesn't include Findlay). Those are as follows:
>
> Current Pairwise Comparisons (including games of 2002 March 17)
>
> CAPTION: Pairwise Comparisons
>
> Rk Team PWR RPI Comparisons Won
> 1 New Hampshire (H) 26 .6239 DU Mn BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh
> OS NO RP NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 2 Denver U (W) 25 .6259 Mn BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO
> RP NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 3 Minnesota (W) 24 .6241 BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO
> RP NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 4 Boston Univ (H) 22 .5991 MS Me SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO
> RP NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 5 Mich State (C) 22 .5940 Mi Me SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO
> RP NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 6 Michigan (C) 21 .5826 BU Me CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP
> NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 7 Maine (H) 20 .5882 SC CC Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP NE BC
> WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 8 St Cloud (W) 19 .5947 Mi CC Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP NE
> BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 9 CO College (W) 18 .5824 Cr Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP NE
> BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 10 Cornell (E) 18 .5793 SC Ak NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP NE
> BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 11 AK-Fairbanks (C) 16 .5607 NM WM ML Mh OS NO RP
> NE BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 12 Northern Mich (C) 15 .5568 WM ML Mh OS NO RP NE
> BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 13 Western Mich (C) 13 .5415 ML OS NO RP NE
> BC WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 14 Mass-Lowell (H) 13 .5611 Mh OS NO RP NE BC
> WS Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 15 Mercyhurst (M) 11 .5426 WM OS NO BC WS
> Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 16 Ohio State (C) 11 .5364 NO RP NE BC WS
> Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 17 NE-Omaha (C) 10 .5361 RP NE BC WS Ck
> Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 18 RPI (E) 10 .5157 Mh NE BC WS Ck Qn
> Ha Da SH HC
> 19 NorthEastern (H) 9 .5352 Mh BC WS
> Ck Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 20 Boston Coll (H) 6 .5168 WS
> Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 21 Wayne State (A) 6 .5088 Ck
> Qn Ha Da SH HC
> 22 Clarkson (E) 6 .5048 BC Qn
> Ha Da SH HC
> 23 Quinnipiac (M) 4 .5032
> Ha Da SH HC
> 24 Harvard (E) 3 .4999 Da
> SH HC
> 25 Dartmouth (E) 2 .4823
> SH HC
> 26 Sacred Heart (M) 1 .4806
> HC
> 27 Holy Cross (M) 0 .4753
>
> Five teams received automatic berths for winning their conference
> tournaments: Denver in the WCHA, Michigan in the CCHA, Harvard in the
> ECAC, Quinnipiac in the MAAC, and New Hampshire in Hockey East. This
> leaves seven at-large bids, which will go to Minnesota, Boston
> University, Michigan State, Maine, St. Cloud, Colorado College, and
> Cornell, since these seven win all their pairwise comparisons with all
> other teams in contention for at-large bids. This gives a tournament
> field of:
>
> Team lPWR RPI Comparisons Won
> New Hampshire (H) 11 .6239 DU Mn BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> Denver U (W) 10 .6259 Mn BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> Minnesota (W) 9 .6241 BU MS Mi Me SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> Boston Univ (H) 7 .5991 MS Me SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> Mich State (C) 7 .5940 Mi Me SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> Michigan (C) 6 .5826 BU Me CC Cr Qn Ha
> Maine (H) 5 .5882 SC CC Cr Qn Ha
> St Cloud (W) 4 .5947 Mi CC Qn Ha
> CO College (W) 3 .5824 Cr Qn Ha
> Cornell (E) 3 .5793 SC Qn Ha
> Quinnipiac (M) 1 .5032 Ha
> Harvard (E) 0 .4999
>
> The top four teams in the nation receive first-round byes. UNH, DU,
> and Minnesota all win all comparisons against the rest of the field,
> so they get three of them. The final bye comes down to a choice among
> Boston University, Michigan State, and Michigan, with each team
> winning one comparison and losing one with the other two. In this case
> the ratings percentage index should be applied as a tie-breaker,
> giving the last bye to BU.
>
> The assignment of bye seeds is actually a tricky thing. Boston
> University, as host of the East Regional, must play there. But
> according to the NCAA's Championship Handbook for Division I Men's Ice
> Hockey, #4 BU must be placed in the bracket so as to play #1 UNH in
> the national semifinal if they both advance. With Boston University as
> the second seed in the East, that means New Hampshire must be the
> first seed in the West, and either Denver or Minnesota must be sent
> East as a number one seed. (The documents we've seen (see a recent
> hockey-l post for an explanation) describing a policy change to reduce
> travel seem to imply that the preceding reasoning is unaffected, as
> they say that the "seeded" teams (the top four in the hockey
> tournament) should be placed into the bracket first, and
> travel-reducing considerations then applied to the remaining teams.)
> This would likely make New Hampshire fans unhappy, and the "reward" of
> being bracketed to play BU is likely offset in the Wildcats' minds by
> the penalty of flying out to the West Regional. Nonetheless, it
> appears to be the only course of action consistent with the NCAA's
> published guidelines.
>
> Given that both Minnesota and Denver are more than 400 miles from both
> regionals, either team would be flying to either regional site, so
> there's not much to favor sending one or the other East in UNH's
> place, except that Minnesota might bring more fans to the West
> Regional in Ann Arbor Michigan. Denver, as the national #2, should get
> the more "favorable" seed, although it's not clear whether this would
> be the second seed in their own regional or the top seed in the other.
> So as a pure guess, let's suppose Denver goes East.
>
> There are four teams from each region without byes, and since the NCAA
> is trying to minimize travel in accordance with the aforementioned
> policy, it seems safe to assume that the eight teams will all stay in
> their own regions, which gives us regionals of:
>
> Western Regional
> (Ann Arbor, MI)
>
> Eastern Regional
> (Worcester, MA)
>
> Team lPWR RPI Comps Won
> New Hampshire (H) 1 .6239 Mn
> Minnesota (W) 0 .6241
> Mich State (C) 3 .5940 SC Mi CC
> St Cloud (W) 2 .5947 Mi CC
> Michigan (C) 1 .5826 CC
> CO College (W) 0 .5824
> Team lPWR RPI Comps Won
> Denver U (W) 1 .6259 BU
> Boston Univ (H) 0 .5991
> Maine (H) 3 .5882 Cr Qn Ha
> Cornell (E) 2 .5793 Qn Ha
> Quinnipiac (M) 1 .5032 Ha
> Harvard (E) 0 .4999
>
> Both regionals can be seeded directly according to the pairwise
> comparisons without any first-round intraconference matchups. In
> principle, the committee might overrule the Quinnipiac-Harvard
> comparison because the MAAC is a substantially weaker conference than
> the ECAC and thus the selection criteria are unreliable in making the
> comparison. However, moving Harvard up to the fifth seed would set up
> a rematch of the ECAC championship game with Cornell, so the ordering
> is best left alone. That makes the expected brackets
> 5W Michigan (C) 6E Harvard (E)
> 4W St Cloud (W) 3E Maine (H)
> 1W New Hampshire (H)--+--2E Boston Univ (H)
> |
> 2W Minnesota (W) --+--1E Denver U (W)
> 3W Mich State (C) 4E Cornell (E)
> 6W CO College (W) 5E Quinnipiac (M)
>
> The selection committee's actual choices will be known in the next
> hour or two, but with the reduced travel, the unpredictable decisions
> about regional placement are avoided. The only question is the
> identity of the #1 seed in the East, with the bracket above being
> about as likely as one in which Minnesota and Denver are reversed. One
> other possiblity might be to interchange Denver and New Hampshire, and
> keep all twelve teams in their own regions. However, as noted above,
> this would seem to require that the committee disregard the details of
> the process described in the championships manual.
> _________________________________________________________________
>
> Last Modified: 2002 March 17
>
>
> Joe Schlobotnik / [log in to unmask]
>
> HTML 4.0 compliant CSS2 compliant
>
> John Whelan, Cornell '91
> [log in to unmask]
> http://www.amurgsval.org/joe/
>
> Enjoy the latest Hockey Geek tools at slack.net/hockey
|
