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- Hockey-L - The College Hockey Discussion List <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 21 Jan 2005 13:29:36 -0500
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Ken Butler <[log in to unmask]>
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On Fri, 21 Jan 2005 11:57:59 -0600, John Whelan wrote:

>On Fri, 21 Jan 2005, Nathan Hampton wrote:
>
>> What percent of hockey games are won by the home team? 66% may seem
>> reasonable but it depends upon the level of parity in the sport.

<snip>

>This Bradley-Terry-Davidson-Beaver rating system is
>realized for college hockey as KASA (KRACH Adjusted for Site
>Advantage) <http://www.uscho.com/rankings/?data=kasa>.

Using the figures there, in games between two evenly-matched teams, the
home team will win 0.585 of the time.

This automatically sidesteps the issues of relative strengths of home and
road teams (and so is a fair measure of home ice advantage).

Cheers,
Ken.
--
Ken Butler
Brampton, Ontario, Canada

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