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From:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Wed, 20 Mar 2002 11:51:07 -0500
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Now that all the conference tournaments are out of the way, it's time to
announce the winners of the Pick the Post-Season Tournaments contests.  For
Contest #1, in which the later rounds were weighted more than the earlier
ones, the overall winner is...

     Dave Belfiori

who put up a big 240 points, 21 ahead of runner-up Iyer Venkatesan.  Let us
all pause a moment to appreciate Dave's keen college hockey acumen (luck),
unbelievable prognosticating ability (sheer dumb luck), and amazing grasp of
the complexities of tournament play (it's luck, I tell you, and the fact
that
I finished 60-some points behind has nothing to do with it!)

As for the individual conference winners...

Jay Kryzston took the honors in the ECAC with 50 points.

A tight race in Hockey East came down to a tie between Nathan Hampton
and the
CHODR rating, with a perfect 48 points each.  Nathan won the first
tiebreaker
(championship game score prediction), coming two points closer to the
actual
game score than CHODR did.

Dave Belfiori finished atop the CCHA with 58 points.

Matt Carberrys 55 points paced the WCHA.

Both William Sangrey and Steve Syrett picked the MAAC perfectly to
finish tied
with 44 points each, and the first tiebreaker resolved nothing, as each was
one point off the actual score.  William won the second tiebreaker (total
goals scored in the tournament), coming eight goals closer to the actual
result than Steve did.

The CHA produced a seven-way tie at 36 points among Craig Powers, Iyer
Venkatesan, Matt Carberry, Craig Roberts, John MacKinnon, Terry Casper, and,
of all people, your humble contest administrator.  I won the first
tiebreaker
by picking the final score right on the nose.  (Keeping me grounded is the
fact that USCHO reporter Geof F. Morris picked every CHA tourney game right,
though with a lot of hedging, and would have picked up 40 points in the
contest)

Complete scoring results are below.  Congratulations to all the winners, and
thanks again to all those who participated.

Tiebreaker notes:  The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score.  Thus, if you picked
the score of the Hockey East championship game (actually 3-1) to be 4-2,
you
would get two points; if you picked 5-0, you would get three points; and if
you picked 2-1, you would get one point.  Obviously, the lower point score
the better.

The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of
goals scored in the tournament and the actual number.  Again, the lower the
point total the better.

As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:

For Hockey East, the championship game score was 3-1.
For the MAAC, the championship game score was 6-4, and the total goals
scored
in the tournament was 50.

The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each
game
had been picked to win.


Overall
NAME                   TOTAL
Dave Belfiori           240
Iyer Venkatesan         219
James Edwards           209
Jeff Boutiette          203
John MacKinnon          200
Steve Syrett            200
Terry Casper            199
Ken Butler              197
Andy Weise              197
* Christine Quinn       196
Dan Zeuske              194
Craig Roberts           192
David Morgenstern       191
Charlie Shub            188
Matt Carberry           186
Bill Fenwick            184
* Richard Hungerford    182
Nathan Hampton          179
William Sangrey         179
Craig Powers            175
* CHODR (Robin Lock)    173
Tom Bednarek            172
Kate Belfiori           171
Jay Kryzston            170
Ross Belfiori           169
Carol Belfiori          168
Clayton Hoyt            163
Troy D. Mills           160
Bill and Virginia Krebs 157
* Robin Lock            157
Matt Sullivan           141
Tony Buffa              139
* Christian Danish      132
John Edwards            132
Jennifer Iwen           123
Mark Lewin              123
* Joe LaCour            108
* Benjamin Flickinger    52

USCHO                   203
Higher Seed             219

* Did not submit predictions for all conference tournaments


ECAC                            Hockey East                  Tiebreaker 1
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts
Jay Kryzston            50      Nathan Hampton          48     3-2   1
Steve Syrett            43      CHODR (Robin Lock)      48     4-3   3
David Morgenstern       37      Christian Danish        47
Christine Quinn         35      Andy Weise              46
Charlie Shub            35      James Edwards           46
Tom Bednarek            34      Iyer Venkatesan         46
CHODR (Robin Lock)      34      Robin Lock              46
James Edwards           32      Dave Belfiori           46
Dave Belfiori           31      Richard Hungerford      44
Kate Belfiori           31      Carol Belfiori          44
Iyer Venkatesan         31      Christine Quinn         43
Carol Belfiori          31      Ken Butler              39
Bill and Virginia Krebs 30      Charlie Shub            36
Jeff Boutiette          30      Jeff Boutiette          36
Terry Casper            30      Dan Zeuske              35
John MacKinnon          27      William Sangrey         35
Mark Lewin              27      Tom Bednarek            32
Richard Hungerford      27      Steve Syrett            32
John Edwards            26      Jennifer Iwen           31
Bill Fenwick            26      Craig Roberts           30
Andy Weise              25      David Morgenstern       30
Troy D. Mills           24      Bill Fenwick            28
Ken Butler              23      Craig Powers            28
Ross Belfiori           23      John MacKinnon          27
Clayton Hoyt            23      John Edwards            27
Matt Sullivan           23      Terry Casper            26
Dan Zeuske              22      Matt Sullivan           26
Craig Powers            22      Ross Belfiori           22
Craig Roberts           22      Troy D. Mills           22
Matt Carberry           22      Jay Kryzston            20
Benjamin Flickinger     22      Matt Carberry           19
Joe LaCour              22      Kate Belfiori           19
Nathan Hampton          20      Bill and Virginia Krebs 19
Christian Danish        19      Mark Lewin              19
William Sangrey         19      Clayton Hoyt            18
Robin Lock              18      Joe LaCour              18
Jennifer Iwen           18      Tony Buffa              18
Tony Buffa              11

USCHO                   21      USCHO                   24
Higher Seed             28      Higher Seed             39


CCHA                            WCHA
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL
Dave Belfiori           58      Matt Carberry           55
Ross Belfiori           54      Christine Quinn         51
Terry Casper            53      James Edwards           51
Christine Quinn         50      David Morgenstern       50
Jay Kryzston            49      Iyer Venkatesan         50
Jeff Boutiette          46      Ken Butler              47
Steve Syrett            46      Ross Belfiori           44
John MacKinnon          46      Andy Weise              43
Andy Weise              46      Kate Belfiori           43
Clayton Hoyt            43      Dan Zeuske              42
Troy D. Mills           38      Tom Bednarek            42
Richard Hungerford      38      Bill Fenwick            42
Bill Fenwick            38      Richard Hungerford      40
David Morgenstern       37      John MacKinnon          39
Robin Lock              37      Jeff Boutiette          38
Craig Roberts           37      Troy D. Mills           37
Craig Powers            37      Charlie Shub            36
Mark Lewin              37      William Sangrey         35
Bill and Virginia Krebs 37      Dave Belfiori           35
Matt Carberry           37      CHODR (Robin Lock)      32
Ken Butler              35      Robin Lock              31
Charlie Shub            35      Jay Kryzston            30
Tom Bednarek            35      Terry Casper            29
Nathan Hampton          35      Joe LaCour              27
CHODR (Robin Lock)      34      Carol Belfiori          27
William Sangrey         34      Craig Roberts           26
Carol Belfiori          33      John Edwards            24
Kate Belfiori           33      Steve Syrett            23
Christian Danish        32      Bill and Virginia Krebs 23
Iyer Venkatesan         31      Nathan Hampton          23
Benjamin Flickinger     30      Jennifer Iwen           21
Jennifer Iwen           30      Clayton Hoyt            21
John Edwards            29      Christian Danish        20
Tony Buffa              29      Craig Powers            19
Matt Sullivan           29      Mark Lewin              19
Joe LaCour              27      Matt Sullivan           14
James Edwards           27      Tony Buffa              12
Dan Zeuske              26

USCHO                   51      USCHO                   42
Higher Seed             51      Higher Seed             48


MAAC                         Tiebreaker 1 Tiebreaker 2
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts    Goals Pts
William Sangrey         44     5-4   1      35   15
Steve Syrett            44     6-3   1      27   23
Tony Buffa              41
Craig Roberts           41
Dan Zeuske              41
Clayton Hoyt            38
Dave Belfiori           38
Craig Powers            33
Richard Hungerford      33
Andy Weise              25
Troy D. Mills           25
Robin Lock              25
John MacKinnon          25
Jeff Boutiette          25
Nathan Hampton          25
Ken Butler              25
James Edwards           25
Iyer Venkatesan         25
CHODR (Robin Lock)      25
Terry Casper            25
Bill and Virginia Krebs 20
Tom Bednarek            17
Christine Quinn         17
David Morgenstern       17
Carol Belfiori          17
Matt Sullivan           17
Jay Kryzston            17
Kate Belfiori           17
Matt Carberry           17
Joe LaCour              14
Ross Belfiori           14
Christian Danish        14
Charlie Shub            14
Bill Fenwick            14
John Edwards            14
Jennifer Iwen           11
Mark Lewin               9

USCHO                   25
Higher Seed             25


CHA                          Tiebreaker 1
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts
Bill Fenwick            36     5-4   0
Craig Powers            36     4-2   3
Iyer Venkatesan         36     4-2   3
Matt Carberry           36     4-2   3
Craig Roberts           36     4-2   3
John MacKinnon          36     3-2   4
Terry Casper            36     4-1   4
Matt Sullivan           32
Charlie Shub            32
Dave Belfiori           32
Dan Zeuske              28
Ken Butler              28
James Edwards           28
Nathan Hampton          28
Bill and Virginia Krebs 28
Jeff Boutiette          28
Kate Belfiori           28
Tony Buffa              28
Clayton Hoyt            20
David Morgenstern       20
Carol Belfiori          16
Troy D. Mills           16
William Sangrey         12
Mark Lewin              12
Jennifer Iwen           12
Steve Syrett            12
Andy Weise              12
Ross Belfiori           12
John Edwards            12
Tom Bednarek            12
Jay Kryzston             4

USCHO                   40
Higher Seed             28

--
Bill Fenwick                            Email:  [log in to unmask]
Digicomp Research                       Voice:  (607) 273-5900 ext 32

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