First the regional predictions and probabilities... Eastern Regional - Worcester, Massachusetts Friday, March 24: #3E NEW HAMPSHIRE 4.07 (58.5%) vs #6E Denver 3.51 (41.5%) #4E Clarkson 4.08 (49.8%) vs #5E LAKE SUPERIOR 4.09 (50.2%) Saturday, March 25: #1E BOSTON UNIVERSITY 5.15 (61.8%) vs #4E Clarkson 4.27 (38.2%) #1E BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.44 (62.7%) vs #5E Lake Superior 3.56 (37.3%) #2E MAINE 3.74 (56.3%) vs #3E New Hampshire 3.34 (43.7%) #2E MAINE 4.09 (64.8%) vs #6E Denver 3.12 (35.2%) Western Regional - Madison, Wisconsin Friday, March 24: #3W MINNESOTA 3.66 (72.6%) vs #6W RPI 2.30 (27.4%) #4W Wisconsin 3.14 (36.5%) vs #5W MICHIGAN STATE 4.02 (63.5%) Saturday, March 25: #1W MICHIGAN 5.09 (78.1%) vs #4W Wisconin 3.00 (21.8%) #1W MICHIGAN 4.65 (67.3%) vs #5W Michigan State 3.44 (32.7%) #2W COLORADO COLLEGE 3.80 (57.4%) vs #3W Minnesota 3.33 (42.6%) #2W COLORADO COLLEGE 4.64 (76.2%) at #6W RPI 2.80 (23.8%) And the probabilities of each team advancing to each round and winning the national championship... Quarter- Semi- Finals Finals Finals Champions ------------------------------------------------------------------ #1E Boston University BYE 62.2% 40.5% 22.2% #4E Clarkson 49.8% 19.1% 10.1% 4.3% #5E Lake Superior 50.2% 18.7% 10.0% 4.2% ------------------------------------------------------------------ #2W Colorado College BYE 62.6% 27.2% 11.8% #3W Minnesota 72.6% 30.9% 11.0% 3.9% #6W RPI 27.4% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% ------------------------------------------------------------------ #1W Michigan BYE 71.2% 49.0% 30.7% #4W Wisconsin 36.5% 8.0% 3.1% 1.0% #5W Michigan State 63.5% 20.8% 10.8% 4.9% ------------------------------------------------------------------ #2E Maine BYE 59.8% 24.1% 11.5% #3E New Hampshire 58.5% 25.6% 9.0% 3.8% #6E Denver 41.5% 14.6% 4.1% 1.4% ------------------------------------------------------------------ Timothy J. Danehy Robin Lock [log in to unmask]