Michigan: Has the title locked up and is waiting to see who it will
face in the first round. Will play OSU if the Bucks beat UAF in the
"play-in" game. Will get to choose between Notre Dame and UAF if the
Nanooks win.
Bowling Green: Still controls own destiny, because of game in hand
versus LSSU and tiebreaking wins against MSU and Miami. Only needs a
tie vs. Lake Superior on Friday to finish above them. A tie versus FSU
Saturday will accomplish the same thing. Even though the Falcons need
two points to *clinch* 3rd, they will pick up something when MSU plays
Miami Saturday. If the Spartans win, BG is guaranteed to beat out
Miami; with a Redskin win, BG needs only 1 point on the weekend to beat
out MSU; with a tie, BG needs two points to assure themselves of the #2
spot. BG could have second place locked up Friday night if they beat
LSSU and MSU doesn't win at OSU. BG can end up fifth if they get swept
and several other results go against them (too numerous to mention).
Michigan State: Only needs 1 point to finish ahead of LSSU. Could have
#3 locked up if they beat OSU and Michigan beats Miami Friday.
Miami: Will finish at least 3rd with a sweep of U of M and MSU.
Lake Superior: Can finish second only if: they beat BG, BG loses to
FSU, MSU and Miami both end up with 34 points (with Miami ties MSU).
The only way I can find for the Lakers to get #2 is for a 4-way tie,
with Miami and MSU tying in their game (if Miami beats MSU, then the
Redskins with the 4-way tie).
Ferris: Needs a point at BG on Saturday to clinch 6th. But by then UIC
will have played both of its games, so if the Flames only get 3 of 4
points, then FSU's finish will have been determined. An FSU/UIC tie
would go several tiebreakers to resolve: they are 1-1-1 with equal
GF/GA. Next breaker is record vs #1: both are 1-2. Next is record vs #2
(which could be any of 4 teams):
FSU UIC
BG 1-1-0 0-3-0
MSU 0-2-1 0-2-1
Miami 1-1-1 1-1-1
LSSU 0-3-0 1-2-0
Since the only differences are the records versus BG and LSSU, Ferris
wants the Falcons to finish ahead of the Lakers. The only way BG falls
behind LSSU is if FSU beats BG, which means the Bulldogs will either
win the tiebreaker with UIC or beat them on points. So they only need 1
point to reach 23, the max UIC can get.
Western Michigan: Must beat or tie UIC on Thursday in order to have a
chance to move up. Notre Dame will determine who ends up 7th, as the
Irish play both UIC and WMU.
Notre Dame and Ohio State are locked into their current positions. OSU
will face Michigan if it advances in the play-in. Notre Dame could face
Michigan or the #2 team.
Games Max Hi Lo Points to clinch...
Team Pts Left Pts Fin Fin 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 Michigan 41 2 45 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Bowling Green 34 2 38 2 5 - 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 Michigan State 33 2 37 2 5 - - 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
4 Miami 32 2 36 2 5 - - - 3 0 0 0 0 0
5 Lake Superior 32 1 34 2 5 - - - - - 0 0 0 0
6 Ferris State 22 1 24 6 7 - - - - - 1 0 0 0
7 Illinois-Chicago 19 2 23 6 8 - - - - - - 4 0 0
8 Western Michigan 18 2 22 7 8 - - - - - - - 0 0
9 Notre Dame 13 2 17 9 9 - - - - - - - - 0
10 Ohio State 8 2 12 10 10 - - - - - - - - -
Conference games left:
Michigan: @Miami, @OSU
Bowling Green: LSSU, FSU
Miami: MSU, Michigan
Michigan State: @OSU, @Miami
Lake Superior: @BGSU
Ferris State: @BGSU
Illinois-Chicago: WMU, @UND
Western Michigan: @UIC, UND
Notre Dame: UIC, @WMU
Ohio State: MSU, Michigan
Important tiebreakers:
BGSU > Miami (2-0-1)
BGSU > MSU (2-1-0)
LSSU > BGSU (2-0-0 so far)
Miami > MSU (2-0-0 so far)
LSSU > Miami (1-1-1, goals)
MSU > LSSU (2-0-1)
FSU > WMU (3-0-0)
UIC > UND (2-0-0 so far)
WMU > UND (2-0-0 so far)
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