Friday was a good night for the WCHA (4-0) but a bad night for the ECAC (0-3) and CHODR (1-3). Incidentally, until Friday's games there had not been a single ECAC-WCHA mathcup all season, now there are three. Quickly, some updated projections on Saturday's games: Saturday, March 27: Eastern Regional - Worcester, Massachusetts #1E MAINE 5.69 (89.1%) vs #5W Minnesota 2.42 (10.9%) #2E BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.39 (64.9%) vs #6W Northern Michigan 3.38 (35.1%) Western Regional - Detroit, Michigan #1W LAKE SUPERIOR 4.26 (54.6%) vs #4W Minnesota-Duluth 3.94 (45.4%) #2W MICHIGAN 5.22 (77.7%) vs #6E Wisconsin 3.13 (22.3%) And the updated predictions on the whole tournament, showing the change in the odds since the seeds were first announced. Semi- Finals Finals Champions ------------------------------------------------------------------- #1E Maine 89.1% 55.0% 42.9% (+2.6%) #5W Minnesota 10.9% 2.2% 0.7% (+0.5%) ------------------------------------------------------------------- #2W Michigan 77.7% 37.8% 27.6% (-0.2%) #6E Wisconsin 22.3% 5.0% 2.2% (+1.4%) ------------------------------------------------------------------- #1W Lake Superior 54.6% 31.2% 9.1% (-1.4%) #4W Minnesota-Duluth 45.4% 23.7% 6.3% (+3.0%) ------------------------------------------------------------------- #2E Boston University 64.9% 32.5% 9.0% (-0.3%) #6W Northern Michigan 35.1% 12.5% 2.2% (+1.4%) ------------------------------------------------------------------- The odds for the #4-6 seeds are all greater because they have advanced to the semis. Maine's odds are greater because Minnesota ranks much lower in CHODR than Clarkson. The odds on the other #1-2 seeds are all less because Maine's odds are so much greater. LSSU's odds are so much less because Duluth is a stronger opponent than Brown (and was the only favorite to win). By leagues now the chances at the title are: Hockey East: 51.9% (2 teams) CCHA: 36.7% (2 teams) WCHA: 11.4% (4 teams) Even with half of the remaining field, the WCHA has only a slim chance at the title, mostly due to heavy favorites Maine and Michigan, although BU and LSSU are favored to reach the final in the other bracket. Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask] Robin H. Lock [log in to unmask]