CHODR - The College Hockey Offensive / Defensive Ratings (Based on games through 12/13/92) Last Division I Offense Defense Overall Rank Week Team Record Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 1 Maine 13 0 1 6.539 1 2.567 1 3.973 2 3 Michigan 10 3 2 4.591 7 2.943 3 1.648 3 2 Clarkson 5 5 2 4.699 5 3.073 4 1.626 4 4 Wisconsin 9 6 1 4.412 11 2.873 2 1.539 5 5 Miami 10 3 1 4.812 3 3.463 14 1.349 6 6 Lake Superior 8 2 3 4.596 6 3.335 11 1.261 7 7 St Lawrence 8 3 1 4.224 15 3.152 6 1.071 8 9 Minnesota-Duluth 9 4 1 5.025 2 3.991 21 1.034 9 8 St Cloud 8 5 1 4.326 14 3.346 13 0.980 10 10 Harvard 8 1 1 4.044 20 3.177 7 0.867 11 16 Boston University 7 4 1 3.904 25 3.195 9 0.709 12 15 Yale 5 4 2 4.333 12 3.661 18 0.672 13 13 UMass-Lowell 10 5 0 3.839 27 3.242 10 0.597 14 18 RPI 6 2 2 3.718 30 3.123 5 0.595 15 14 Michigan State 8 5 1 4.112 18 3.538 16 0.574 16 12 Minnesota 5 3 4 4.434 9 3.881 19 0.552 17 11 Denver 8 5 1 4.507 8 3.966 20 0.541 18 17 Michigan Tech 5 9 2 3.929 24 3.487 15 0.441 19 20 New Hampshire 6 6 2 4.416 10 4.102 24 0.314 20 23 Bowling Green 8 9 0 4.188 17 3.997 22 0.191 21 22 Alaska-Fairbanks 6 3 0 3.635 31 3.597 17 0.039 22 21 Alaska-Anchorage 5 1 0 3.216 37 3.192 8 0.025 23 19 Providence 5 8 1 3.947 23 4.011 23 -0.065 24 24 Boston College 4 6 3 4.189 16 4.483 29 -0.294 25 25 Western Michigan 9 5 1 3.844 26 4.211 26 -0.367 26 26 North Dakota 5 10 1 4.328 13 4.707 35 -0.379 27 28 Brown 4 6 0 4.100 19 4.604 34 -0.504 28 27 Colorado College 4 11 0 4.034 21 4.569 31 -0.535 29 31 Kent 4 9 1 3.984 22 4.543 30 -0.560 30 30 Northern Michigan 5 8 3 3.759 28 4.324 28 -0.564 31 29 Vermont 5 5 1 2.647 42 3.341 12 -0.695 32 32 Northeastern 6 6 0 4.701 4 5.452 42 -0.751 33 34 Ferris State 4 6 2 3.308 35 4.158 25 -0.850 34 33 Princeton 4 5 0 3.561 32 4.595 33 -1.034 35 35 Notre Dame 2 12 1 3.350 34 4.824 36 -1.475 36 36 Cornell 2 4 1 2.671 41 4.266 27 -1.595 37 37 Merrimack 4 8 1 3.740 29 5.405 39 -1.665 38 38 Colgate 0 8 0 3.418 33 5.402 38 -1.984 39 40 Illinois-Chicago 3 10 1 2.416 44 4.589 32 -2.174 40 41 Ohio State 3 10 1 3.113 39 5.441 41 -2.328 41 39 Union 1 7 0 2.998 40 5.388 37 -2.390 42 43 Air Force 1 5 1 3.235 36 5.635 43 -2.400 43 42 Army 1 1 0 3.185 38 5.817 44 -2.633 44 44 Dartmouth 1 6 0 2.543 43 5.441 40 -2.898 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Average Team: 4.028 4.028 0.000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Ice Advantage = +/- 0.375 Goals Per Game. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Based on 268 Division I games. Notes for 12/7/92: The Maine Black Bears have slipped a little on their overall rating with some relatively close games over the weekend, but have solidified their lead even further with Clarkson now dropping below the Michigan Wolverines. Boston University is the week's big winner moving up five spots while Denver plunged six spots. Northeastern is still the most lopsided team with #4 offense and #42 defense. CHODR was very successful in predicting the outcome for the past week's action (including last Wednesday's games). Of the 26 games decided in regulation, CHODR correctly picked the winner in 20 of them! Of the six that it got wrong, five of them had projected victory margins of less than 0.7 goals. Of the five games that went into overtime, all but one (Merrimack-Providence) also had projected margins of under or near 1 goal. Please keep the comments coming! Also, let us know if there is some interest in seeing a summary of CHODR's predictions for upcoming games. The numbers may seem surprising sometimes, but as you can see, they are right more often than not! Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask] Robin Lock [log in to unmask]