>(2)  The statistical analysis above implicitly ASSUMES that any one game
 between
>the two teams is completely INDEPENDENT of another with the same probability of
>p=0.3.  Clearly if one team gets blown out on the first night, it will have
>some effect on how they will play the following night, not only psychologically
>but also the Coach will most likely change the game plan.  Thus, the 3 game
                                     ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>series can not be modeled as three independent random events.
 
More likely, if a team gets upset my a close score because they played
flat, bad bounce/ref, etc. (the scenario I thought was originally
proposed), the coach gives his team a post-game 'analysis' (aka: chews
their butts out) and they play a more motivated game in the next two.
I think the western 2 game series regular season format gives some
insight into 2/3rds of a best of 3 game format, if someone wanted data
to 'crunch'.
 
-John Hughes
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[So who do we "Eastern" hockey fans now root for? ...Michigan!]