Here's the "what if" analysis for the four possible outcomes of the CCHA tournament. It appears that the committee may be able to make their decision before the championship game, as they did before the WCHA championship game last year. CASE 1: Michigan beats Lake Superior, Michigan State beats Miami 1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5078 .5081 .5828 2 Michigan 42 32- 7- 3 .7976 .5229 .5182 .5760 3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5328 .5120 .5714 4 Lake Superior 38 24-10- 4 .6842 .5337 .5215 .5589 5 Michigan State 40 22-10- 8 .6500 .5334 .5221 .5522 6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5160 .5452 7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5222 .5155 .5426 8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4786 .5416 9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4987 .5400 10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378 11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5155 .5350 12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321 13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5035 .4870 .5222 14 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4917 .5160 15 Miami 40 17-17- 6 .5000 .5235 .5156 .5156 ------- CASE 2: Lake Superior beats Michigan, Michigan State beats Miami 1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5078 .5080 .5828 2 Michigan 42 31- 8- 3 .7738 .5229 .5182 .5712 3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5317 .5121 .5710 4 Lake Superior 38 25- 9- 4 .7105 .5337 .5220 .5644 5 Michigan State 40 22-10- 8 .6500 .5345 .5222 .5527 6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5160 .5452 7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5236 .5153 .5431 8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4785 .5416 9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4986 .5400 10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378 11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5350 12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321 13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5026 .4871 .5218 14 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4916 .5160 15 Miami 40 17-17- 6 .5000 .5230 .5160 .5156 ------- CASE 3: Michigan beats Lake Superior, Miami beats Michigan State 1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5070 .5082 .5826 2 Michigan 42 32- 7- 3 .7976 .5237 .5181 .5762 3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5328 .5120 .5714 4 Lake Superior 38 24-10- 4 .6842 .5329 .5216 .5586 5 Michigan State 40 21-11- 8 .6250 .5334 .5219 .5471 6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5158 .5452 7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5222 .5153 .5425 8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4792 .5419 9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4986 .5399 10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378 11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5350 12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321 13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5026 .4870 .5218 14 Miami 40 18-16- 6 .5250 .5235 .5159 .5208 15 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4916 .5160 ------- CASE 4: Lake Superior beats Michigan, Miami beats Michigan State G W L T Win% Win% Win% RPICH 1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5070 .5081 .5825 2 Michigan 42 31- 8- 3 .7738 .5237 .5181 .5715 3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5317 .5121 .5710 4 Lake Superior 38 25- 9- 4 .7105 .5329 .5221 .5641 5 Michigan State 40 21-11- 8 .6250 .5345 .5221 .5476 6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5158 .5451 7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5236 .5151 .5430 8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4791 .5418 9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4985 .5399 10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5129 .5378 11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5349 12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4918 .5321 13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5017 .4871 .5214 14 Miami 40 18-16- 6 .5250 .5230 .5163 .5207 15 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4915 .5159 -- Erik