> Except for Cornell getting in over New Hampshire (at least according to > the rankings), I would have to say that TCHCR came pretty close to > predicting who would end up in the NCAA's . . . For the most part, I agree, but let's take a closer look -- at what the selection committee did: West Seedings: [TCHCR] Division I Schedule Schedule > Rank NCAA Team Record Rating Strength Rank > 1 2W Northern Michigan 33 5 4 100.00 60.99 14 > 2 1W Lake Superior 35 3 4 96.60 53.43 24 > 3 4W Minnesota 27 7 5 88.56 61.40 11 > 5 3W Michigan 32 7 3 86.88 55.11 22 > 8 5W Wisconsin 26 13 3 77.73 62.17 8 > 11 -- North Dakota 24 17 2 72.43 63.68 5 > 13 -- Western Michigan 22 17 3 62.61 57.65 20 > 14 -- Ferris State 23 14 5 62.06 51.42 26 > 27 6W Alaska-Anchorage 15 15 4 46.00 43.62 38 The NCAA reversed the rankings of 1/2 and 3/4 as compared to the computer, and otherwise picked the top 5 teams from the west. More about Alaska-Anchorage later. East Seedings: [TCHCR] Division I Schedule Schedule > Rank NCAA Team Record Rating Strength Rank > 4 1E Maine 30 8 2 88.20 58.32 19 > 6 2E Boston University 25 10 2 86.06 61.16 12 > 7 3E Boston College 27 10 0 84.17 59.33 17 > 9 5E Providence 20 10 2 76.23 58.64 18 > 10 4E Clarkson 24 7 2 74.43 45.88 33 > 12 -- New Hampshire 22 11 2 69.50 52.84 25 > 15 6E Cornell 17 9 3 61.46 45.57 34 Here the committee reversed 4/5, and otherwise choose the top 5 teams from the east. Why didn't New Hampshire get the 6th East spot? Faults: fault number one: Why didn't North Dakota get a bid? They compare favorably with Cornell, and with everyone else ranked above Cornell but not picked: > 11 -- North Dakota 24 17 2 72.43 63.68 5 > 15 6E Cornell 17 9 3 61.46 45.57 34 Cornell had a better winning percentage, but a weaker schedule. That, plus politics, must have been the deciding factor. Given the requirement to include an Independent, Alaska-Anchorage should have been #6 in the east, and North Dakota #6 in the west. fault number two: Why didn't New Hampshire get the 6th East spot? They have both a better record and a tougher schedule than Cornell. fault number three: As mentioned by numerous people several weeks ago, the Independents did not have a good year, and numerous teams have a better record and stronger schedule than Alaska-Anchorage. Having said all that... > THANKS, Keith . . . Yes, thanks! I like TCHCR -- and not just because of how Wisconsin is ranked. As for quibling with the NCAA Selection Committee's choices, well, it wouldn't be an NCAA tournament without *some* controversy, would it? --david