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THE SOUTHWORTH PLANETARIUM
70 Falmouth Street      Portland, Maine 04103
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usm.maine.edu/planet
43.6667° N    70.2667° W  Founded January 1970
2022-2023: LX
Sunrise: 6:47 a.m.
Sunset: 5:04 p.m.
Civil twilight begins: 6:17 a.m.
Civil twilight ends: 5:34 p.m.
Sun's host constellation: Capricornus
Moon phase: Waning gibbous (80% illuminated)
Moonrise: 6:55 p.m.
Moonset: 8:25 a.m. (2/8/2023)
Julian date: 2459986.21
"My mission in life is not merely to survive, but to thrive; and to do so
with some passion, some compassion, some humor and some style." - Maya
Angelou

THE BI-WEEKLY ASTRONOMER
Friday, February 10, 2023
On Knowing the Universe and a Probe to Planet X?

I assure you that we will not devote every BWA article to the contents of
Pandora's Jar. However, due to the number of pending questions, I thought
it prudent to address a couple more.


*If we had the chance to actually know the true size of the universe, how
do you think this would affect our approach towards life?*

Such knowledge should instill in us a sense of rapture so profound as to be
indistinguishable from mania. In fact, our current knowledge of the
Universe, scant though it may be in proportion to that which remains
unknown, should already engender in us an unalloyed and imperishable joy
simply because we exist within it. Because we are here: leading lives that,
when regarded in relation to the fullness of the cosmic life cycle, last
only for nanoseconds. Because our ephemeral bodies, fashioned literally of
star dust and constructed through an unfathomably complex sequence of
physical and biochemical processes, house minds that somehow resonate with
the cosmos that gave rise to them.

Some people insist that the developments of the last few centuries, such as
the Copernican revolution that displaced Earth from its privileged central
position and the advent of Darwinian evolution which has revealed that
instead of being masterworks of Godcraft we actually share a common
ancestor with skunk cabbages, have rendered us negligible. That we’re the
accidental by products of a nihilistic universe: cold, indifferent, bereft
of both meaning and purpose. Like Hell we are.

We are intensely alive beings within a prodigiously creative Universe that
not only produces approximately 4,800 stars every single second but is
capable of crafting some of the most elegantly beautiful constructs we have
ever beheld.

Eagle Nebula [Image credit: NASA/ESA/Hubble Heritage Team (STScI/AURA)/J.
Hester, P. Scowen (Arizona State U.)]

If we allowed ourselves to know the true scope of the Universe with its
octillions of stars, equal or greater numbers of planets, and the
proliferation of life within every little niche that is conducive to its
development, we’d recognize the magnificence inherent in our
‘negligibility.’ That we are minute, but fully conscious parts of a vast
cosmos spawning torrents of new worlds and other forms of life without a
moment’s respite. Although our place in space-time somewhat limits our
capacity to observe, our imaginations remain unbounded. If, through our
contemplations we can perceive that which existed during the previously
13.8 billion years that, to us, was a timeless oblivion, our mental fetters
would fall away. If we imagine the dynamism of the present moment
throughout the universe and look forward to the billions and billions of
years of new constructs, to the rise and fall of species on the billions or
trillions of life-bearing worlds not yet formed, we’d want to be fully
conscious to every experience available to us. In short-far too late- we
should be breathing fire every second simply because we’re alive.

*Why don't we just send a Pioneer or Voyager type space craft to where we
think Planet X is and verify its existence one way or the other, once and
for all?*

This “why question” prompts a few answers.

   - In order to deploy a spacecraft to another planet, one needs to know
   every aspect of that planet’s orbit. Remember that directing space
   probes is a highly complex process because the probes are being launched
   off a moving platform toward moving objects. Consider the following graphic

[Image credit: NASA/JPL]

In order for the Voyager probes to conduct fly-by missions at the outer
planets, the engineers needed to know the precise positions and speeds of
the planets at any given moment. They also needed to calculate the precise
trajectory of the space probes themselves, in order to ensure that the
crafts would rendezvous with each planet on the itinerary. Not a trivial
matter. We know very little about Planet X, if it even exists at all! If it
does exist, planetary scientists would need to have a series of direct
observations of it in order to determine its orbital elements. For now,
presumptions of its existence are predicated on observations of distant
dwarf planets and Kuiper Belt Objects whose orbits might be affected by a
highly massive body within the vicinity. (Some researchers are dubious
about the findings.)

   - Planet X -again, if it exists, is moving along an immensely wide
   orbit. Its presumed semi-major axis (average distance from the Sun) could
   be about 610 AU, or 610 times greater than that of Earth. Our most distant
   spacecraft, Voyager 1, is currently 158.8 AU from the Sun. This vessel was
   launched in 1977 and its distance is only 26% that of Planet X’s semi-major
   axis. Even though current technologies enable NASA to construct faster
   spacecraft, such as the Quartz, such missions still require gravitational
   slingshot assists of other planets in order to accelerate to even greater
   speeds. Even if we didn’t miss the target -which we most assuredly would
   since we don’t actually know its current or future positions- the ‘flight
   time’ would encompass the better part of a century, if not longer.
   - Finally…

The image above is of Sen. Bill Nelson, the current NASA administrator. Can
you imagine that anyone at NASA would be bold and audacious enough to
propose a Planet X mission to this formidable fellow?

   - planet’s position uncertain
   - planet’s existence uncertain
   - probability of rendezvous with planet 0.000000000000000000001
   - cost: > $1 billion (based on costs incurred by the construction and
   deployment of New Horizons and inflationary factors)
   - mission duration: 50 - 100 years. During this time, planetary
   scientists would either have discovered it directly or would have concluded
   it doesn’t exist at all. If the former occurred, we’d be fairly certain
   that the billion dollar probe would miss the target. If the latter
   occurred, we’d be absolutely certain that the billion dollar probe would
   miss the target.

In short -too late- NASA has many other priorities that take precedence.