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Date: | Mon, 23 Mar 1992 09:19:10 EST |
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There was one interesting movement from this weekend's play: Lake Superior
jumped ahead of Minnesota with its CCHA Championship. I weigh the league
title games 50% more than a regular season game, so that helped LSSU pull
into #2.
There was one interesting non-movement, too: Northern Michigan failed to
catch Michigan State.
This #4 East seed for Boston University still puzzles me. I guess either
Jackie Parker WANTS to play Maine at Providence, or else the other 3
committee members don't like him. I dunno.
Next week's TCHCR will be fun to watch, as all 4 first round games
represent new connections. 3 of the 4 second round games may be first-
time match-ups.
Keith
=================================================================
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
NOTE: TCHCR was *not* used in conjunction with the NCAA selection process.
Includes games on 3/22/92.
Division I Schedule Schedule
Rank Seed Team Record Rating Strength Rank
1 1W Michigan 31 8 3 83.80 63.34 10
2 3W Lake Superior 25 9 4 83.51 65.76 5
3 2W Minnesota 33 10 0 81.64 60.64 16
4 1E Maine 29 3 2 77.85 47.05 25
5 5W Michigan State 22 10 8 77.12 64.95 7
6 4W Northern Michigan 24 13 3 75.13 61.99 13
7 6W Wisconsin 24 13 2 69.80 60.54 17
8 Western Michigan 16 14 6 66.27 64.36 8
9 6E Alaska-Anchorage 21 7 1 64.18 46.21 27
10 Miami 17 17 6 63.90 65.27 6
11 4E Boston University 21 8 4 61.99 47.87 24
12 Ferris State 13 18 7 59.67 65.95 4
13 3E New Hampshire 22 12 2 59.58 48.74 23
14 2E St Lawrence 22 8 1 59.22 40.43 39
15 Colorado College 18 18 5 59.01 59.98 18
16 Providence 21 13 2 58.92 49.89 22
17 North Dakota 17 21 1 56.78 61.69 15
18 Minnesota-Duluth 15 20 2 56.59 61.87 14
19 5E Clarkson 20 9 1 56.20 40.07 42
20 Ohio State 12 21 5 56.13 66.36 3
21 Michigan Tech 15 22 1 55.76 64.05 9
22 Illinois-Chicago 10 20 6 55.52 66.74 2
23 St Cloud 13 21 1 54.36 63.12 11
24 Bowling Green 8 21 5 54.13 68.03 1
25 Harvard 14 7 6 53.88 43.65 33
26 Yale 12 7 7 47.86 42.23 36
27 Boston College 14 18 3 47.62 52.97 20
28 Cornell 14 11 4 46.34 41.19 37
29 Denver 9 25 2 44.72 62.13 12
30 Vermont 15 12 3 44.22 39.99 43
31 UMass-Lowell 9 19 4 42.02 54.82 19
32 Alaska-Fairbanks 14 17 0 41.35 44.29 30
33 Kent 10 14 2 41.00 46.23 26
34 RPI 13 15 4 40.50 43.41 34
35 Northeastern 12 20 0 39.43 50.28 21
36 Princeton 12 14 1 37.97 40.39 40
37 Brown 10 16 4 36.85 43.92 32
38 Colgate 12 16 1 36.60 41.00 38
39 Merrimack 12 21 0 35.41 46.19 28
40 Alabama-Huntsville 8 11 0 33.80 39.98 44
41 Notre Dame 8 19 0 27.04 44.81 29
42 Dartmouth 3 21 2 16.18 44.01 31
43 Air Force 4 22 0 13.83 39.20 45
44 Union 2 21 1 11.96 42.77 35
45 Army 2 16 0 9.38 40.22 41
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph and a
least squares optimization to rate the 45 Division I college hockey teams.
This method considers a team's opponents, and their opponents, etc., until
all 739 Division I games are included.
In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule is calculated for
each team. The schedule strength can be computed by averaging the ratings
of a team's opponents for each game.
For every game, the teams are evaluated based on: the outcome (win, lose,
tie); the margin of victory; percentage of goals allowed; the site of the
game (home, away, neutral ice); and overtime or regulation time.
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.
Play-off games are weighted more than regular season games.
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