Although I'm delighted to see UMass-Lowell at the top of the overachievers
list, I wonder how valid this measure is for hockey.  In hockey, there are
radically different styles of play that don't seem to be accounted for in
this analysis.  Baseball, from which this measure was extrapolated, wouldn't
seem to have the same stylistic variations.
 
A highly offense-minded team that blows a team's doors off would be expected
to do better in this analysis than a more defensive-minded team that beats
everybody by a goal or two or three.  The most obvious example of this is
Michigan and Lake Superior State.  High-powered Michigan is listed as a big
underachiever because when they play a weak team the score looks more like
a football result.  Lake Superior, listed as an overachiever, just grinds
everyone down but because of their style rarely have blowouts.  The two
teams have roughly the same records but one is an overachiever and one an
underachiever, apparently based solely on style of play.
 
Color me dubious,
 
DaveH
 
HOCKEY-L is for discussion of college ice hockey;  send information to
[log in to unmask], The College Hockey Information List.