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Sat, 19 Mar 2005 11:49:40 -0700 |
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It was far too late last night. I forgot to add a couple of
disclaimers.
1) I am using .003, .002, and .001 as the bonus weights
2) the CHA and Atlantic Hockey champions are automatic qualifiers, so
the projected AH winner is also a Team under consideration.
3) placings lower than 16 are not included, so there are, for example,
128 scenarios where UVM finishes lower than 16th
4) my rpi value calculator does not (yet) implement
"If a team defeats a weak opponent, it is possible for its RPI to
go down despite the win. Starting in 2003-04, if this happens in a
team's conference tournament, that game can be thrown out of the
RPI calculation for that team."
This adjustment impacts the RPI values for CC, Denver, Cornell,
Michigan, and Dartmouth.
It appears that this does make a difference in the ordering. I've
noticed the difference in the three way comparisons between DU,
Minnesota, and Cornell
My values Without adjustment USCHO values With adjustment
RPI rank pwrs won RPI rank pwrs won
Denver .5850 ( 4 ) 23 .5874 (3) 24
Minnesota .5776 ( 6 ) 23 .5776 (6) 23
Cornell .5861 ( 3 ) 23 .5861 (4) 22
team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston College 128 32 70 26
Colorado Coll 128 128
Denver 38 120 98
Cornell 58 66 21 85 14 12
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Minnesota 96 107 53
New Hampshire 15 53 51 68 47 22
Michigan 11 60 86 67 32
Harvard 65 46 89 56
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North Dakota 13 44 53 138 4 4
Ohio State 4 92 146 14
Wisconsin 4 32 91 1 96 32
Maine 118 10 128
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Univ 14 5 237
Vermont 32 4 60 32
Colgate 128 4 28
Dartmouth 92 160 4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan State 32 160
Mass.-Lowell 32
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