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College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
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Fri, 11 Mar 1994 01:56:42 EST
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As some have already pointed out, BU is probably better
off facing Maine in the quarterfinal round than later
on at the Garden.  Some might find it interesting to
see how CHODR quantifies this.  BU has two advantages
in this format: home ice and two out of three.
 
First, let's look at the possible neutral-ice, single
game that might otherwise occur:
 
Chance BU wins:       72.9%
Chance Maine wins:    27.1%
 
But in the series format at BU, the series odds are:
 
Chance BU wins:       88.4%
Chance Maine wins:    11.6%
 
So Maine's chances are reduced by a factor of 2+ and
BU becomes an impressive 8 to 1 favorite.  Of course,
CHODR doesn't account for the Ferraro factor...
 
Timothy J. Danehy               [log in to unmask]
Robin H. Lock                   [log in to unmask]

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