Before we get to the CHODR predictions for each individual game over
the holidays, lets look at the probabilities of each team winning a
tournament championship. The probabilities are based on the predicted
scores from the CHODR ratings. No probabilities are available for the
RPI Invitational because Mount Allison is in the field.
Denver Cup: Boston College 64.9%
Denver 30.6%
Princeton 4.4%
Air Force 0.1%
Badger Showdown: Northern Michigan 30.6%
Wisconsin 35.1%
Alaska-Fairbanks 22.0%
Providence 5.1%
Cleveland Hockey Classic: Brown 44.9%
Colorado College 36.1%
Miami 12.3%
Kent 6.7%
Great Lakes Invitational: Michigan 82.6%
Michigan State 8.6%
Michigan Tech 6.5%
Notre Dame 2.3%
Sheraton/USAir Classic: Boston University 43.6%
New Hampshire 40.8%
Vermont 11.9%
Dartmouth 3.7%
Syracuse Invitational: Northeastern 30.4%
St Lawrence 25.6%
Western Michigan 22.5%
Colgate 21.5%
Mariucci Classic: Lake Superior 57.1%
Minnesota 20.5%
Maine 18.3%
Cornell 4.1%
And the predicted scores in the individual games:
Denver Cup:
First Round - Tuesday, December 28:
Air Force 1.74 vs BOSTON COLLEGE 7.28
Princeton 2.53 at DENVER 4.30
Championship/Consolation - Wednesday, December 29:
Air Force 2.38 vs PRINCETON 5.38
BOSTON COLLEGE 5.37 vs Princeton 2.83
Air Force 1.44 at DENVER 6.21
BOSTON COLLEGE 4.43 at Denver 3.66
Badger Showdown:
First Round - Tuesday, December 28:
NORTHERN MICHIGAN 4.47 vs Providence 2.56
Alaska-Fairbanks 4.84 at WISCONSIN 5.44
Championship/Consolation - Wednesday, December 29:
NORTHERN MICHIGAN 5.11 vs Alaska-Fairbanks 4.85
Providence 3.95 vs ALASKA-FAIRBANKS 5.59
Northern Michigan 3.72 at WISCONSIN 4.06
Providence 2.55 at WISCONSIN 4.79
Cleveland Hockey Classic:
First Round - Wednesday, December 29:
BROWN 5.01 vs Kent 3.03
COLORADO COLLEGE 3.61 vs Miami 2.56
Championship/Consolation - Thursday, December 30:
BROWN 3.67 vs Colorado College 3.48
Kent 2.87 vs COLORADO COLLEGE 4.66
BROWN 3.96 vs Miami 2.73
Kent 3.16 vs MIAMI 3.90
Great Lakes Invitational:
First Round - Wednesday, December 29:
MICHIGAN 5.59 vs Notre Dame 1.80
MICHIGAN STATE 3.11 vs Michigan Tech 2.80
Championship/Consolation - Thursday, December 30:
Michigan State 2.01 vs MICHIGAN 4.83
Michigan Tech 2.34 vs MICHIGAN 5.47
MICHIGAN STATE 3.23 vs Notre Dame 2.26
MICHIGAN TECH 3.56 vs Notre Dame 2.90
Shearaton/USAir Classic:
First Round - Wednesday, December 29:
Dartmouth 3.65 vs NEW HAMPSHIRE 6.31
BOSTON UNIVERSITY 5.06 at Vermont 3.52
Championship/Consolation - Thursday, December 30:
Dartmouth 3.40 vs BOSTON UNIVERSITY 6.48
New Hampshire 3.99 vs BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.41
Dartmouth 4.30 at VERMONT 5.83
NEW HAMPSHIRE 4.89 at Vermont 3.77
Syracuse Invitational:
First Round - Wednesday, December 29:
Colgate 5.09 vs NORTHEASTERN 5.54
ST LAWRENCE 3.37 vs Western Michigan 3.23
Championship/Consolation - Thursday, December 30:
Colgate 3.98 vs ST LAWRENCE 4.15
NORTHEASTERN 4.40 vs St Lawrence 4.12
Colgate 4.34 vs WESTERN MICHIGAN 4.38
NORTHEASTERN 4.75 vs Western Michigan 4.35
Mariucci Classic:
First Round - Friday, December 31:
Cornell 2.05 at MINNESOTA 3.07
LAKE SUPERIOR 4.08 vs Maine 2.76
Championship/Consolation - Sunday, January 2:
LAKE SUPERIOR 3.77 vs Cornell 1.05
MAINE 3.40 vs Cornell 1.99
LAKE SUPERIOR 4.14 at Minnesota 2.43
MAINE 3.76 at Minnesota 3.38
RPI Invitational:
First Round - Wednesday, December 29:
Army 1.19 vs MASS-LOWELL 6.46
RPI ---- vs Mount Allison ----
Championship/Consolation - Thursday, December 30:
Army ---- vs Mount Allison ----
Mass-Lowell ---- vs Mount Allison ----
Army 1.81 at RPI 6.81
MASS-LOWELL 3.65 at RPI 3.39
And a few other holiday games to watch for:
Saturday, January 1 and Sunday, January 2:
PROVIDENCE 5.37 at Air Force 2.22
Sunday, January 2 and Monday, January 3:
ALASKA-FAIRBANKS 5.76 at North Dakota 4.93
Kent 3.15 at NOTRE DAME 4.07 (CCHA)
Sunday, January 2:
NORTHEASTERN 5.40 at Yale 3.08
Monday, January 3:
HARVARD 4.32 at Maine 3.59
Tuesday, January 4:
Mass-Lowell 3.04 at BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.15 (HE)
BOSTON COLLEGE 5.33 at Yale 2.37
Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask]
Robin Lock [log in to unmask]
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