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Sun, 22 Mar 1992 01:46:11 CST |
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Here's the "what if" analysis for the four possible outcomes of the
CCHA tournament. It appears that the committee may be able to make
their decision before the championship game, as they did before the
WCHA championship game last year.
CASE 1: Michigan beats Lake Superior, Michigan State beats Miami
1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5078 .5081 .5828
2 Michigan 42 32- 7- 3 .7976 .5229 .5182 .5760
3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5328 .5120 .5714
4 Lake Superior 38 24-10- 4 .6842 .5337 .5215 .5589
5 Michigan State 40 22-10- 8 .6500 .5334 .5221 .5522
6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5160 .5452
7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5222 .5155 .5426
8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4786 .5416
9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4987 .5400
10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378
11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5155 .5350
12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321
13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5035 .4870 .5222
14 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4917 .5160
15 Miami 40 17-17- 6 .5000 .5235 .5156 .5156
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CASE 2: Lake Superior beats Michigan, Michigan State beats Miami
1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5078 .5080 .5828
2 Michigan 42 31- 8- 3 .7738 .5229 .5182 .5712
3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5317 .5121 .5710
4 Lake Superior 38 25- 9- 4 .7105 .5337 .5220 .5644
5 Michigan State 40 22-10- 8 .6500 .5345 .5222 .5527
6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5160 .5452
7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5236 .5153 .5431
8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4785 .5416
9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4986 .5400
10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378
11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5350
12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321
13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5026 .4871 .5218
14 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4916 .5160
15 Miami 40 17-17- 6 .5000 .5230 .5160 .5156
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CASE 3: Michigan beats Lake Superior, Miami beats Michigan State
1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5070 .5082 .5826
2 Michigan 42 32- 7- 3 .7976 .5237 .5181 .5762
3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5328 .5120 .5714
4 Lake Superior 38 24-10- 4 .6842 .5329 .5216 .5586
5 Michigan State 40 21-11- 8 .6250 .5334 .5219 .5471
6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5158 .5452
7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5222 .5153 .5425
8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4792 .5419
9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4986 .5399
10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5130 .5378
11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5350
12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4919 .5321
13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5026 .4870 .5218
14 Miami 40 18-16- 6 .5250 .5235 .5159 .5208
15 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4916 .5160
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CASE 4: Lake Superior beats Michigan, Miami beats Michigan State
G W L T Win% Win% Win% RPICH
1 Maine 34 29- 3- 2 .8824 .5070 .5081 .5825
2 Michigan 42 31- 8- 3 .7738 .5237 .5181 .5715
3 Minnesota 43 33-10- 0 .7674 .5317 .5121 .5710
4 Lake Superior 38 25- 9- 4 .7105 .5329 .5221 .5641
5 Michigan State 40 21-11- 8 .6250 .5345 .5221 .5476
6 Boston University 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 .4986 .5158 .5451
7 Northern Michigan 40 24-13- 3 .6375 .5236 .5151 .5430
8 Alaska-Anchorage 29 21- 7- 1 .7414 .5047 .4791 .5418
9 New Hampshire 36 22-12- 2 .6389 .5319 .4985 .5399
10 Wisconsin 39 24-13- 2 .6410 .5109 .5129 .5378
11 Providence 36 21-13- 2 .6111 .5164 .5154 .5349
12 St Lawrence 31 22- 8- 1 .7258 .4755 .4918 .5321
13 Harvard 27 14- 7- 6 .6296 .5017 .4871 .5214
14 Miami 40 18-16- 6 .5250 .5230 .5163 .5207
15 Clarkson 30 20- 9- 1 .6833 .4567 .4915 .5159
-- Erik
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