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Date: | Wed, 2 Feb 1994 17:59:42 EST |
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We had the Alaska-Fairbanks vs. Denver score transposed just as Erik
did, so here are the corrected ratings followed by predictions for
this week's games. Followers of the ratings may find it interesting
to compare the correct version here with the one posted previously
that had the 8-3 Denver win reversed.
CHODR - The College Hockey Offensive / Defensive Ratings
(Based on games through 1/30/94)
Last Division I Offense Defense Overall
Rank Week Team Record Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating
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1 1 Michigan 25 2 1 5.15 1 2.54 1 2.60
2 2 Boston University 18 5 0 5.11 2 3.03 4 2.08
3 4 Harvard 11 3 2 4.87 4 3.40 14 1.48
4 3 Lake Superior 18 9 2 4.01 16 2.76 2 1.24
5 5 Northern Michigan 16 9 1 4.46 7 3.29 10 1.17
6 7 RPI 12 5 2 4.69 6 3.56 18 1.13
7 8 Michigan State 15 7 3 4.02 15 2.89 3 1.13
8 6 New Hampshire 16 8 1 4.39 9 3.28 9 1.11
9 9 St Cloud 13 8 3 4.23 11 3.17 7 1.07
10 10 Wisconsin 15 10 1 4.22 12 3.31 11 0.91
11 14 Northeastern 15 6 3 4.71 5 3.80 25 0.90
12 19 Mass-Lowell 14 5 5 4.00 17 3.12 6 0.88
13 12 Boston College 10 10 3 4.44 8 3.82 26 0.62
14 17 Colorado College 17 7 2 4.34 10 3.74 23 0.60
15 11 Maine 12 11 1 3.91 18 3.39 12 0.52
16 16 Miami 11 10 1 3.59 26 3.08 5 0.51
17 20 Minnesota 15 8 3 3.71 21 3.26 8 0.45
18 21 Denver 11 13 2 4.04 14 3.62 20 0.42
19 15 Alaska-Fairbanks 13 10 0 5.11 3 4.82 38 0.29
20 22 Colgate 9 7 2 4.19 13 3.99 31 0.20
21 13 Brown 9 5 3 3.63 25 3.48 16 0.15
22 18 Bowling Green 10 11 2 3.51 31 3.39 13 0.11
23 23 Alaska-Anchorage 10 12 2 3.50 32 3.43 15 0.07
24 26 Western Michigan 13 9 2 3.70 22 3.70 21 0.00
25 27 Vermont 8 8 3 3.47 33 3.61 19 -0.14
26 25 Providence 11 12 1 3.55 30 3.70 22 -0.15
27 24 Michigan Tech 7 17 5 3.33 36 3.49 17 -0.16
28 28 Clarkson 8 6 4 3.78 20 3.95 27 -0.17
29 29 North Dakota 8 16 2 3.59 28 3.96 28 -0.37
30 31 Minnesota-Duluth 9 14 3 3.58 29 3.98 29 -0.40
31 30 Ferris State 10 15 1 3.83 19 4.28 35 -0.46
32 33 Merrimack 5 13 2 3.35 35 4.25 34 -0.90
33 32 Union 4 8 2 3.70 23 4.78 37 -1.09
34 36 Cornell 3 9 5 2.62 40 3.76 24 -1.13
35 35 Notre Dame 7 15 4 3.11 37 4.24 33 -1.14
36 40 Princeton 5 7 3 2.62 39 3.99 30 -1.37
37 34 Dartmouth 3 13 1 3.44 34 4.84 39 -1.40
38 37 Illinois-Chicago 6 19 1 3.66 24 5.06 41 -1.40
39 39 Kent 9 15 2 3.59 27 5.01 40 -1.42
40 41 Ohio State 1 15 4 2.56 41 4.17 32 -1.61
41 38 St Lawrence 6 13 0 2.77 38 4.41 36 -1.64
42 42 Yale 2 15 0 2.25 43 5.24 42 -2.99
43 43 Air Force 4 14 0 2.29 42 5.74 43 -3.45
44 44 Army 1 11 0 1.95 44 6.27 44 -4.31
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Average Team: 3.80 3.80 0.00
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Home Ice Advantage = +/- 0.195 Goals Per Game.
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Based on 490 Division I games.
The system had another average week, correctly picking 23 of the 36
games decided in regulation (63.9%). The season totals now stand at
183 out of 271 (67.5%). Here are this week's predictions with
favored teams in caps.
ECAC:
Friday, February 4:
Dartmouth 3.44 at COLGATE 5.42
VERMONT 3.23 at Cornell 2.63
HARVARD 4.86 at Princeton 2.41
St Lawrence 2.33 at RPI 5.49
CLARKSON 4.56 at Union 4.03
BROWN 4.87 at Yale 2.12
Saturday, February 5:
Vermont 3.46 at COLGATE 4.20
Dartmouth 3.20 at CORNELL 3.85
BROWN 3.62 at Princeton 2.49
Clarkson 3.34 at RPI 5.03
St Lawrence 3.55 at UNION 4.50
Hockey East:
Wednesday, February 2:
Merrimack 3.17 at BOSTON COLLEGE 5.08
BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.23 at Mass-Lowell 3.42
NORTHEASTERN 4.41 at Providence 3.74
Friday, February 4:
BOSTON COLLEGE 4.69 at Merrimack 3.56
Mass-Lowell 3.03 at BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.62
NEW HAMPSHIRE 3.78 at Maine 3.58
Saturday, February 5:
NEW HAMPSHIRE 3.78 at Maine 3.58
CCHA:
Friday, February 4:
Illinois-Chicago 3.05 at BOWLING GREEN 4.95
Kent 2.14 at MICHIGAN 6.55
Ohio State 1.45 at MICHIGAN STATE 4.58
MIAMI 3.84 at Notre Dame 2.58
Ferris State 3.52 at WESTERN MICHIGAN 4.37
Saturday, February 5:
Ohio State 1.96 at BOWLING GREEN 4.07
Ferris State 2.37 at MICHIGAN 5.83
Illinois-Chicago 2.55 at MICHIGAN STATE 5.47
MIAMI 3.84 at Notre Dame 2.58
Kent 3.29 at WESTERN MICHIGAN 5.10
WCHA:
Friday, February 4 and Saturday, February 5:
COLORADO COLLEGE 3.77 at Alaska-Anchorage 3.63
North Dakota 3.20 at DENVER 4.39
Minnesota-Duluth 2.84 at MINNESOTA 4.08
St Cloud 3.52 at NORTHERN MICHIGAN 4.01
Michigan Tech 2.65 at WISCONSIN 4.10
Non-league:
Saturday, February 5:
MASS-LOWELL 5.24 at Yale 1.76
Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask]
Robin Lock [log in to unmask]
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