Before we get to the predictions for the regionals, let's recap
CHODR's performance in the NCAA regionals this past weekend.  The
system was 4 out of 5 (80.0%) in games decided in regulation, missing
only New Hampshire's win over slightly favored (0.05 goals) RPI.  The
season totals going into the final weekend of play are 338 out of 491
(68.8%).
 
Here are the predictions for the final four (sue me):
 
 
Semifinals - Thursday, March 31:
 
#2E Harvard             3.17 (49.4%) vs #4W Lake Superior       3.21 (50.6%)
#2W Minnesota           2.48 (20.8%) vs #1E Boston University   4.48 (79.2%)
 
 
Championship - Saturday, April 2:
 
#2E Harvard             3.25 (37.7%) vs #1E Boston University   4.05 (62.3%)
#4W Lake Superior       2.92 (37.6%) vs #1E Boston University   3.69 (62.4%)
#2W Minnesota           2.77 (31.1%) vs #2E Harvard             3.97 (68.9%)
#2W Minnesota           2.40 (29.4%) vs #4W Lake Superior       3.65 (70.6%)
 
 
Probable Championship Matchups:
----------------------------------------------
Boston University vs Lake Superior     : 40.1%
Boston University vs Harvard           : 39.1%
Minnesota         vs Lake Superior     : 10.5%
Minnesota         vs Harvard           : 10.3%
 
 
And the chances of victory for each team...
 
                         Finals    Champions
--------------------------------------------
#1E Boston University     79.2%      49.4%
#2W Minnesota             20.8%       6.3%
--------------------------------------------
#4W Lake Superior         50.6%      22.5%
#2E Harvard               49.4%      21.8%
--------------------------------------------
 
 
Timothy J. Danehy                    [log in to unmask]
Robin Lock                           [log in to unmask]