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From:
"The College Hockey Computer Rating" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 23 Mar 1992 09:19:10 EST
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There was one interesting movement from this weekend's play: Lake Superior
jumped ahead of Minnesota with its CCHA Championship. I weigh the league
title games 50% more than a regular season game, so that helped LSSU pull
into #2.
 
There was one interesting non-movement, too: Northern Michigan failed to
catch Michigan State.
 
This #4 East seed for Boston University still puzzles me. I guess either
Jackie Parker WANTS to play Maine at Providence, or else the other 3
committee members don't like him. I dunno.
 
Next week's TCHCR will be fun to watch, as all 4 first round games
represent new connections. 3 of the 4 second round games may be first-
time match-ups.
 
Keith
=================================================================
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
 
NOTE: TCHCR was *not* used in conjunction with the NCAA selection process.
 
Includes games on 3/22/92.
 
                               Division I          Schedule Schedule
Rank Seed Team                   Record    Rating  Strength   Rank
  1   1W  Michigan              31  8  3    83.80    63.34     10
  2   3W  Lake Superior         25  9  4    83.51    65.76      5
  3   2W  Minnesota             33 10  0    81.64    60.64     16
  4   1E  Maine                 29  3  2    77.85    47.05     25
  5   5W  Michigan State        22 10  8    77.12    64.95      7
  6   4W  Northern Michigan     24 13  3    75.13    61.99     13
  7   6W  Wisconsin             24 13  2    69.80    60.54     17
  8       Western Michigan      16 14  6    66.27    64.36      8
  9   6E  Alaska-Anchorage      21  7  1    64.18    46.21     27
 10       Miami                 17 17  6    63.90    65.27      6
 11   4E  Boston University     21  8  4    61.99    47.87     24
 12       Ferris State          13 18  7    59.67    65.95      4
 13   3E  New Hampshire         22 12  2    59.58    48.74     23
 14   2E  St Lawrence           22  8  1    59.22    40.43     39
 15       Colorado College      18 18  5    59.01    59.98     18
 16       Providence            21 13  2    58.92    49.89     22
 17       North Dakota          17 21  1    56.78    61.69     15
 18       Minnesota-Duluth      15 20  2    56.59    61.87     14
 19   5E  Clarkson              20  9  1    56.20    40.07     42
 20       Ohio State            12 21  5    56.13    66.36      3
 21       Michigan Tech         15 22  1    55.76    64.05      9
 22       Illinois-Chicago      10 20  6    55.52    66.74      2
 23       St Cloud              13 21  1    54.36    63.12     11
 24       Bowling Green          8 21  5    54.13    68.03      1
 25       Harvard               14  7  6    53.88    43.65     33
 26       Yale                  12  7  7    47.86    42.23     36
 27       Boston College        14 18  3    47.62    52.97     20
 28       Cornell               14 11  4    46.34    41.19     37
 29       Denver                 9 25  2    44.72    62.13     12
 30       Vermont               15 12  3    44.22    39.99     43
 31       UMass-Lowell           9 19  4    42.02    54.82     19
 32       Alaska-Fairbanks      14 17  0    41.35    44.29     30
 33       Kent                  10 14  2    41.00    46.23     26
 34       RPI                   13 15  4    40.50    43.41     34
 35       Northeastern          12 20  0    39.43    50.28     21
 36       Princeton             12 14  1    37.97    40.39     40
 37       Brown                 10 16  4    36.85    43.92     32
 38       Colgate               12 16  1    36.60    41.00     38
 39       Merrimack             12 21  0    35.41    46.19     28
 40       Alabama-Huntsville     8 11  0    33.80    39.98     44
 41       Notre Dame             8 19  0    27.04    44.81     29
 42       Dartmouth              3 21  2    16.18    44.01     31
 43       Air Force              4 22  0    13.83    39.20     45
 44       Union                  2 21  1    11.96    42.77     35
 45       Army                   2 16  0     9.38    40.22     41
 
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph and a
least squares optimization to rate the 45 Division I college hockey teams.
This method considers a team's opponents, and their opponents, etc., until
all 739 Division I games are included.
 
In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule is calculated for
each team. The schedule strength can be computed by averaging the ratings
of a team's opponents for each game.
 
For every game, the teams are evaluated based on: the outcome (win, lose,
tie); the margin of victory; percentage of goals allowed; the site of the
game (home, away, neutral ice); and overtime or regulation time.
 
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.
 
Play-off games are weighted more than regular season games.

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