HOCKEY-L Archives

- Hockey-L - The College Hockey Discussion List

Hockey-L@LISTS.MAINE.EDU

Options: Use Forum View

Use Monospaced Font
Show Text Part by Default
Show All Mail Headers

Message: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Topic: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]
Author: [<< First] [< Prev] [Next >] [Last >>]

Print Reply
Subject:
From:
The College Hockey Computer Rating <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 26 Nov 90 21:50:58 EST
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (87 lines)
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
 
Includes games on 11/26/90. Some notes are below.
 
     Last                      Division I          Schedule Schedule
Rank Week Team                   Record    Rating  Strength   Rank
  1    2  Lake Superior          9  3  2   100.00    80.29      1
  2    4  Clarkson               6  0  1    94.01    59.75     22
  3    9  Michigan               9  3  2    92.80    75.20      5
  4    1  Cornell                4  0  1    91.71    58.20     26
  5   12  Bowling Green          8  4  2    90.21    77.30      2
  6    3  Providence             7  0  1    89.87    53.73     31
  7    7  Maine                  8  1  1    89.36    60.12     20
  8    6  Minnesota             11  0  2    85.11    50.48     34
  9   20  Ferris State           6  3  5    81.96    72.34      7
 10   16  Michigan State         6  5  3    81.32    77.09      3
 11    5  Northern Michigan      7  3  2    79.81    63.92     15
 12    8  Boston College         6  2  0    79.19    59.07     24
 13   15  Boston University      5  2  1    78.85    59.13     23
 14   10  Wisconsin             10  4  1    72.75    55.44     29
 15   11  St Lawrence            5  3  0    72.55    63.51     16
 16   14  Colgate                6  2  1    71.82    52.84     32
 17   18  Western Michigan       5  7  2    69.25    76.52      4
 18   13  North Dakota           9  4  1    68.85    54.53     30
 19   23  New Hampshire          7  3  0    67.51    47.47     40
 20   27  Ohio State             4  6  2    64.70    73.74      6
 21   22  Merrimack              6  3  1    60.37    48.54     37
 22   29  RPI                    3  4  0    59.71    65.34     13
 23   17  Michigan Tech          5  6  1    57.49    61.60     19
 24   30  Illinois-Chicago       5  9  0    57.11    70.25     10
 25   21  Minnesota-Duluth       5  6  3    56.70    59.98     21
 26   19  Alaska-Anchorage       1  5  3    53.43    68.04     12
 27   24  Princeton              2  3  0    51.53    58.76     25
 28   25  Harvard                3  3  0    51.41    47.58     38
 29   34  Miami                  3  9  2    51.09    70.57      9
 30   26  St Cloud               3  7  2    47.48    62.27     17
 31   28  Lowell                 3  5  1    47.43    57.65     27
 32   32  Vermont                2  5  1    40.15    55.75     28
 33   31  Northeastern           1  8  1    39.91    71.12      8
 34   33  Alaska-Fairbanks       3  4  0    38.69    44.79     42
 35   41  Notre Dame             3  5  1    38.35    47.48     39
 36   36  Denver                 1 12  1    34.76    70.20     11
 37   37  Army                   1  3  2    33.00    46.69     41
 38   35  Colorado College       1 12  0    32.73    65.33     14
 39   38  Air Force              1  6  1    32.58    61.74     18
 40   42  Kent State             1  6  1    25.87    50.93     33
 41   40  Yale                   1  3  1    25.56    44.62     43
 42   39  Alabama-Huntsville     1  6  1    24.56    49.61     35
 43   43  Brown                  0  4  2    17.33    49.09     36
 44   44  Dartmouth              0  4  1     0.00    33.51     44
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph
and a least squares optimization to rate the 44 Division I college
hockey teams. This method considers a team's opponents, and their
opponents, etc. In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule
is calculated for each team. The schedule strength can be computed by
averaging the ratings of a team's opponents for each game.
 
The ratings are normalized so that the #1 team receives a 100.00 and #44
gets a 0.00. Thus, the ratings are purely relative numbers, rating a team
based on the rest of college hockey and not on any absolute basis.
 
For a single game, each team is evaluated based on: the outcome (win,
lose, tie); the margin of victory; the site of the game (home, away,
neutral ice); and overtime or regulation time.
 
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.
 
 
NOTES
-Cornell could not hold the top spot, even though they won this week (their
only game was against 1-8-1 Northeastern). With only 4 other games under
their belt, this one Northeastern game crushed the Big Red's schedule strength
(from 11th to 26th).
-Lake Superior's schedule is only temporarily high as they play Ohio State
and Miami in the next 2 weeks.
-If Notre Dame would have won by 2 more goals Saturday night, they would have
overtaken Fairbanks as the second-best Independent.
-The CCHA has yet to play the WCHA or ECAC this season. The first WCHA-CCHA
game will be 12/7 when North Dakota visits Bowling Green. It won't be until
Christmas-time when an ECAC team (Clarkson) will meet a CCHA foe (Western
Michigan). The Computer Rating uses inter-league results and the more non-
conference Division I play there is, the more reliable the ratings will become.
-FYI: In the 221 Division I games played so far, 1792 goals have been scored,
for an average of 8.11 goals per game.

ATOM RSS1 RSS2