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Date: | Tue, 18 Jan 2005 02:04:12 -0500 |
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A favorite radio announcer of mine loves to talk about "good losses".
;-) Guess this should fuel his fire, as a road loss is only six tenths
of a loss! Holy Cow, 0.6! (1.4 wins for a road win ... opposite at home)
As it's too cold here ("below the donut") tonight to take the dogs for
their nightly walk, I decided to see how this ranking would look for
D-I men's college hockey now as we're somewhat past mid season. The
results may be found below, following Charlie's post. I call it
RPIHOME. Column two shows the change in ranking from this week's RPI. A
negative value means that a team is ranked higher in RPIHOME than RPI.
If it's formatted poorly in your mail program, perhaps this URL will
look better:
http://maine.edu/heal/rpihome.20050115
cheers, wayne
P.S. No one has said I've interpreted NCAA basketball's change
appropriately! In addition, I have no idea how the NCAA went from about
68% wins by home teams over the past several years (a value I've seen in
a couple of places) to the 0.6 and 1.4 win/loss values. And, yes, I
know 1.4/(0.6+1.4)*100%==70%.
Charlie Shub wrote, in part:
>The January 3 NCAA news reports on changes to how RPI will be used as
>a tool for the 2005 basketball championships.
>
>Changes were based on a 4 year study that shows home teams win about
>2/3 of all games
>
>They will still use the 25, 50, and 25 percentages, but now
>road victories weigh 1.4 and road losses weigh 0.6
>home losses weigh 1.4 and home victories weigh 0.6
>
>The article also stated that the new weightings replace the added
>bonuses or penalties for road performance and schedule strength
>
RPIHOME Rankings for Men's Division I College Hockey, through
2005-01-15.
Compiled by Wayne T.
Smith
This report includes results from 622 Division I
games.
RPI
Rank Diff School Record win% opp% oppopp% rpihome
1 0 Colorado College 17.2- 2.6- 1.4 74.58 51.87 49.87 0.5705
2 0 Minnesota 16.8- 5.8- 0.0 67.20 54.69 49.78 0.5659
3 -1 Boston College 14.8- 1.8- 2.6 80.50 46.10 49.15 0.5546
4 1 Boston University 11.8- 9.0- 0.0 53.64 56.37 47.73 0.5353
5 -3 Colgate 16.2- 5.0- 0.0 73.64 45.06 47.18 0.5273
6 0 Denver 12.4- 5.2- 1.4 62.38 48.12 49.83 0.5211
7 2 Michigan 16.0- 3.8- 0.6 67.92 45.16 48.41 0.5166
8 -2 Mass.-Lowell 11.8- 5.4- 2.0 64.00 46.70 47.91 0.5133
9 -4 North Dakota 13.2- 9.2- 2.8 56.15 49.53 48.95 0.5104
10 -2 Cornell 9.4- 2.8- 2.8 63.53 46.77 46.69 0.5094
11 4 Harvard 7.6- 4.2- 2.4 51.76 51.64 45.81 0.5021
12 3 Wisconsin 14.2- 6.0- 0.6 60.42 46.09 48.02 0.5015
13 2 New Hampshire 12.2- 3.8- 2.8 61.82 44.16 47.93 0.4952
14 0 Michigan State 11.2- 9.8- 0.6 47.92 51.64 45.55 0.4919
15 -3 Northeastern 8.0-11.0- 2.6 42.27 53.68 46.44 0.4902
16 1 Maine 10.4- 8.4- 4.4 52.50 47.71 47.55 0.4887
17 -2 Vermont 12.2- 7.4- 3.4 60.43 43.58 47.22 0.4870
18 2 Ohio State 13.8- 4.8- 3.4 64.58 41.44 46.20 0.4842
19 -1 St. Lawrence 12.0- 7.8- 1.0 56.82 44.30 46.93 0.4809
20 -10 Union 10.0-12.4- 1.0 45.65 50.70 44.84 0.4797
21 -1 Bowling Green 10.0- 7.8- 3.4 58.50 42.95 47.42 0.4796
22 1 Dartmouth 7.6- 8.2- 1.2 48.24 49.65 44.17 0.4793
23 -10 Alabama-Huntsville 8.6- 4.6- 4.8 61.11 41.44 46.56 0.4764
24 -13 Wayne State 11.4- 8.6- 2.8 58.18 43.73 44.92 0.4764
25 -13 Air Force 11.4- 9.0- 2.4 57.27 45.09 43.04 0.4763
26 -1 Brown 8.0- 6.0- 1.2 53.75 45.34 44.82 0.4731
27 10 Minnesota State 6.4-11.8- 2.2 31.25 55.01 47.26 0.4713
28 -16 Holy Cross 12.6- 5.2- 3.2 67.62 38.50 43.24 0.4696
29 5 Ferris State 9.0-12.0- 3.4 44.58 47.98 45.11 0.4641
30 -6 Niagara 8.8-11.8- 0.0 41.90 49.65 43.39 0.4615
31 3 Bemidji State 11.0- 6.6- 0.0 55.00 41.16 47.07 0.4610
32 -2 St. Cloud State 9.0-13.0- 2.0 41.67 46.35 46.81 0.4530
33 7 Northern Michigan 8.4- 4.2- 5.8 51.36 39.26 47.61 0.4437
34 3 Lake Superior 5.8-10.8- 1.8 30.45 51.39 43.83 0.4427
35 0 Alaska-Anchorage 6.6-10.6- 2.0 38.00 45.63 47.51 0.4419
36 13 Nebraska-Omaha 8.2- 7.0- 2.0 41.82 44.66 45.50 0.4416
37 12 Western Michigan 7.6- 9.8- 0.6 35.91 47.19 45.57 0.4397
38 6 Miami 5.6-10.8- 4.4 32.50 47.94 46.51 0.4372
39 -3 Minnesota-Duluth 8.6-11.4- 3.2 42.50 41.37 47.45 0.4317
40 1 Merrimack 6.8-16.4- 2.4 30.77 47.35 47.05 0.4313
41 -8 Mercyhurst 7.4- 7.6- 4.8 46.67 41.09 43.13 0.4299
42 13 Massachusetts 6.4-10.0- 2.0 30.83 46.83 46.40 0.4272
43 -7 Canisius 10.2-10.2- 2.6 50.00 38.60 43.57 0.4269
44 3 Alaska-Fairbanks 6.0- 8.2- 0.6 35.00 44.78 44.79 0.4234
45 5 Providence 4.4-11.0- 2.6 25.91 47.97 46.52 0.4209
46 -1 Rensselaer 8.6-16.0- 2.4 39.20 41.05 46.27 0.4189
47 4 Notre Dame 4.6-12.6- 4.6 30.00 45.43 44.98 0.4146
48 0 Sacred Heart 5.8- 8.2- 0.6 32.11 45.63 41.46 0.4121
49 3 Clarkson 5.6-12.0- 1.2 28.18 44.88 45.94 0.4097
50 5 Michigan Tech 2.0-16.6- 0.6 11.50 52.30 46.10 0.4055
51 -2 Quinnipiac 6.6- 7.6- 3.4 41.50 38.74 42.96 0.4049
52 -2 Robert Morris 4.4-11.8- 2.6 28.50 44.26 41.79 0.3970
53 2 Princeton 4.6-10.4- 0.6 27.22 40.06 46.27 0.3840
54 2 Yale 1.2-14.2- 1.4 10.56 48.35 45.12 0.3809
55 0 Army 2.6-10.4- 2.0 21.18 44.98 41.15 0.3807
56 0 Connecticut 5.4-13.8- 2.4 30.00 38.75 43.36 0.3771
57 0 Bentley 4.0- 9.0- 3.6 30.53 36.74 42.12 0.3653
58 0 American Int'l 2.0-13.0- 1.4 16.88 43.86 41.51 0.3652
(*) Special
note:
RPIHOME is a ranking that attempts to mimic a variation of RPI
being
considered by the NCAA. It takes into account a Division I wide
home
ice advantage by multiplying home win values by 0.6 and road
win
values by 1.4, thus giving significantly more value to road
wins.
Comments on HEAL, as well as RPI, RPI-HOME and RHEAL rankings, may
be
found on the web
at
http://Maine.edu/HEAL/
Game scores for this ranking have been provided by US College
Hockey
Online, sometimes supplemented by other sources. USCHO's composite
of
all Division I men's ice hockey games is available
at
http://uscho.com/
in the section marked Men's Division I
schedules.
RPI-HOME is available for republication without restriction.
RPI-HOME
may be reformatted or used in part without restriction. Reference
to
the HEAL web site or the author (Wayne T. Smith; [log in to unmask])
is
appreciated.
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