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Subject:
From:
Keith Instone <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Thu, 7 Mar 91 09:26:51 -0500
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Neil asked this, among other things:
 
>I also would like to ask Keith how he counted the St. Lawrence/Vermont mini-
>game in his standings? Did St. Lawrence get 2 wins and 1 loss?
 
Yep, St Larry got 2 wins last week, taking them to 20-12-1. The first win
was weighted 1.1 (10% more than a regular season game), the first loss
also 1.1 and the mini-game win 0.3.
 
So then, here is a breakdown of TCHCR's pairwise comparison of SLU and UVM
for the season (GOM=game outcome measure that I came up with):
 
       Site   SLU result    GOM    Weight   Weighted GOM
       UVM     W 1-0        +12     1.0       +12.0
       SLU     L 4-5        -12     1.0       -12.0
       SLU     W 8-2        +14     1.1       +15.4
       SLU     L 1-3        -13     1.1       -14.3
       SLU     W 1-0 mini   +10     0.3       + 3.0
                                   -----     -------
                                    4.5       + 4.1
 
Average performance is +4.1 / 4.5 = +0.9, which is less than one-tenth
of a win. This +0.9 says that SLU is better than UVM, but not much
better.  As a comparison, for teams that SLU swept, its average
performance against them would be more like +11 of +12.
 
Keith

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