With the CHA finishing its tournament last weekend, we have our first winner in the Pick the Post-season Tournaments Contest #1.
Before I reveal the winner, I need to mention an on-the-fly scoring change. Since it had never happened in the 11 years I've been running this contest, I completely forgot that it was possible for a consolation game to end in a tie. Niagara and Alabama-Huntsville reminded me of this possibility in the CHA consolation, and with 4 points available, I've decided to split the difference and award 2 points to anyone who picked Niagara or Alabama-Huntsville to win the CHA consolation. I'll do something similar if future consolations end in a tie, and if any league decides to hold a shoot-out to break a consy tie, I'll ignore the result of that and still treat the game as a tie -- first, because that's what the NCAA does, and second, and more importantly, because I absolutely loathe shoot-outs.
Now then... the CHA ended with a five-way tie for the top spot among Troy D. Mills, Mark Lewin, Tony Buffa, Craig Knowles, and myself, each with 34 points. Troy locked up the win with the first tiebreaker, as his predicted championship game score was dead-on.
The overall contest lead is currently held by -- and I checked my spreadsheet twice -- me, with a score of 118 points.
Scoring reminder: Three points were awarded for each correctly predicted winner in a conference's first round/quarterfinal. An additional bonus point was given for correctly forecasting the number of games (2 or 3) a series would go. The bonus point did not apply to the CHA, which had no quarterfinal round.
Scoring for the rest of the contest is as follows: 4 points for correctly picking the winner of each play-in/finals qualifier game (WCHA only), 8 points for correctly picking semifinal winners, 4 points for picking the consolation winner (ECAC, CCHA, and WCHA only), and 16 points for picking the championship game winner.
Here is the scoring so far, overall and for each conference. Also included are the scores for the predictions by the USCHO staff (who, it should be pointed out, didn't have to pick all the games at once) and a "Higher Seed" entry, showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each game had been picked to win. Thus, in the "Higher Seed" entry, all first-round/quarterfinal series get picked as sweeps.
Overall
NAME TOTAL
Bill Fenwick 118
Nick Markham 114
Tony Buffa 114
Robin Lock 112
CHODR 111
Troy D. Mills 111
Mark Lewin 105
Craig Knowles 103
Nathan Hampton 102
Charlie Shub 99
Mike Larson 98
Craig Roberts 98
Jim Dixon 97
William Groskreutz 94
William Sangrey 87
Scott Kaplan 82
* Andy Weise 55
* Bob Fitta 54
* John Edwards 45
USCHO 106
Higher Seed 112
* Did not submit picks for all conferences
CHA Tiebreaker 1
NAME TOTAL Score Pts
Troy D. Mills 34 3-2 0
Mark Lewin 34 3-1 1
Tony Buffa 34 4-1 2
Bill Fenwick 34 5-2 2
Craig Knowles 34 5-1 3
Charlie Shub 26
Mike Larson 26
Robin Lock 26
William Groskreutz 26
Nick Markham 24
CHODR 24
William Sangrey 24
Nathan Hampton 24
John Edwards 24
Jim Dixon 24
Craig Roberts 24
Scott Kaplan 10
USCHO 26
Higher Seed 24
ECACH Hockey East
NAME TOTAL NAME TOTAL
Nick Markham 23 Tony Buffa 12
Mike Larson 21 Craig Roberts 10
Tony Buffa 20 Bill Fenwick 10
CHODR 20 Robin Lock 9
Andy Weise 19 Nathan Hampton 9
William Sangrey 19 Scott Kaplan 9
Mark Lewin 18 William Groskreutz 9
Troy D. Mills 18 Craig Knowles 9
Robin Lock 17 John Edwards 9
Nathan Hampton 17 Jim Dixon 7
Bob Fitta 16 Nick Markham 6
Scott Kaplan 15 Mike Larson 6
Craig Roberts 14 CHODR 6
William Groskreutz 14 William Sangrey 6
Jim Dixon 14 Mark Lewin 6
Craig Knowles 13 Troy D. Mills 6
Bill Fenwick 11 Charlie Shub 6
Charlie Shub 10
USCHO 9
USCHO 17 Higher Seed 6
Higher Seed 21
CCHA WCHA
NAME TOTAL NAME TOTAL
Bill Fenwick 27 Nick Markham 18
Robin Lock 25 CHODR 18
Charlie Shub 25 Bill Fenwick 17
Nick Markham 23 Scott Kaplan 17
CHODR 23 Craig Knowles 16
Andy Weise 23 Robin Lock 15
Mark Lewin 23 Charlie Shub 15
Troy D. Mills 23 Nathan Hampton 15
Craig Roberts 23 William Groskreutz 15
Tony Buffa 21 Jim Dixon 14
Nathan Hampton 21 Mark Lewin 12
Bob Fitta 21 John Edwards 12
Craig Knowles 21 Craig Roberts 11
Mike Larson 19 Tony Buffa 11
William Sangrey 18 Mike Larson 11
Jim Dixon 18 Troy D. Mills 10
Scott Kaplan 16 William Sangrey 8
William Groskreutz 16
USCHO 15
USCHO 23 Higher Seed 16
Higher Seed 26
Atlantic Hockey
NAME TOTAL
Nick Markham 20
CHODR 20
Robin Lock 20
Jim Dixon 20
Troy D. Mills 20
Bill Fenwick 19
Charlie Shub 17
Bob Fitta 17
Nathan Hampton 16
Craig Roberts 16
Tony Buffa 16
Scott Kaplan 15
Mike Larson 15
William Groskreutz 14
Andy Weise 13
Mark Lewin 12
William Sangrey 12
Craig Knowles 10
USCHO 16
Higher Seed 19
--
Bill Fenwick
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