CHODR - The College Hockey Offensive / Defensive Ratings
(Based on games through 1/10/93)
Last Division I Offense Defense Overall
Rank Week Team Record Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating
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1 1 Maine 19 0 1 6.363 1 2.366 1 3.997
2 2 Michigan 13 4 2 4.885 3 3.071 4 1.813
3 5 Boston University 12 4 2 4.717 4 2.927 2 1.790
4 10 Harvard 12 1 1 4.684 6 2.981 3 1.703
5 4 Lake Superior 10 5 4 4.597 8 3.195 6 1.402
6 7 Wisconsin 12 7 1 4.706 5 3.308 9 1.397
7 6 Miami 13 6 3 4.619 7 3.300 8 1.319
8 3 Clarkson 6 7 3 4.332 14 3.088 5 1.244
9 8 Minnesota-Duluth 14 5 1 4.916 2 3.793 18 1.123
10 11 Yale 8 4 2 4.467 10 3.491 12 0.976
11 14 St Cloud 10 7 1 3.995 19 3.342 11 0.653
12 9 St Lawrence 9 5 2 4.124 16 3.523 14 0.601
13 13 Michigan State 9 7 1 3.832 27 3.323 10 0.509
14 19 Michigan Tech 9 11 2 4.007 18 3.587 16 0.419
15 15 Bowling Green 10 13 0 4.342 13 3.926 23 0.416
16 12 RPI 7 5 3 3.611 31 3.289 7 0.322
17 18 UMass-Lowell 12 8 0 3.843 26 3.532 15 0.311
18 17 Minnesota 9 6 5 4.161 15 3.856 20 0.305
19 24 New Hampshire 10 7 2 4.414 12 4.240 27 0.174
20 16 Alaska-Fairbanks 7 6 0 3.982 21 3.821 19 0.161
21 20 Ferris State 8 7 3 3.603 32 3.494 13 0.109
22 21 Providence 9 9 2 3.989 20 3.918 22 0.071
23 22 Western Michigan 11 7 1 3.916 23 3.861 21 0.054
24 26 Brown 5 7 2 4.576 9 4.548 34 0.028
25 23 Denver 10 9 1 3.973 22 4.058 24 -0.085
26 25 Kent 6 9 3 4.025 17 4.217 25 -0.192
27 27 Northeastern 7 9 1 4.452 11 5.101 40 -0.649
28 29 Boston College 5 9 4 3.636 30 4.380 30 -0.744
29 28 North Dakota 8 13 1 3.859 24 4.679 36 -0.820
30 33 Princeton 4 8 1 3.297 34 4.238 26 -0.941
31 32 Northern Michigan 8 11 3 3.440 33 4.394 31 -0.953
32 31 Colorado College 4 15 0 3.850 25 4.955 39 -1.105
33 34 Notre Dame 5 13 1 3.170 35 4.330 29 -1.160
34 30 Vermont 5 9 2 2.573 41 3.779 17 -1.206
35 36 Cornell 3 7 1 2.833 40 4.255 28 -1.421
36 38 Colgate 1 9 2 3.830 28 5.274 41 -1.444
37 35 Merrimack 5 10 2 3.715 29 5.367 42 -1.651
38 41 Illinois-Chicago 5 12 1 2.834 39 4.495 33 -1.661
39 40 Dartmouth 5 7 0 2.949 38 4.683 37 -1.734
40 39 Ohio State 4 13 1 3.021 37 4.928 38 -1.906
41 37 Alaska-Anchorage 5 7 1 2.403 43 4.406 32 -2.003
42 42 Union 2 9 0 2.415 42 4.557 35 -2.142
43 43 Army 2 3 0 3.131 36 5.626 44 -2.495
44 44 Air Force 1 9 1 2.327 44 5.508 43 -3.181
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Average Team: 3.956 3.956 0.000
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Home Ice Advantage = +/- 0.375 Goals Per Game.
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Based on 374 Division I games.
Notes for 1/10/93:
The past week's action mostly involved intra-league play but there
was plenty of movement in the rating anyway. The big winner is
easily the Harvard Crimson, who took a pair of games against two
highly-ranked opponents on the road by a combined score of 14-5. The
Crimson vault six spots to #4 while two of the biggest losers are
their victims, Clarkson and St. Lawrence, both of which tied Brown as
well. The Golden Knights plummet five spots while the Saints fall
three. Other big winners are BU, St Cloud, Michigan Tech, New
Hampshire, Princeton, and Illinois-Chicago. Losers include RPI,
Fairbanks, Vermont, and Anchorage. The "upset of the week" would
appear to be Illinois-Chicago's 6-4 victory over Michigan, who was
favored by 3.2 goals. Also, SLU was favored by 0.9 goals over
Harvard and lost by 6.
Looking back on last week's action, the system again performed quite
well. Giving ourselves half a win in a few cases that were ties with
close predictions, the system went 26-13. Alot of the misses came in
the ECAC where home teams were favored in every game except Union,
who beat Princeton anyway. Highlighting a few games we had a
prediction of 4.09-4.74, actual 4-5 for Colgate-Dartmouth, predicted
4.11-4.58, actual 4-5 for ND-NMU, and predicted 3.55-3.40, actual 4-3
for Wisconsin-Fairbanks. The system predicted a virtual deadlock in
the Minn vs. Duluth series, which ended 9-9 in total goals, each team
going 1-1 with 1 overtime game.
And this week only, we have an early preview of upcoming action due
to several games early in the week including a Monday matchup in the
CCHA.
We begin in the east where we finish up non-conference action for the
season except for the independents and the Beanpot. Yale hosts BC
early in the week while a four-year, four-school agreement kicks in
this weekend with Maine and Providence hosting the visitors from the
North Country.
Tuesday, January 12:
Boston College 2.77 at YALE 5.24
Friday, January 15 and Saturday, January 16:
Clarkson 2.34 at MAINE 5.84
St Lawrence 3.68 at PROVIDENCE 3.90
A disorganized schedule in the ECAC this week as Colgate and Cornell
meet for the first of their two matchups midweek then each hosts Air
Force on the weekend in non-conference games while several other
teams tie up some loose ends.
Wednesday, January 13:
Colgate 3.73 at CORNELL 4.50
Friday, January 15:
Dartmouth 3.14 at BROWN 5.65
HARVARD 4.88 at Union 1.79
Air Force 2.22 at CORNELL 4.73
Saturday, January 16:
Air Force 3.24 at COLGATE 5.73
Sunday, January 17:
Dartmouth 3.15 at UNION 3.49
Remember when Maine and Providence finished their season series in
the second week of the season? Now we know why. While they host
Clarkson and SLU respectively, the rest of Hockey East will be
involved in home-and-home series this weekend.
Friday, January 15:
BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.74 at Boston College 2.95
UMASS-LOWELL 4.85 at Merrimack 3.64
NEW HAMPSHIRE 5.16 at Northeastern 5.08
Saturday, January 16:
Boston College 2.20 at BOSTON UNIVERSITY 5.49
Merrimack 2.89 at UMASS-LOWELL 5.60
Northeastern 4.33 at NEW HAMPSHIRE 5.91
The CCHA features the Monday night matchup we mentioned and a full
schedule this weekend as Alaska-Fairbanks takes its show on the road
for the first time this season.
Monday, January 11:
Michigan State 2.67 at LAKE SUPERIOR 4.31
Friday, January 15:
Ferris State 2.44 at LAKE SUPERIOR 4.48
KENT 4.16 at Illinois-Chicago 3.44
MIAMI 4.59 at Notre Dame 2.86
Ohio State 1.73 at MICHIGAN 6.20
Western Michigan 3.48 at BOWLING GREEN 4.59
Alaska-Fairbanks 2.95 at MICHIGAN STATE 4.04
Saturday, January 16:
Ferris State 2.44 at LAKE SUPERIOR 4.48
MIAMI 4.75 at Illinois-Chicago 2.53
KENT 4.00 at Notre Dame 3.78
Bowling Green 3.05 at MICHIGAN 5.20
Ohio State 2.52 at WESTERN MICHIGAN 5.23
Alaska-Fairbanks 2.95 at MICHIGAN STATE 4.04
If nothing else seems organized this week, the WCHA certainly is,
featuring identical schedules for both nights of the weekend.
Friday, January 15 and Saturday, January 16:
Colorado College 2.83 at ST CLOUD 5.34
Denver 3.41 at MINNESOTA-DULUTH 5.37
Northern Michigan 2.94 at MINNESOTA 4.95
WISCONSIN 5.03 at North Dakota 3.56
Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask]
Robin H. Lock [log in to unmask]
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