Subject: | |
From: | |
Reply To: | |
Date: | Sun, 7 Nov 2010 23:54:04 -0500 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
Parts/Attachments: |
|
|
I have posted computer ratings for both Men and Women Division I college
hockey. I will include ratings for division III programs once more data
is available. The ratings are calculated using a least-squares fit to
game outcomes as a measure of how much better the winning team is that
the losing team. The version 4.0 GOM (Game Outcome Metric) is
calculated as follows:
up to 4 points for margin of victory
up to 3 points for holding the losing team below 3 goals
a 3 point bonus for winning a game in regulation.
A tie will result in a GOM of 0, indicating that the teams are even for
the game. An overtime win results in a GOM of 1. The results for
Division I Men's Hockey (for games through November 6, 2010) are given
below:
TFS 4.0 - College Hockey
NCAA Division I (Men)
School Record Rating Schedule
------ ------ ------ --------
1) Yale ( 4 - 0 - 0) 30.718 23.968
2) Nebraska-Omaha ( 7 - 1 - 0) 30.449 25.699
3) Wisconsin ( 6 - 2 - 2) 29.471 25.271
4) Boston University ( 6 - 0 - 2) 29.289 25.164
5) Michigan ( 5 - 2 - 3) 29.180 27.180
6) Miami ( 5 - 2 - 3) 28.948 26.148
7) Notre Dame ( 6 - 2 - 1) 28.616 25.727
8) New Hampshire ( 4 - 1 - 2) 28.578 26.007
9) Maine ( 4 - 1 - 3) 28.489 26.239
10) Boston College ( 5 - 3 - 0) 28.221 25.846
11) Alaska ( 6 - 3 - 1) 28.068 25.868
12) Western Michigan ( 6 - 2 - 2) 27.932 25.732
13) Ferris State ( 5 - 3 - 2) 27.777 25.977
14) Michigan State ( 3 - 2 - 3) 27.606 26.606
15) Union ( 6 - 1 - 3) 27.537 23.737
16) Harvard ( 1 - 1 - 0) 27.165 26.665
17) Minnesota Duluth ( 7 - 1 - 2) 27.113 24.213
18) Minnesota ( 5 - 4 - 1) 26.805 26.505
19) North Dakota ( 5 - 4 - 1) 26.748 26.048
20) Denver ( 4 - 4 - 2) 26.412 26.512
21) Merrimack ( 2 - 2 - 2) 26.091 25.758
22) Connecticut ( 2 - 1 - 3) 25.967 25.801
23) Michigan Tech ( 3 - 2 - 2) 25.804 25.661
24) Rensselaer ( 4 - 2 - 3) 25.792 24.347
25) Ohio State ( 4 - 5 - 0) 25.416 24.749
26) St. Cloud State ( 4 - 5 - 1) 25.273 25.373
27) Canisius ( 4 - 4 - 2) 25.227 23.627
28) Colorado College ( 4 - 5 - 1) 24.725 25.525
29) Northern Michigan ( 3 - 5 - 1) 24.698 26.254
30) Quinnipiac ( 4 - 3 - 1) 24.688 24.938
31) Robert Morris ( 6 - 2 - 0) 24.541 20.666
32) Providence ( 3 - 4 - 2) 24.421 24.754
33) Lake Superior ( 3 - 5 - 2) 24.417 26.317
34) Dartmouth ( 1 - 2 - 1) 24.415 26.665
35) St. Lawrence ( 2 - 4 - 3) 24.401 25.290
36) Niagara ( 3 - 3 - 2) 24.320 24.570
37) Clarkson ( 4 - 3 - 2) 24.278 24.055
38) Brown ( 1 - 2 - 1) 24.157 25.157
39) Bowling Green ( 4 - 6 - 0) 23.916 26.416
40) Minnesota State ( 2 - 4 - 4) 23.435 25.535
41) Vermont ( 0 - 3 - 3) 23.396 25.729
42) Bemidji State ( 1 - 4 - 1) 23.045 26.378
43) Colgate ( 2 - 3 - 1) 22.864 23.031
44) Mercyhurst ( 1 - 4 - 1) 22.809 25.475
45) Princeton ( 1 - 3 - 0) 22.612 25.862
46) Massachusetts ( 0 - 5 - 2) 22.609 26.181
47) UMass Lowell ( 2 - 6 - 2) 22.549 26.049
48) RIT ( 2 - 4 - 1) 22.475 25.475
49) Alaska Anchorage ( 1 - 5 - 2) 22.296 24.796
50) Army ( 2 - 4 - 0) 22.233 23.900
51) Cornell ( 1 - 3 - 0) 22.183 24.933
52) Northeastern ( 1 - 5 - 2) 22.017 24.642
53) Alab-Huntsville ( 1 - 8 - 1) 21.937 26.837
54) Bentley ( 2 - 3 - 1) 21.748 23.248
55) Holy Cross ( 4 - 4 - 0) 21.504 24.004
56) Sacred Heart ( 1 - 5 - 1) 18.438 23.723
57) Air Force ( 1 - 5 - 0) 18.260 21.593
58) American Int'l ( 1 - 5 - 0) 15.924 20.924
Average GOM = 5.162
Std. Dev. = 4.806
These ratings are based on 229 games played.
45 of the games were upset victories.
If you are interested, the ratings are available at
http://minkeynet.net/~pfleming/fcfcr/ . Enjoy!
--
-- Patrick E. Fleming
-- Minkey, Inc.
-- [log in to unmask]
|
|
|