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| Date: | Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:40:08 -0700 |
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i've run all 128 scenarios that don't involve ties in the consolation
games tomorrow and, without the bonuses, I can pretty much predict the
field
14 teams are in for certain
the MAAC champion will be in
the 16th them will be St. Cloud unless....
CC wins
Dartmouth wins
MSU mankato wins
Mercyhurst wins
michigan wins
and either cornell or ohio state wins
if that happens Providence will be in
# 1 seeds will be
CC, Cornell, UNH and either maine or minnesota
# 2 seeds will be
BU, Ferris state, maine/minnesota, and BC/michigan
# 3 seeds are wide open
BC/michigan and 3 of (ohio state, mankato, north dakota, harvard)
# 4 seeds will be
the MAAC team, Wayne State, one of (ohio state, mankato, north
dakota, harvard) and (believe it or not) St. Cloud or providence
(most likely St. cloud)
so i count
1 MAAC
1 CHA
2 ECAC
3 CCHA
4/5 HE
5/5 WCHA
number of scenarios in which pwr rank is 1-15
team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
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Colorado College 96 32
Cornell 32 51 29 16
New Hampshire 13 67 48
Maine 64 16 32 16
Boston University 112 16
Minnesota 32 32 48 16
Ferris State 32 96
Boston College 96 32
Michigan 32 96
Ohio State 32 46 18 18 4 10
MSU-Mankato 8 29 33 58
North Dakota 18 41 45 24
Harvard 24 40 32 28 4
St. Cloud State 14 111 3
Providence 3 125
charlie shub University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
[log in to unmask] http://cs.uccs.edu/~cdash
(719) 262-3492 (fax) 262-3369
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