i've run all 128 scenarios that don't involve ties in the consolation
games and, without the bonuses,

# 1 seeds will be
  CC, Cornell, UNH and either maine or minnesota
# 2 seeds will be
  BU, Ferris state, maine/minnesota, and BC/michigan
# 3 seeds are wide open
  BC/michigan  and 3 of (ohio state, mankato, north dakota, harvard)
# 4 seeds will be
  the MAAC team, Wayne State, one of (ohio state, mankato, north
  dakota, harvard) and (believe it or not) St. Cloud or providence
  (most likely St. cloud)


                  number of scenarios in which pwr rank is 1-16
    team          1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colorado College 96  32
Cornell          32  51  29  16
New Hampshire        13  67  48
Maine                        64  16  32  16
Boston University               112  16
Minnesota            32  32          48  16
Ferris State                         32  96
Boston College                               96      32
Michigan                                     32  96
Ohio State                                       32  46  18  18   4  10
MSU-Mankato                                           8  29  33  58
North Dakota                                         18  41  45  24
Harvard                                              24  40  32  28   4
St. Cloud State                                                  14 111   3
Providence                                                            3 125
Michigan State                                                               94
Dartmouth                                                                    12
Denver                                                                       22

charlie shub   University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
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(719) 262-3492                  (fax) 262-3369