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From:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
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- Hockey-L - The College Hockey Discussion List <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 23 Mar 2008 23:13:43 -0400
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With the conference post-season tournaments over and the NCAA tournament
almost upon us, it's time to announce the winners of the Pick the
Post-Season Tournament contests.  For Contest #1, in which the later rounds
were weighted more than the earlier ones, the overall winner, for the
second year in a row, is...

     Nick Markham

whose total of 200 beat runner-up Wayne Smith by five points.
Congratulations again, Nick, on your extremely refined prognosticating
skills and -- aah, you lucky son-OF-A -- oops, excuse me.  Anyway, well done.

As for the individual conference winners...

The ECACH title went to the only person with the nerve to pick Princeton to
win it all:  yours truly, with 39 points.  And if that doesn't convince you
of the role that blind luck plays in this contest, well, I don't know what
will :-)

Mike Larson finished atop the Hockey East standings with 44 points.

The CCHA saw a tie for the top spot between Nick Markham and Wayne Smith,
with 58 points each.  The first tiebreaker, championship game score,
resolved nothing, but Nick took the title with the second tiebreaker, as
his predicted total number of goals in the tournament was 13 points closer
to the real total.

Tony Buffa won the WCHA race with 47 points, on the strength of being the
only person to pick Denver to win it all.

From last week's update, Nick Markham's 42 points were good enough to win
the Atlantic Hockey race, while Robin Lock took the CHA in a tiebreaker
with 36 points.

Complete scoring results are below.  Congratulations to all the winners,
and thanks again to all those who participated.

Tiebreaker notes:  The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score.  Thus, if you
picked the score of the ECAC championship game (actually 4-1) to be 3-2,
you would get two points; if you picked 1-0, you would get four points; and
if you picked 6-4, you would get five points.  Obviously, the lower the
point score the better.

The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of
goals scored in the entire tournament and the actual number.  Again, the
lower the point total the better.

As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:

For the CCHA, the championship game score was 2-1 and the total goals
scored in the tournament was 148.
For the CHA (from last week), the championship game score was 3-2 and the
total goals scored in the tournament was 23.

The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each
game had been picked to win.


OVERALL
NAME                   TOTAL
Nick Markham            200
Wayne Smith             195
Scott Kaplan            193
Bill Fenwick            171
Nathan Hampton          157
Tony Buffa              153
William Sangrey         152
Troy D. Mills           149
John Edwards            145
Craig Roberts           143
Andy Weise              140
Jim Dixon               137
Mark Lewin              133
Craig Knowles           121
Charlie Shub            119
* Mike Larson            79
* Robin Lock             65

USCHO                   193
Higher Seed             152

* Did not submit picks for all conferences


ECAC                            Hockey East
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL
Bill Fenwick            39      Mike Larson             44
Nick Markham            34      Nathan Hampton          38
William Sangrey         32      Scott Kaplan            35
Troy D. Mills           32      Jim Dixon               22
Scott Kaplan            30      Wayne Smith             22
Mark Lewin              29      Craig Roberts           20
Jim Dixon               28      Craig Knowles           19
Craig Roberts           27      John Edwards            18
Nathan Hampton          26      Charlie Shub            18
John Edwards            26      Bill Fenwick            18
Andy Weise              26      Nick Markham            18
Wayne Smith             25      William Sangrey         15
Charlie Shub            24      Robin Lock              15
Tony Buffa              17      Troy D. Mills           14
Craig Knowles           13      Mark Lewin              13
                                Andy Weise              11
USCHO                   40      Tony Buffa              11
Higher Seed             28
                                USCHO                   15
                                Higher Seed             14


CCHA                         Tiebreaker 1 Tiebreaker 2
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts    Goals Pts
Nick Markham            58     3-2   2      123   25
Wayne Smith             58     1-0   2      110   38
Scott Kaplan            50
Andy Weise              50
John Edwards            49
Bill Fenwick            49
Tony Buffa              49
Craig Roberts           46
Troy D. Mills           46
Mark Lewin              46
William Sangrey         38
Jim Dixon               35
Craig Knowles           35
Nathan Hampton          32
Charlie Shub            29

USCHO                   59
Higher Seed             58


WCHA
NAME                   TOTAL
Tony Buffa              47
William Sangrey         23
Scott Kaplan            19
Nathan Hampton          19
Charlie Shub            18
Andy Weise              17
Bill Fenwick            17
Mark Lewin              17
John Edwards            16
Troy D. Mills           15
Mike Larson             15
Wayne Smith             14
Nick Markham            14
Jim Dixon               14
Craig Knowles           14
Robin Lock              14
Craig Roberts           11

USCHO                   19
Higher Seed             15


Bill Fenwick
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