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Date: | Mon, 14 Mar 1994 16:05:47 EST |
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Before we get to the predictions for the league championships, let's
review CHODR's performance in the first week of the playoffs. After
a lackluster performance in the regular season, the system rebounded
to correctly pick 34 of the 39 games decided in regulation (87.2%).
That brings the season totals to 322 out of 472 (68.2%).
Below we have summarized the predictions for the championship weekend
in each league. Along with the predicted score for each game is the
associated probability of a win for each team. All possible matchups
for games in each round are listed. A table for each league summarizes
the chances for each team to make it to the given round and to win the
league championship. As always, favored teams are capitalized (but
they're not always the higher seed).
ECAC:
Semifinals - Friday, March 18:
#4 Brown 2.84 (29.7%) vs #1 HARVARD 4.17 (70.3%)
#3 RPI 4.16 (56.9%) vs #2 Clarkson 3.70 (43.1%)
Championship/Consolation - Saturday, March 19:
#2 Clarkson 3.17 (36.9%) vs #1 HARVARD 4.02 (63.1%)
#3 RPI 3.83 (44.4%) vs #1 HARVARD 4.22 (55.6%)
#4 Brown 3.17 (42.3%) vs #2 CLARKSON 3.65 (57.7%)
#4 Brown 3.37 (35.9%) vs #3 RPI 4.32 (64.1%)
ECAC Tournament Finals Champions
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#1 Harvard 70.3% 41.4%
#4 Brown 29.7% 11.5%
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#2 Clarkson 43.1% 18.6%
#3 RPI 56.9% 28.6%
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Hockey East:
Semifinals - Friday, March 18:
#4 Northeastern 3.13 (24.3%) vs #1 BOSTON UNIVERSITY 5.02 (75.7%)
#3 New Hampshire 3.63 (47.9%) vs #2 MASS-LOWELL 3.76 (52.1%)
Championship/Consolation - Saturday, March 19:
#2 Mass-Lowell 3.13 (31.1%) vs #1 BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.41 (68.9%)
#3 New Hampshire 3.11 (29.4%) vs #1 BOSTON UNIVERSITY 4.53 (70.6%)
#4 Northeastern 3.64 (41.1%) vs #2 MASS-LOWELL 4.25 (58.9%)
#4 Northeastern 3.76 (43.1%) vs #3 NEW HAMPSHIRE 4.24 (56.9%)
Hockey East Tournament Finals Champions
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#1 Boston University 75.7% 52.8%
#4 Northeastern 24.3% 10.2%
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#2 Mass-Lowell 52.1% 19.7%
#3 New Hampshire 47.9% 17.3%
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CCHA:
Quarterfinals - Friday, March 18:
#6 Bowling Green 2.86 (38.4%) vs #3 MICHIGAN STATE 3.57 (61.6%)
#5 MIAMI 3.24 (51.0%) vs #4 Western Michigan 3.18 (49.0%)
Semifinals - Saturday, March 19:
#4 Western Michigan 2.98 (28.1%) vs MICHIGAN 4.48 (71.9%)
#5 Miami 2.68 (27.8%) vs MICHIGAN 4.13 (72.2%)
#3 Michigan State 2.39 (31.1%) vs LAKE SUPERIOR 3.52 (68.9%)
#6 Bowling Green 2.23 (21.7%) vs LAKE SUPERIOR 4.06 (78.3%)
Championship - Sunday, March 20: (No Consolation)
#2 Lake Superior 3.34 (47.9%) vs #1 MICHIGAN 3.47 (52.1%)
#3 Michigan State 2.85 (30.7%) vs #1 MICHIGAN 4.10 (69.3%)
#6 Bowling Green 2.68 (22.1%) vs #1 MICHIGAN 4.64 (77.9%)
#4 Western Michigan 2.53 (28.2%) vs #2 LAKE SUPERIOR 3.90 (71.8%)
#5 Miami 2.23 (27.9%) vs #2 LAKE SUPERIOR 3.54 (72.1%)
#4 Western Michigan 3.16 (45.9%) vs #3 MICHIGAN STATE 3.41 (54.1%)
#5 Miami 2.86 (46.7%) vs #3 Michigan STATE 3.05 (53.3%)
#6 Bowling Green 3.24 (42.7%) vs #4 WESTERN MICHIGAN 3.70 (57.3%)
#6 Bowling Green 2.88 (41.3%) vs #5 MIAMI 3.40 (58.7%)
CCHA Tournament Semifinals Finals Champions
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#1 Michigan BYE 72.1% 41.5%
#4 Western Michigan 49.0% 13.8% 4.7%
#5 Miami 51.0% 14.2% 4.8%
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#2 Lake Superior BYE 72.5% 39.6%
#3 Michigan State 61.6% 19.2% 7.1%
#6 Bowling Green 38.4% 8.3% 2.3%
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WCHA:
Quarterfinal - Thursday, March 17:
#5 Michigan Tech 3.00 (38.5%) vs #4 NORTHERN MICHIGAN 3.71 (61.5%)
Semifinals - Friday, March 18:
#4 NORTHERN MICHIGAN 3.91 (56.2%) vs #1 Minnesota 3.50 (43.8%)
#5 Michigan Tech 2.86 (44.7%) vs #1 MINNESOTA 3.17 (55.3%)
#3 St Cloud 3.60 (46.5%) vs #2 WISCONSIN 3.83 (53.5%)
Championship/Consolation - Saturday, March 19:
#2 WISCONSIN 3.80 (61.3%) vs #1 Minnesota 3.09 (38.7%)
#3 ST CLOUD 3.87 (57.5%) vs #1 Minnesota 3.39 (42.5%)
#4 Northern Michigan 3.63 (45.3%) vs #2 WISCONSIN 3.94 (54.7%)
#5 Michigan Tech 2.58 (33.1%) vs #2 WISCONSIN 3.61 (66.9%)
#4 Northern Michigan 3.94 (48.8%) vs #3 ST CLOUD 4.01 (51.2%)
#5 Michigan Tech 2.89 (37.2%) vs #3 ST CLOUD 3.68 (62.8%)
WCHA Tournament Semifinals Finals Champions
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#1 Minnesota BYE 48.2% 19.5%
#4 Northern Michigan 61.5% 34.6% 16.2%
#5 Michigan Tech 38.5% 17.2% 6.0%
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#2 Wisconsin BYE 53.5% 32.1%
#3 St Cloud BYE 46.5% 26.1%
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Timothy J. Danehy [log in to unmask]
Robin Lock [log in to unmask]
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