0 from the CHA   -       nobody is in
                         everybody is out
1 from the MAAC       -  the winner of the mercyhurst - quinnipiac game
                         is in everybody else is out
1 or 2 from the ECAC  -  harvard is in only if they win the
                         championship game
                         cornell is in with a win and most likely in
                         with a loss
3 from HE             -  Maine and new hampshire are absolutely locks
                         BU seems to be in as well.
3 or 4 from the WCHA  -  Denver, Minnesota, and the winner of this
                         afternoon's 3rd place game are in and the
                         loser of this afternoon's 3rd place game is
                         probably in.  St. Cloud is in even if they lose
                         and there appears to be only one or two scenarios
                         where CC won't get in
2 to 4 from the CCHA  -  Ohio State needs to win the tournament to get in.
                         Northern is squarely on the bubble.
                         Michigan State is a lock
                         Michigan may be in.
                         Fairbanks has an outside shot
                         There is no way there will be 5 CCHA teams in
                         the tournament as 8 slots are locked up by
                         other conferences
------------------
at this point, it looks like there are at most 15 teams in contention
for the 12 slots.  The longest shot is alaska fairbanks.

if both ohio state and harvard are champions and northern wins and cc
loses  - the bubble is michigan, northern, cc, and cornell.  John's
script picks cornell and cc for this scenario.

if both northern and harvard are champions and cc loses - the bubble
is michigan, fairbanks, cornell, and cc.  John's script again picks
cornell and cc for this scenario, irrespective of whether Michigan
wins or loses in the CCHA semis. Indididually among these 4 cornell
beats them all. We then have a rock-scissors-paper deal and CC wins
on the basis of higest RPI among the 3.

now if cornell wins the ECAC, harvard is out and the bubble depends on
what happens in the ccha.

if Ohio state wins -  michigan is in and the bubble is cc, northern,
and fairbanks.  CC will be in

if northern wins, the bubble is michigan, fairbanks, and cc with 15,
14, and 14 total pwr victories.  If the committee reduces the group to
those 3, cc and michigan get in. On the other hand, if the committee
puts michigan in, then fairbanks gets in by virtue of the individual
pwr victory over CC.   This is the only scenario i can find where cc
might not make the tournament.


charlie shub   University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
[log in to unmask]               http://cs.uccs.edu/~cdash
(719) 262-3492                  (fax) 262-3369