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From:
Bill Fenwick <[log in to unmask]>
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- Hockey-L - The College Hockey Discussion List <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 21 Mar 2016 18:06:40 -0400
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With the conference post-season tournaments over and the NCAA tournament
almost upon us, it's time to announce the winners of the Pick the Post-
Season Tournament contests.  For Contest #1, in which the later rounds
were weighted more than the earlier ones, the overall winner is...

      Nathan Hampton

whose total of 185 points was six better than runner-up Bill Groskreutz.
Congratulations to Nathan on his awesome prognosticating skills; here's
where I always grumpily mention something about blind luck, but as we all
know, luck is the residue of -- well, more luck.  Anyway, congrats to
Nathan!

As for the individual conference winners...

The ECAC race went to Sean Keller with 56 points.

Scott Kaplan took the top spot in Hockey East with 37 points.

Craig Roberts' 30 points was good for first place in the WCHA.

Nathan Hampton took top honors in the NCHC with 41 points.

The Atlantic Hockey race ended in a three-way tie for first among William
Sangrey, Richard Vehlow, and Craig Roberts.  William and Richard remained
tied after the first tiebreaker, but William's total goals prediction was
four points closer, winning him the second tiebreaker and the crown.

Also ending in a tie for the top spot was the Big Ten race, among Wayne
Smith, Bill Krebs, Bill Groskreutz, and myself (!)  Wayne and I remained
tied after the first tiebreaker, but I won the second tiebreaker by six
points.

Complete scoring results are below.  Congratulations to all the winners,
and thanks again to all those who participated.

Note that since the NCHC consolation game ended in a tie, anyone who
picked North Dakota or Denver to win the consolation was awarded 2 points.

Tiebreaker notes:  The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score.  Thus, if you
picked the score of the ECAC championship game (actually 4-1) to be 2-1,
you would get two points; if you picked 2-0, you would get three points;
and if you picked 6-4, you would get five points.  Obviously, the lower the
point score the better.

The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of
goals scored in the entire tournament and the actual number.  Again, the
lower the point total the better.

As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:

For Atlantic Hockey, the championship game score was 7-4, and the total
goals scored in the tournament was 104.

For the Big Ten, the championship game score was 5-3, and the total goals
scored in the tournament was 37.

The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each
game had been picked to win.  It should be noted that the USCHO staff did
not pick the games all at once, the way the rest of us did, which in some
cases was especially advantageous.


OVERALL
NAME                   TOTAL
Nathan Hampton          185
Bill Groskreutz         179
Wayne Smith             176
Bill Krebs              166
Andy Weise              166
Scott Kaplan            165
Sean Keller             157
Craig Roberts           152
William Sangrey         142
Charlie Shub            135
Jim Dixon               133
Bill Fenwick            125
Tony Buffa              124
Mark Lewin              119
John Edwards            116
* Richard Vehlow         58

USCHO                   175
Higher Seed             168

* Did not submit picks for all conferences


ECAC                            Hockey East
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL
Sean Keller             56      Scott Kaplan            37
Bill Krebs              49      Charlie Shub            33
Wayne Smith             48      Bill Krebs              26
Nathan Hampton          46      Bill Groskreutz         22
Andy Weise              45      Sean Keller             22
Bill Groskreutz         38      John Edwards            22
Charlie Shub            37      Nathan Hampton          22
Scott Kaplan            32      Wayne Smith             22
William Sangrey         31      William Sangrey         21
Jim Dixon               30      Andy Weise              21
Tony Buffa              27      Tony Buffa              21
Craig Roberts           26      Jim Dixon               18
John Edwards            26      Craig Roberts           17
Mark Lewin              25      Richard Vehlow          15
Bill Fenwick            19      Bill Fenwick            15
Richard Vehlow          14      Mark Lewin              15

USCHO                   31      USCHO                   27
Higher Seed             50      Higher Seed             22


WCHA                            NCHC
NAME                   TOTAL    NAME                   TOTAL
Craig Roberts           30      Nathan Hampton          41
John Edwards            22      Bill Groskreutz         39
Wayne Smith             19      Wayne Smith             24
Scott Kaplan            19      Andy Weise              20
Andy Weise              19      Jim Dixon               19
Bill Groskreutz         18      Bill Krebs              19
Jim Dixon               17      Bill Fenwick            16
Bill Fenwick            15      Charlie Shub            15
Bill Krebs              15      Scott Kaplan            15
Charlie Shub            15      Mark Lewin              15
Nathan Hampton          15      Craig Roberts           14
William Sangrey         14      John Edwards            14
Tony Buffa              13      Tony Buffa              14
Sean Keller             11      Sean Keller             14
Mark Lewin               6      William Sangrey         11

USCHO                   10      USCHO                   39
Higher Seed             22      Higher Seed             26


Atlantic Hockey              Tiebreaker 1 Tiebreaker 2
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts    Goals Pts
William Sangrey         29     4-2   5       92   12
Richard Vehlow          29     4-2   5       88   16
Craig Roberts           29     3-2   6
Sean Keller             26
Scott Kaplan            26
Tony Buffa              25
Nathan Hampton          25
Jim Dixon               25
Andy Weise              25
Wayne Smith             23
Charlie Shub            23
Bill Groskreutz         22
Mark Lewin              22
Bill Fenwick            20
Bill Krebs              17
John Edwards            16

USCHO                   32
Higher Seed             24


Big Ten                      Tiebreaker 1 Tiebreaker 2
NAME                   TOTAL  Score Pts    Goals Pts
Bill Fenwick            40     4-3   1       33    4
Wayne Smith             40     4-3   1       27   10
Bill Krebs              40     6-4   2
Bill Groskreutz         40     4-0   4
William Sangrey         36
Nathan Hampton          36
Andy Weise              36
Scott Kaplan            36
Mark Lewin              36
Craig Roberts           36
Sean Keller             28
Tony Buffa              24
Jim Dixon               24
John Edwards            16
Charlie Shub            12

USCHO                   36
Higher Seed             24

Bill Fenwick
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