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Subject:
From:
Jayson Moy <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Jayson Moy <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 26 Feb 1995 21:49:30 GMT
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The ECAC Playoff Picture as of last night's games.
 
All errors are mine.  I tried to use as many tiebreakers as I could.
Please point out my errors to me, then shoot me.
I promise, this is the final correction, and it once again deals with
Harvard.
 
Scores from Saturday February 25:
RPI     6       Brown   1
Union   5       Harvard 3
Clarkson 6      Dartmouth 1
SLU     5       Vermont 4
Cornell 4       Yale    2
Princeton 7     Colgate 3
 
                                                  Playoff
Standings       Pts     Poss Pts        Poss Pos  Clinch Pts    Left
1   Clarkson    27      31              1-3        Clinched     @B.@H
2   Brown       26      30              1-4        Clinched     CL,SLU
3   Harvard     23      27              2-8*       Clinched     SLU,CL
4   RPI         22      26              2-8        Clinched     @COR,@COL
5   Colgate     21      25              3-8        Clinched     U,R
    Princeton   21      25              3-8        Clinched     @V,@D
7   Vermont     20      24              3-9        Clinched     P,Y
    SLU         20      24              3-10       Clinched     @H,@B
9   Cornell     17      21              7-11       3            R,U
10  Union       16      20              8-12       5            @COL,@COR
11  Yale        15      19              9-12       -            @D,@V
12  Dartmouth   12      16              10-12      -            Y,P
 
* Pointed out to me that Harvard can not finish higher than second
because Clarkson plays Brown, someone will have at least 28 points.
 
Borrowing from others:
 
Magic number table:
Combination of points needed over the team in that position at the moment.
 
                1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9    10    11    12
 
Clarkson        4    1    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -     -     -
Brown           -    2    1    -    -    -    -    -    -    -     -     -
Harvard         -    -    4    3a   2a   2    2    -    -    -     -     -
RPI             -    -    -    4    4    3    3    -    -    -     -     -
Colgate         -    -    -    -    5b   4    4    -    -    -     -     -
Princeton       -    -    -    -    4b   4    4    -    -    -     -     -
Vermont         -    -    -    -    -    -    5c   2    -    -     -     -
SLU             -    -    -    -    -    -    4c   2    1    -     -     -
Cornell         -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    4    2     -     -
Union           -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    4     1     -
Yale            -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -     2     -
 
(Here's the error)
a = Harvard Beats Colgate in Season Series, ties with Princeton
b = Princeton Beats Colgate on Season Series
c = SLU Beats Vermont on Season Series
 
ECAC Tiebreakers:
 
1) Head to Head
2) Record against Top 4
3) Record against Top 8
4) Goal Differential Head to Head
5) Goal Differential against Top 4
6) Goal Differential against Top 8
 
Head to Head Results:
 
Clarkson > Brown        1-0-0   Clarkson 7 Brown 4
Clarkson < Harvard      0-1-0   Harvard 4 Clarkson 3 OT
 
Brown < Clarkson        0-1-0   Clarkson 7 Brown 4
Brown = Harvard         1-1-0   Brown 4 Harvard 3       Harvard 4 Brown 1
Brown < RPI             0-2-0   RPI 3 Brown 0           RPI 6 Brown 1
 
Harvard = RPI           1-1-0   RPI 4 Harvard 3         Harvard 5 RPI 3
Harvard > Colgate       1-0-1   Harvard 3 Colgate 3     Harvard 3 Colgate 2
Harvard = Vermont       1-1-0   Harvard 5 Vermont 2     Vermont 5 Harvard 0
Harvard = Princeton     1-1-0   Harvard 6 Princeton 4   Princeton 5 Harvard 3
Harvard < SLU           0-1-0   SLU 4 Harvard 3
 
RPI = Harvard           1-1-0   RPI 4 Harvard 3         Harvard 5 RPI 3
RPI < Colgate           0-1-0   Colgate 6 RPI 3
RPI < Vermont           0-2-0   Vermont 6 RPI 1         Vermont 2 RPI 1
RPI < Princeton         0-1-1   Princeton 9 RPI 1       Princeton 2 RPI 2
RPI = SLU               1-1-0   RPI 7 SLU 5             SLU 3 RPI 1
 
Colgate < Vermont       0-2-0   Vermont 4 Colgate 1     Vermont 7 Colgate 0
Colgate < Princeton     0-2-0   Princeton 6 Colgate 5   Princeton 7 Colgate 3
Colgate = SLU           1-1-0   Colgate 7 SLU 5         SLU 5 Colgate 4 OT
Colgate > Cornell       2-0-0   Colgate 7 Cornell 3     Colgate 6 Cornell 0
 
Vermont > Princeton     1-0-0   Vermont 5 Princeton 3
Vermont < SLU           0-2-0   SLU 8 Vermont 5         SLU 5 Vermont 4
Vermont < Cornell       0-2-0   Cornell 3 Vermont 2     Cornell 3 Vermont 2
Vermont > Union         1-0-1   Vermont 1 Union 1       Vermont 8 Union 1
 
Princeton = SLU         1-1-0   SLU 6 Princeton 4       Princeton 5 SLU 2
Princeton > Cornell     2-0-0   Princeton 6 Cornell 3   Princeton 3 Cornell 2OT
 
SLU = Cornell           1-1-0   Cornell 8 SLU 1         SLU 5 Cornell 2
SLU < Union             0-2-0   Union 6 SLU 2           Union 6 SLU 0
 
Yale < Cornell          0-1-1   Yale 2 Cornell 2        Cornell 4 Yale 2
Yale > Union            2-0-0   Yale 5 Union 2          Yale 5 Union 2
Yale > Dartmouth        1-0-0   Yale 6 Dartmouth 5
 
Cornell > Union         1-0-0   Cornell 4 Union 1
Cornell > Dartmouth     1-0-1   Cornell 5 Dartmouth 5   Cornell 6 Dartmouth 5
 
Union = Dartmouth       1-1-0   Union 6 Dartmouth 5     Dartmouth 6 Union 5
 
In addition:
 
To avoid the play-down round on Tuesday March 7
Clarkson has avoided the Play-down Round
Brown has avoided the Play-down Round
Harvard needs 2 points to avoid the Play-down Round
RPI needs 3 points to avoid the Play-down Round
Colgate and Princeton need 4 points to avoid the Play-down Round
 
Dartmouth needs to win all of its games, and Union must lose all of its games.
And then the right combination of teams in he Top 4 will help Dartmouth.
 
Clarkson and Brown are assured of home-ice in the quarterfinals
 
Next week:
 
Mar  3          Clarkson @ Brown
                        If Clarkson wins, they clinch the regular season title
                Princeton @ Vermont
                        One can pass the other, a Princeton win puts them in
                        great tiebreaker situations with teams around them
                Yale @ Dartmouth
                        Dartmouth and Yale fighting for positions, must-win
                RPI @ Cornell
                        RPI win puts them in drivers seat for home-ice
                Union @ Colgate
                        Colgate trying to move up into home-ice, Union trying
                        to get in, but if they do, it's on the road on Tues
                SLU @ Harvard
                        SLU looking to move out of play-down, hottest team
                        in ECAC. A win by Harvard, home the next weekend
 
Mar  4          RPI @ Colgate
                        Fight to the finish for home-ice
                Clarkson @ Harvard
                        Clarkson will need win, if they lose night before
                        Harvard looking to solidify third or better
                SLU @ Brown
                        Brown in control if they beat Clarkson the night before
                Union @ Cornell
                        What could be last ditch effort for postseason
                Princeton @ Dartmouth
                        Could be moot for Dartmouth, could mean home-ice
                        for Princeton
                Yale @ Vermont
                        Yale all out to make playoffs, Vermont looking for
                        the Cathouse confines
 
*****************************************************************************
* Jayson Moy  RPI '89 '93  *  One of the Voices of Rensselaer Engineer      *
* [log in to unmask]             *  Hockey, Baseball, Football, and Basketball    *
* The "Asian Invasion"     *  on Crystal Clear 91.5FM  WRPI, Troy *EASM*    *
*****************************************************************************

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