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Subject:
From:
Charlie Shub <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sat, 19 Mar 2005 11:49:40 -0700
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It was far too late last night.  I forgot to add a couple of
disclaimers.

1) I am using .003, .002, and .001 as the bonus weights
2) the CHA and Atlantic Hockey champions are automatic qualifiers, so
   the projected AH winner is also a Team under consideration.
3) placings lower than 16 are not included, so there are, for example,
   128 scenarios where UVM finishes lower than 16th
4) my rpi value calculator does not (yet) implement
   "If a team defeats a weak opponent, it is possible for its RPI to
   go down despite the win. Starting in 2003-04, if this happens in a
   team's conference tournament, that game can be thrown out of the
   RPI calculation for that team."

   This adjustment impacts the RPI values for CC, Denver, Cornell,
   Michigan, and Dartmouth.

   It appears that this does make a difference in the ordering. I've
   noticed the difference in the three way comparisons between DU,
   Minnesota, and Cornell
    My values Without adjustment       USCHO values With adjustment
                  RPI   rank  pwrs won       RPI   rank  pwrs won
    Denver        .5850 ( 4 )  23            .5874 (3)   24
    Minnesota     .5776 ( 6 )  23            .5776 (6)   23
    Cornell       .5861 ( 3 )  23            .5861 (4)   22

    team          1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston College  128  32  70  26
Colorado Coll   128 128
Denver               38 120  98
Cornell              58  66  21  85  14  12
------------------------------------------
Minnesota                    96 107  53
New Hampshire                15  53  51  68  47  22
Michigan                         11  60  86  67  32
Harvard                              65  46  89  56
------------------------------------------
North Dakota                         13  44  53 138       4   4
Ohio State                                        4  92 146  14
Wisconsin                                         4  32  91   1  96  32
Maine                                               118  10     128
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Boston Univ                                          14   5 237
Vermont                                                          32   4  60  32
Colgate                                                             128   4  28
Dartmouth                                                            92 160   4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan State                                                           32 160
Mass.-Lowell                                                                 32


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