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Date: | Sat, 16 Mar 1996 23:39:36 -0600 |
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Hi all,
Using past History and the final PWR, here is how I think the NCAA
Tournament committee will select and seed the 12 teams.
Rk Last Team GP W- L- T Win% Rk RPI Rk PWR
=====================================================================
1* 2 Boston University 38 29- 6- 3 .8026 2 || .6210 1 || 18
2* 1 Colorado College 39 31- 4- 4 .8462 1 || .6153 3 || 17
3* 4 Michigan 39 30- 7- 2 .7949 3 || .6156 2 || 16
4* 3 Lake Superior 38 29- 7- 2 .7895 4 || .6051 4 || 15
5* 5 Minnesota 40 29- 9- 2 .7500 6 || .6027 5 || 14
6# 6 Maine 39 26- 9- 4 .7179 7 || .5977 6 || 11
7 8 Western Michigan 38 25-10- 3 .6974 10 || .5824 7 || 11
8* 11 Vermont 35 25- 6- 4 .7714 5 || .5809 9 || 11
9 7 Michigan State 41 28-12- 1 .6951 12 || .5823 8 || 10
10 9 Mass Lowell 38 25- 9- 4 .7105 8 || .5689 11 || 10
11 10 Clarkson 36 24- 9- 3 .7083 9 || .5763 10 || 8
12 12 Bowling Green 39 24-14- 1 .6282 13 || .5597 12 || 7
13* 13 Cornell 33 21- 8- 4 .6970 11 || .5584 13 || 7
14 14 Denver 39 22-14- 3 .6026 15 || .5410 15 || 5
15 15 St Lawrence 35 20-12- 3 .6143 14 || .5350 16 || 4
16 16 Colgate 32 16-12- 4 .5625 17 || .5217 17 || 3
17* 17 Providence 38 21-14- 3 .5921 16 || .5495 14 || 2
18 18 North Dakota 38 19-18- 1 .5132 19 || .4943 23 || 2
19 19 Minnesota-Duluth 38 20-17- 1 .5395 18 || .5016 21 || 0
* Automatic bids from winning conference tournament or regular season
championships.
# Maine has withdrawn from NCAA Tournament consideration.
Thus the twelve teams are seeded in the following order.
1 Boston University
2 Colorado College
3 Michigan
4 Lake Superior
5 Minnesota
6 Western Michigan
7 Vermont
8 Michigan State
9 Mass Lowell
10 Clarkson
11 Cornell
12 Providence
Split these teams into eastern and western teams
West East
2 Colorado College 1 Boston University
3 Michigan 7 Vermont
4 Lake Superior 9 Mass Lowell
5 Minnesota 10 Clarkson
6 Western Michigan 11 Cornell
8 Michigan State 12 Providence
The byes are thus
1W Colorado College 1E Boston University
2W Michigan 2E Vermont
Now the bottom two teams are swapped where if possible host teams
play at home. This year this means Michigan State stays in the west.
West East
4 Lake Superior 5 Minnesota
8 Michigan State 6 Western Michigan
11 Cornell 9 Mass Lowell
12 Providence 10 Clarkson
Now notice that there are no first round matchups between teams in the
same conference. Further three Michigan Teams are playing at Munn. This
insures a good western draw. The only question is if you want to swap
Clarkson and Cornell to enhance the eastern draw. I assume both Clarkson
and Cornell will have equal drawing power. Thus my final brackets look like.
At Munn At Albany
1W Colorado College 1E Boston University
2W Michigan 2E Vermont
3W Lake Superior 3E Minnesota
4W Michigan State 4E Western Michigan
5W Cornell 5E Mass Lowell
6W Providence 6E Clarkson
The one concern I have about these brackest are that they possibly set up
three second round matchups between teams in the same confernce. But with
the CCHA having 4 teams, Hockey East 3 and the ECAC 3 this seems almost
unavoidable.
Tim Brule
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