Wisconsin 1981!

-----Original Message-----
From: Bob Griebel [mailto:[log in to unmask]]
Sent: Wednesday, March 26, 2003 3:26 PM
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: Re: odds correction, plus


It would be interesting (to everyone but the poor bloke struggling with
the impossible task) to look at the equivalent pre-tournament odds for
all past NCAA champions.  If I recall correctly, some of the Michigan
teams
that contributed to the championship blitzkrieg of the first decade
didn't have particularly good finishes during the season.  Any opinions
out there about who was the most unlikely champ since '48?

Bob Griebel


John T Whelan wrote:

> Something to keep in mind is that the odds of Mercyhurst winning the
> entire tournament are not the odds of them pulling off a shocking
> upset, but the odds of them pulling off four shocking upsets in a row.
> So if they have one chance in 40 of beating any big four teams, that
> gives them one chance in 40^4 = 2,560,000 of doing it four times in a
> row.