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Date: | Mon, 26 Nov 90 21:50:58 EST |
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The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
Includes games on 11/26/90. Some notes are below.
Last Division I Schedule Schedule
Rank Week Team Record Rating Strength Rank
1 2 Lake Superior 9 3 2 100.00 80.29 1
2 4 Clarkson 6 0 1 94.01 59.75 22
3 9 Michigan 9 3 2 92.80 75.20 5
4 1 Cornell 4 0 1 91.71 58.20 26
5 12 Bowling Green 8 4 2 90.21 77.30 2
6 3 Providence 7 0 1 89.87 53.73 31
7 7 Maine 8 1 1 89.36 60.12 20
8 6 Minnesota 11 0 2 85.11 50.48 34
9 20 Ferris State 6 3 5 81.96 72.34 7
10 16 Michigan State 6 5 3 81.32 77.09 3
11 5 Northern Michigan 7 3 2 79.81 63.92 15
12 8 Boston College 6 2 0 79.19 59.07 24
13 15 Boston University 5 2 1 78.85 59.13 23
14 10 Wisconsin 10 4 1 72.75 55.44 29
15 11 St Lawrence 5 3 0 72.55 63.51 16
16 14 Colgate 6 2 1 71.82 52.84 32
17 18 Western Michigan 5 7 2 69.25 76.52 4
18 13 North Dakota 9 4 1 68.85 54.53 30
19 23 New Hampshire 7 3 0 67.51 47.47 40
20 27 Ohio State 4 6 2 64.70 73.74 6
21 22 Merrimack 6 3 1 60.37 48.54 37
22 29 RPI 3 4 0 59.71 65.34 13
23 17 Michigan Tech 5 6 1 57.49 61.60 19
24 30 Illinois-Chicago 5 9 0 57.11 70.25 10
25 21 Minnesota-Duluth 5 6 3 56.70 59.98 21
26 19 Alaska-Anchorage 1 5 3 53.43 68.04 12
27 24 Princeton 2 3 0 51.53 58.76 25
28 25 Harvard 3 3 0 51.41 47.58 38
29 34 Miami 3 9 2 51.09 70.57 9
30 26 St Cloud 3 7 2 47.48 62.27 17
31 28 Lowell 3 5 1 47.43 57.65 27
32 32 Vermont 2 5 1 40.15 55.75 28
33 31 Northeastern 1 8 1 39.91 71.12 8
34 33 Alaska-Fairbanks 3 4 0 38.69 44.79 42
35 41 Notre Dame 3 5 1 38.35 47.48 39
36 36 Denver 1 12 1 34.76 70.20 11
37 37 Army 1 3 2 33.00 46.69 41
38 35 Colorado College 1 12 0 32.73 65.33 14
39 38 Air Force 1 6 1 32.58 61.74 18
40 42 Kent State 1 6 1 25.87 50.93 33
41 40 Yale 1 3 1 25.56 44.62 43
42 39 Alabama-Huntsville 1 6 1 24.56 49.61 35
43 43 Brown 0 4 2 17.33 49.09 36
44 44 Dartmouth 0 4 1 0.00 33.51 44
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph
and a least squares optimization to rate the 44 Division I college
hockey teams. This method considers a team's opponents, and their
opponents, etc. In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule
is calculated for each team. The schedule strength can be computed by
averaging the ratings of a team's opponents for each game.
The ratings are normalized so that the #1 team receives a 100.00 and #44
gets a 0.00. Thus, the ratings are purely relative numbers, rating a team
based on the rest of college hockey and not on any absolute basis.
For a single game, each team is evaluated based on: the outcome (win,
lose, tie); the margin of victory; the site of the game (home, away,
neutral ice); and overtime or regulation time.
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.
NOTES
-Cornell could not hold the top spot, even though they won this week (their
only game was against 1-8-1 Northeastern). With only 4 other games under
their belt, this one Northeastern game crushed the Big Red's schedule strength
(from 11th to 26th).
-Lake Superior's schedule is only temporarily high as they play Ohio State
and Miami in the next 2 weeks.
-If Notre Dame would have won by 2 more goals Saturday night, they would have
overtaken Fairbanks as the second-best Independent.
-The CCHA has yet to play the WCHA or ECAC this season. The first WCHA-CCHA
game will be 12/7 when North Dakota visits Bowling Green. It won't be until
Christmas-time when an ECAC team (Clarkson) will meet a CCHA foe (Western
Michigan). The Computer Rating uses inter-league results and the more non-
conference Division I play there is, the more reliable the ratings will become.
-FYI: In the 221 Division I games played so far, 1792 goals have been scored,
for an average of 8.11 goals per game.
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