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Tue, 31 Jan 1995 09:55:50 EST |
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I tried to send this out yesterday, but got blown off line by
noise that my modem didn't like. Sorry about that if anyone received
gibberish. Back at the office today, so I can re-post without fear.
As promised, here are the YAM2 rankings as of last weekend. The
YAM2 is an intuitively based simple formula which seeks to measure
accomplishment over the course of the season. It will not identify the
teams which are currently hot, but views the season as a whole.
YAM2 = (Win%) x (Strength of Sched.)
Strength of schedule is quantified the same way as in RPI: namely
2 parts Opp% added to 1 part Opp-Opp%. In this implementation the strength
of schedule is normalized to the value of the stongest schedule (Minnesota
this week).
YAM2 will not raise a ranking if a team goes to Maine and loses two
games. It also gives equal weight to win% and strength of schedule.
Ranking as of 1/29/95:
YAM2 RPI Norm. YAM2
Rank Rank W-L % Sched. Metric
1 2 Michigan 0.8043 0.9378 0.7543
2 3 Maine 0.8276 0.9081 0.7515
3 1 Boston_University 0.7400 0.9937 0.7353
4 4 Colorado_College 0.7500 0.9173 0.6880
5 5 New_Hampshire 0.7000 0.9338 0.6536
6 7 Michigan_State 0.7083 0.9003 0.6377
7 9 Clarkson 0.6905 0.8973 0.6196
8 8 Bowling_Green 0.6875 0.8995 0.6184
9 14 Brown 0.6563 0.8862 0.5816
10 10 Denver 0.6346 0.9100 0.5775
11 6 Minnesota 0.5769 1.0000 0.5769
12 11 Harvard 0.6176 0.9190 0.5676
13 16 RPI 0.6190 0.8546 0.5290
14 12 Wisconsin 0.5370 0.9638 0.5176
15 13 Northeastern 0.5200 0.9736 0.5063
16 15 Michigan_Tech 0.5192 0.9469 0.4916
17 19 Vermont 0.5455 0.8805 0.4803
18 17 Princeton 0.5294 0.8998 0.4763
19 24 Colgate 0.5227 0.8699 0.4547
20 21 Western_Michigan 0.5000 0.9019 0.4510
21 18 Minnesota-Duluth 0.4815 0.9248 0.4453
22 20 North_Dakota 0.4808 0.9142 0.4395
23 23 Lake_Superior 0.4792 0.9085 0.4354
24 28 Merrimack 0.5000 0.8671 0.4335
25 29 Mass_Lowell 0.5000 0.8617 0.4309
26 25 Miami 0.4808 0.8908 0.4283
27 26 Northern_Michigan 0.4423 0.9060 0.4007
28 30 Yale 0.4444 0.8836 0.3927
29 31 Ferris_State 0.4423 0.8700 0.3848
30 22 St_Cloud 0.3846 0.9709 0.3734
31 34 Illinois-Chicago 0.4423 0.8415 0.3722
32 36 Providence 0.4038 0.8593 0.3470
33 32 Alaska-Anchorage 0.3750 0.9076 0.3404
34 27 St_Lawrence 0.3421 0.9656 0.3303
35 33 Boston_College 0.3600 0.9144 0.3292
36 35 Cornell 0.3667 0.8853 0.3246
37 38 Union 0.3824 0.8457 0.3234
38 37 Dartmouth 0.2941 0.9096 0.2675
39 39 Alaska-Fairbanks 0.2708 0.8832 0.2392
40 42 Mass_Amherst 0.2391 0.8211 0.1963
41 40 Notre_Dame 0.2200 0.8836 0.1944
42 41 Ohio_State 0.2174 0.8846 0.1923
43 43 Air_Force 0.1842 0.8458 0.1558
44 44 Army 0.1111 0.7784 0.0865
Some observations. BU looks to be in its proper place (please,
no flames), Minnesota drops substantially, Brown does the opposite.
SLU no longer gets credit for going to Maine:-):-)
Does this ranking have the right "feel"? In actual fact, that is
all we really have to go on.
-- Dick Tuthill
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