Subject: | |
From: | |
Reply To: | John T. Whelan |
Date: | Mon, 26 Mar 2001 08:24:31 -0600 |
Content-Type: | TEXT/PLAIN |
Parts/Attachments: |
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Given the discussion last year of Niagara's extensive road schedule, I
ran my Home Ice Bradley Terry (HIBT) script on last year's results.
Niagara does jump to #16 compared to their #18 in KRACH; if these
effects were included in the Bradley-Terry modified comparisons (where
they were already #16 because of their better records vs TUC and in
the last 16 games), they might also rise higher. I haven't had a
chance to implement that.
__Team______ HIBT __KRACH__ __HISOS__ __KSOS___ __PF/PA__
1 Wisconsin 812.7 863.4(# 1) 219.3(# 7) 233.0(# 4) 3.706(# 1)
2 North Dakota 641.5 652.0(# 2) 236.4(# 2) 240.2(# 2) 2.714(# 5)
3 Maine 620.1 615.7(# 3) 206.7(#11) 205.2(#12) 3.000(# 4)
4 New Hampshire 516.8 503.9(# 4) 218.7(# 8) 213.2(# 9) 2.364(# 9)
5 Boston Coll 512.8 490.5(# 5) 222.6(# 4) 212.9(#10) 2.304(#11)
6 St Lawrence 460.1 432.8(# 7) 147.2(#20) 138.5(#23) 3.125(# 3)
7 Boston Univ 450.0 435.4(# 6) 204.6(#12) 197.9(#14) 2.200(#12)
8 St Cloud 343.1 360.1(# 8) 221.1(# 6) 232.0(# 5) 1.552(#15)
9 Colgate 322.4 312.5(#10) 120.9(#37) 117.2(#39) 2.667(# 6)
10 Michigan 297.0 323.1(# 9) 116.7(#39) 126.9(#32) 2.545(# 7)
11 Minnesota 294.2 305.6(#12) 280.1(# 1) 291.0(# 1) 1.050(#24)
12 Mich State 282.5 308.4(#11) 121.1(#36) 132.2(#29) 2.333(#10)
13 MSU-Mankato 267.8 283.7(#13) 189.4(#15) 200.7(#13) 1.414(#16)
14 CO College 221.7 238.3(#14) 221.7(# 5) 238.3(# 3) 1.000(#26)
15 RPI 203.6 194.8(#15) 123.9(#34) 118.6(#38) 1.643(#13)
16 Niagara 203.3 175.9(#18) 85.61(#44) 74.08(#44) 2.375(# 8)
17 Providence 189.7 184.5(#16) 189.7(#14) 184.5(#17) 1.000(#25)
18 Northern Mich 165.0 178.4(#17) 103.1(#43) 111.5(#41) 1.600(#14)
19 Ferris State 160.6 163.1(#19) 136.5(#22) 138.6(#22) 1.176(#20)
20 Northeastern 154.8 147.8(#22) 229.6(# 3) 219.2(# 7) .6744(#34)
21 AK-Anchorage 150.8 159.4(#20) 178.2(#19) 188.3(#16) .8462(#31)
22 Clarkson 150.0 150.9(#21) 132.9(#25) 133.6(#27) 1.129(#22)
23 Cornell 144.8 142.0(#23) 127.8(#30) 125.3(#33) 1.133(#21)
24 Merrimack 138.5 133.3(#25) 217.7(# 9) 209.5(#11) .6364(#38)
25 Lake Superior 129.7 136.1(#24) 116.0(#40) 121.8(#36) 1.118(#23)
26 Minn-Duluth 124.6 129.9(#27) 210.8(#10) 219.8(# 6) .5909(#45)
27 Denver U 119.6 129.9(#26) 179.4(#18) 194.8(#15) .6667(#37)
28 Mass-Amherst 112.6 107.5(#30) 187.7(#16) 179.2(#18) .6000(#44)
29 NE-Omaha 111.4 117.1(#28) 128.6(#29) 135.1(#26) .8667(#30)
30 Notre Dame 105.0 113.6(#29) 115.5(#41) 124.9(#34) .9091(#27)
31 Bowling Green 102.4 101.5(#31) 128.9(#27) 127.6(#31) .7949(#32)
32 Miami 95.40 98.35(#32) 141.5(#21) 145.8(#20) .6744(#35)
33 Princeton 92.09 84.79(#35) 122.8(#35) 113.1(#40) .7500(#33)
34 Harvard 90.12 87.05(#34) 135.2(#23) 130.6(#30) .6667(#36)
35 Vermont 81.76 87.42(#33) 132.1(#26) 141.2(#21) .6190(#41)
36 Mass-Lowell 80.30 76.97(#38) 179.7(#17) 172.3(#19) .4468(#47)
37 Western Mich 79.77 80.18(#37) 132.9(#24) 133.6(#28) .6000(#43)
38 Ohio State 77.67 83.84(#36) 125.5(#32) 135.4(#25) .6190(#40)
39 Dartmouth 71.86 69.93(#39) 124.1(#33) 120.8(#37) .5789(#46)
40 Yale 70.27 66.74(#40) 113.0(#42) 107.4(#43) .6216(#39)
41 Brown 46.36 44.82(#41) 126.7(#31) 122.5(#35) .3659(#50)
42 Union 40.68 38.01(#42) 117.3(#38) 109.5(#42) .3469(#51)
43 Quinnipiac 33.47 30.43(#44) 10.12(#47) 9.200(#47) 3.308(# 2)
44 AK-Fairbanks 29.68 31.54(#43) 128.6(#28) 136.7(#24) .2308(#52)
45 Air Force 23.48 21.32(#46) 25.95(#45) 23.56(#45) .9048(#28)
46 Michigan Tech 23.05 25.71(#45) 195.9(#13) 218.5(# 8) .1176(#53)
47 Canisius 10.13 8.550(#47) 7.338(#48) 6.191(#49) 1.381(#17)
48 Iona 8.661 7.986(#48) 6.561(#50) 6.050(#50) 1.320(#19)
49 Sacred Heart 8.578 7.535(#49) 6.364(#51) 5.591(#52) 1.348(#18)
50 Army 6.285 6.360(#50) 10.21(#46) 10.33(#46) .6154(#42)
51 Connecticut 5.983 5.448(#51) 6.870(#49) 6.255(#48) .8710(#29)
52 Holy Cross 2.533 2.405(#52) 6.016(#53) 5.713(#51) .4211(#48)
53 American Intl 1.965 1.803(#53) 4.685(#54) 4.300(#54) .4194(#49)
54 Fairfield .4664 .4275(#54) 6.064(#52) 5.558(#53) .0769(#54)
__Team______ _Total_ __Home_ _Away__ _Neut _HI_Adv_
1 Wisconsin 31- 8-1 17- 4-1 13- 3-0 1-1-0 1.392
2 North Dakota 26- 8-5 12- 4-1 10- 4-4 4-0-0 1.392
3 Maine 26- 7-5 15- 3-1 8- 4-3 3-0-1 1.392
4 New Hampshire 23- 8-6 13- 1-5 10- 6-1 0-1-0 1.392
5 Boston Coll 26-11-1 14- 2-1 9- 7-0 3-2-0 1.392
6 St Lawrence 24- 7-2 15- 1-0 7- 6-2 2-0-0 1.392
7 Boston Univ 24- 9-7 14- 0-3 7- 5-4 3-4-0 1.392
8 St Cloud 21-13-3 12- 6-1 8- 6-2 1-1-0 1.392
9 Colgate 23- 8-2 13- 1-1 7- 6-1 3-1-0 1.392
10 Michigan 26- 9-4 15- 5-1 10- 2-2 1-2-1 1.392
11 Minnesota 20-19-2 9- 7-2 10-10-0 1-2-0 1.392
12 Mich State 26-10-4 16- 3-1 6- 6-2 4-1-1 1.392
13 MSU-Mankato 19-13-3 9- 6-3 10- 6-0 0-1-0 1.392
14 CO College 18-18-3 10-10-1 7- 7-2 1-1-0 1.392
15 RPI 22-13-2 11- 5-0 7- 7-2 4-1-0 1.392
16 Niagara 18- 7-2 4- 2-0 8- 4-2 6-1-0 1.392
17 Providence 18-18-2 11- 5-1 5-13-1 2-0-0 1.392
18 Northern Mich 22-13-4 10- 7-4 11- 6-0 1-0-0 1.392
19 Ferris State 19-16-2 7- 8-1 10- 8-1 2-0-0 1.392
20 Northeastern 12-19-5 10- 4-1 2-12-4 0-3-0 1.392
21 AK-Anchorage 15-18-3 8- 8-2 7-10-1 0-0-0 1.392
22 Clarkson 16-14-3 9- 8-1 7- 5-2 0-1-0 1.392
23 Cornell 16-14-2 11- 3-0 4- 7-1 1-4-1 1.392
24 Merrimack 11-19-6 7- 5-4 3-13-2 1-1-0 1.392
25 Lake Superior 18-16-2 8- 9-0 9- 5-2 1-2-0 1.392
26 Minn-Duluth 13-22-0 5-11-0 8-11-0 0-0-0 1.392
27 Denver U 15-23-2 11- 9-1 4-14-1 0-0-0 1.392
28 Mass-Amherst 11-20-5 5- 7-3 5-12-2 1-1-0 1.392
29 NE-Omaha 16-19-7 9- 7-3 5-11-4 2-1-0 1.392
30 Notre Dame 16-18-8 11- 7-3 3- 8-5 2-3-0 1.392
31 Bowling Green 15-19-1 7- 6-1 7-13-0 1-0-0 1.392
32 Miami 13-20-3 8- 7-1 5-11-2 0-2-0 1.392
33 Princeton 10-14-4 4- 5-2 6- 8-2 0-1-0 1.392
34 Harvard 11-17-2 5- 7-1 5- 8-1 1-2-0 1.392
35 Vermont 5- 9-3 4- 5-1 1- 2-2 0-2-0 1.392
36 Mass-Lowell 9-22-3 6- 9-1 3-13-2 0-0-0 1.392
37 Western Mich 12-21-3 7- 7-2 5-14-1 0-0-0 1.392
38 Ohio State 11-19-4 7- 9-2 4-10-1 0-0-1 1.392
39 Dartmouth 9-17-4 5- 5-3 4-11-0 0-1-1 1.392
40 Yale 9-16-5 4- 6-3 4- 9-2 1-1-0 1.392
41 Brown 6-19-3 2- 9-2 4-10-1 0-0-0 1.392
42 Union 8-24-1 3- 8-0 5-12-1 0-4-0 1.392
43 Quinnipiac 20- 5-3 10- 1-1 9- 1-1 1-3-1 1.392
44 AK-Fairbanks 5-25-2 4-10-2 1-15-0 0-0-0 1.392
45 Air Force 9-10-1 4- 2-1 4- 5-0 1-3-0 1.392
46 Michigan Tech 4-34-0 2-16-0 1-17-0 1-1-0 1.392
47 Canisius 14-10-1 9- 2-1 4- 8-0 1-0-0 1.392
48 Iona 15-11-3 7- 5-1 6- 6-1 2-0-1 1.392
49 Sacred Heart 14-10-3 9- 3-0 5- 7-3 0-0-0 1.392
50 Army 7-12-2 4- 9-1 3- 2-0 0-1-1 1.392
51 Connecticut 13-15-1 9- 4-0 4- 9-1 0-2-0 1.392
52 Holy Cross 7-18-2 4- 8-1 3-10-1 0-0-0 1.392
53 American Intl 5-14-3 3- 6-2 2- 8-1 0-0-0 1.392
54 Fairfield 1-25-2 0- 9-1 1-15-0 0-1-1 1.392
John Whelan, Cornell '91
[log in to unmask]
http://www.amurgsval.org/joe/
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