...and hopefully correct.
The following is posted on the web at
http://www.slack.net/~whelan/cgi-bin/tbrw.cgi?poposs
It describes each team's possible finishes based on the tiebreaker
outcomes which Jayson Moy and I independently posted last night, and
which Jayson explained.
The format is adapted from two-game possibilities generated by
Bill Fenwick this past week.
Probably the cutest aspect is that Vermont can finish ahead of
Princeton or Harvard but not both. And in order to finish ahead of
Harvard, they must finish behind Dartmouth. Also, Cornell is the king
of the tiebreakers, defeating any other team of teams. What could be
settled by this afternoon's Cornell-Clarkson game? A Cornell win
would give Yale the regular season title, and ensure the Big Red of
sixth place and either a home ice series (if Colgate loses) or a
series at Colgate (if not). A Clarkson win or a tie means Cornell
cannot get home ice, but keeps Harvard and Princeton alive in that
hunt.
Now, on to the details:
_________________________________________________________________
Yale:
Tonight:
at Rensselaer.
Possible Finish:
First or Second.
On Their Own:
Clinch first with a win.
Tiebreakers:
Loses to Clarkson.
Possibilities:
With a win, finish first
With a tie, finish first if Clarkson loses or ties, otherwise
second.
With a loss, finish first if Clarkson loses, otherwise second
Clarkson:
Tonight:
Cornell.
Possible Finish:
First or Second.
On Their Own:
Already clinched second.
Tiebreakers:
Win against Yale.
Possibilities:
With a win, finish first if Yale loses or ties, otherwise
second.
With a tie, finish first if Clarkson loses, otherwise second.
With a loss, finish second.
Rensselaer:
Tonight:
Yale.
Possible Finish:
Third.
Tiebreakers:
Irrelevant.
Possibilities:
Will finish third.
Brown:
Tonight:
at Vermont.
Possible Finish:
Fourth.
Tiebreakers:
Win against Colgate.
Possibilities:
Will finish fourth.
Colgate:
Tonight:
at St. Lawrence.
Possible Finish:
Fifth, sixth, seventh or eighth.
On Their Own:
Clinch fifth place with a win or tie.
Tiebreakers:
Lose to Brown, Cornell and Harvard; win against Princeton,
unless also tied with Harvard.
Possibilities:
With a win or tie, finish fifth.
With a loss:
+ Finish fifth if neither Cornell nor Harvard wins.
+ Finish sixth if Cornell wins and Harvard doesn't, or if
Harvard wins and Cornell and Princeton doesn't.
+ Finish seventh if Cornell and Harvard win and Princeton
doesn't, or if Princeton and Harvard win and Cornell doesn't.
+ Finish eighth if Cornell, Harvard and Princeton all win.
Cornell:
Tonight:
at Clarkson.
Possible Finish:
Fifth, sixth, seventh or eighth.
On Their Own:
Clinch sixth with a win.
Tiebreakers:
Win against Colgate, Princeton, Harvard, Dartmouth and Vermont.
Possibilities:
With a win, finish fifth if Colgate loses, othewise sixth.
With a tie:
+ Finish sixth if neither Princeton nor Harvard wins.
+ Finish seventh if Princeton nor Harvard wins, but not both.
+ Finish eighth if Princeton and Harvard both win.
With a loss:
+ Finish sixth if Princeton and Harvard both lose.
+ Finish seventh if Princeton nor Harvard loses, but not both.
+ Finish eighth if neither Princeton nor Harvard loses.
Princeton:
Tonight:
at Union.
On Their Own:
Clinch seventh with a win, eighth with a tie.
Possible Finish:
Fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth or ninth.
Tiebreakers:
Win against Harvard and Dartmouth; lose to Cornell and Colgate;
lose to Vermont unless also tied with Harvard and Dartmouth.
Possibilities:
With a win:
+ Finish fifth if Colgate loses, Harvard wins, and Cornell
doesn't win.
+ Finish sixth if Colgate loses and Harvard and Cornell win, or
if Colgate doesn't lose and Cornell doesn't win.
+ Finish seventh if Cornell wins and Colgate doesn't lose.
With a tie:
+ Finish sixth if Cornell loses and Harvard doesn't win.
+ Finish seventh if Harvard wins and Cornell loses or if
Cornell doesn't win and Harvard doesn't lose.
+ Finish eighth if Harvard wins and Cornell doesn't lose.
With a loss:
+ Finish seventh if Harvard loses to Dartmouth.
+ Finish eighth if Harvard doesn't lose to Dartmouth and
Vermont doesn't win.
+ Finish ninth if Vermont wins and Harvard doesn't lose to
Dartmouth.
Harvard:
Tonight:
at Dartmouth.
Possible Finish:
Fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth or tenth.
On Their Own:
Clinch eighth with a win or tie.
Tiebreakers:
Win against Colgate, lose to Cornell, Princeton and Vermont;
win against Dartmouth unless also tied with Vermont.
Possibilities:
With a win:
+ Finish fifth if Colgate loses and Cornell and Princeton don't
win.
+ Finish sixth if Colgate doesn't lose and Cornell and
Princeton don't win, or if Colgate loses and Cornell or
Princeton--but not both--wins.
+ Finish seventh if Colgate doesn't lose and Cornell or
Princeton--but not both--wins, or if Colgate loses and and
Cornell and Princeton don't win.
+ Finish eighth if Colgate doesn't lose and Cornell and
Princeton both win.
+ Finish sixth if Colgate loses and Harvard and Cornell win, or
if Colgate doesn't lose and Cornell doesn't win.
+ Finish seventh if Cornell wins and Colgate doesn't lose.
With a tie:
+ Finish sixth if Cornell and Princeton both lose.
+ Finish seventh if Cornell or Princeton--but not both--loses.
+ Finish eighth if Cornell and Princeton don't lose.
With a loss:
+ Finish eighth if Vermont doesn't win.
+ Finish tenth if Vermont wins.
Dartmouth:
Tonight:
Harvard.
Possible Finish:
eighth, ninth, tenth or eleventh.
On Their Own:
Clinch ninth with a win, tenth with a tie.
Tiebreakers:
Lose to Cornell and Princeton; win against Vermont and St.
Lawrence; lose to Harvard unless also tied with Vermont.
Possibilities:
With a win:
+ Finish eighth if Vermont wins.
+ Finish ninth if Vermont doesn't win.
With a tie:
+ Finish ninth if Vermont doesn't win.
+ Finish tenth if Vermont wins.
With a loss:
+ Finish ninth if Vermont loses and St. Lawrence doesn't win.
+ Finish tenth if Vermont loses and St. Lawrence wins, or if
and Vermont doesn't lose and St. Lawrence doesn't win.
+ Finish eleventh if St. Lawrence wins and Vermont doesn't
lose.
Vermont:
Tonight:
Brown.
On Their Own:
Clinch ninth with a win, tenth with a tie.
Possible Finish:
eighth, ninth, tenth or eleventh.
Tiebreakers:
Lose to Cornell and Dartmouth; beat Harvard and St. Lawrence;
beat Princeton unless also tied with Dartmouth and Harvard.
Possibilities:
With a win:
+ Finish eighth if Princeton loses and Dartmouth doesn't beat
Harvard.
+ Finish ninth otherwise.
With a tie:
+ Finish ninth if Darmouth loses.
+ Finish tenth if Dartmouth doesn't lose.
With a loss:
+ Finish tenth if St. Lawrence doesn't win.
+ Finish eleventh if St. Lawrence wins.
St. Lawrence:
Tonight:
Colgate.
Possible Finish:
Ninth, tenth or eleventh.
On Their Own:
Already clinched eleventh.
Tiebreakers:
Loses to Dartmouth and Vermont.
Possibilities:
With a win:
+ Finish ninth if Dartmouth and Vermont both lose.
+ Finish tenth if Dartmouth or Vermont loses, but not hboth
+ Finish eleventh if neither Dartmouth nor Vermont loses.
With a tie or loss, finish eleventh.
Union:
Tonight:
Princeton.
Possible Finish:
Twelfth.
Tiebreakers:
Irrelevant.
Possibilities:
Will finish twelfth.
_________________________________________________________________
John Whelan, Cornell '91
Official Scorer/PA Announcer
U of Utah Ice Hockey Club
<[log in to unmask]>
<http://www.cc.utah.edu/~jtw16960/joe.html>
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