Oh, if only I were a betting man.....
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
NOTE: TCHCR was *not* used in conjunction with the NCAA selection process.
Includes games on 3/29/92. Last week's ranking includes games on 3/22/92.
Last Division I Schedule Schedule
Rank Week Team Record Rating Strength Rank
1 2 Lake Superior 27 9 4 90.03 70.47 5
2 1 Michigan 32 8 3 88.76 67.88 9
3 5 Michigan State 24 10 8 82.83 69.05 7
4 3 Minnesota 33 11 0 81.37 62.71 14
5 6 Northern Michigan 25 14 3 76.15 63.74 12
6 4 Maine 29 4 2 75.16 47.30 26
7 7 Wisconsin 26 13 2 72.11 60.71 18
8 8 Western Michigan 16 14 6 70.86 69.02 8
9 10 Miami 17 17 6 68.28 69.70 6
10 12 Ferris State 13 18 7 64.16 70.50 4
11 9 Alaska-Anchorage 21 8 1 62.54 47.67 24
12 20 Ohio State 12 21 5 60.39 70.67 3
13 22 Illinois-Chicago 10 20 6 60.23 71.51 2
14 15 Colorado College 18 18 5 59.77 60.75 17
15 11 Boston University 21 9 4 59.42 47.58 25
16 24 Bowling Green 8 21 5 58.66 72.63 1
17 17 North Dakota 17 21 1 57.32 62.23 16
18 18 Minnesota-Duluth 15 20 2 57.24 62.53 15
19 16 Providence 21 13 2 57.01 47.95 22
20 21 Michigan Tech 15 22 1 56.68 64.99 10
21 13 New Hampshire 22 13 2 56.68 47.75 23
22 14 St Lawrence 22 9 1 55.87 39.95 38
23 23 St Cloud 13 21 1 55.30 64.07 11
24 19 Clarkson 20 10 1 53.27 40.00 37
25 25 Harvard 14 7 6 52.17 41.91 31
26 27 Boston College 14 18 3 45.79 51.13 20
27 26 Yale 12 7 7 45.78 40.11 36
28 29 Denver 9 25 2 45.33 62.75 13
29 28 Cornell 14 11 4 44.13 38.95 40
30 30 Vermont 15 12 3 42.06 37.78 45
31 32 Alaska-Fairbanks 14 17 0 40.64 43.57 30
32 33 Kent 10 14 2 40.61 45.84 27
33 31 UMass-Lowell 9 19 4 40.00 52.77 19
34 34 RPI 13 15 4 38.25 41.13 34
35 35 Northeastern 12 20 0 37.18 48.00 21
36 36 Princeton 12 14 1 35.89 38.27 43
37 37 Brown 10 16 4 34.73 41.76 32
38 38 Colgate 12 16 1 34.72 39.09 39
39 39 Merrimack 12 21 0 33.45 44.19 29
40 40 Alabama-Huntsville 8 11 0 32.32 38.46 42
41 41 Notre Dame 8 19 0 27.39 45.17 28
42 42 Dartmouth 3 21 2 13.94 41.72 33
43 43 Air Force 4 22 0 12.71 38.05 44
44 44 Union 2 21 1 9.74 40.51 35
45 45 Army 2 16 0 8.06 38.87 41
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph and
a least squares optimization to rate the 45 Division I college hockey
teams. This method considers a team's opponents, and their opponents,
etc., until all 747 Division I games are included.
In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule is calculated
for each team. The schedule strength can be computed by averaging the
ratings of a team's opponents for each game.
For every game, the teams are evaluated based on: the outcome (win,
lose, tie); the margin of victory; percentage of goals allowed; the
site of the game (home, away, neutral ice); and overtime or regulation
time.
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.
Play-off games are weighted more than regular season games.
Notes for 3/29
If you would have used last week's TCHCR to pick the winners from the
NCAA regionals, you would have gone 7-1. #7 Wisconsin beat #13 New
Hampshire and #14 St. Lawrence, #2 Lake Superior defeated #9
Alaska-Anchorage and #3 Minnesota, #5 Michigan State won over #11
Boston University, #6 Northern Michigan stopped #19 Clarkson and #1
Michigan edged #6 NMU. And even the lone "upset" of the weekend was not
too surprising, with Maine ranked #4, only 0.73 points ahead of #5
MSU.
Lake Superior moves into the top-ranked spot after its two impressive
wins over highly-rated opponents.
Wisconsin rose 2.31 points, but remained in seventh place for two
reasons. First, it had the "easiest" road, having to defeat two of the
three lowest ranked teams in the tournament. Also, three of its
opponents were eliminated: Minnesota, Northern Michigan and Maine.
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