With the conference post-season tournaments over and the NCAA tournament
almost upon us, it's time to announce the winners of the Pick the
Post-Season Tournament contests. For Contest #1, in which the later rounds
were weighted more than the earlier ones, the overall winner is...
Robin Lock
whose total of 188 points bested runner-up William Sangrey by seven. All
hail Robin’s superior prognosticating skills -- and who let the statistics
professor in here anyway? :-)
As for the individual conference winners...
Craig Roberts took first place in the ECAC with 23 points.
Mark Lewin’s 46 points were good for the top spot in Hockey East.
The WCHA saw a first-place tie between Sean Keller and Tony Buffa with 46
points each. Sean took the title on the first tiebreaker, as he predicted
the championship-game score exactly right.
William Sangrey took the honors in the NCHC with 38 points.
The Atlantic Hockey crown went to Robin Lock with 48 points.
The race in the Big Ten came down to a four-way tie among William Sangrey,
Tony Buffa, Sean Keller, and myself (what the -- ) with 38 points each.
William took the title by exactly predicting the championship-game score.
Complete scoring results are below. Congratulations to all the winners,
and thanks again to all those who participated.
Tiebreaker notes: The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score. Thus, if you
picked the score of the ECAC championship game (actually 4-2) to be 4-0,
you would get two points; if you picked 2-1, you would get three points;
and if you picked 1-0, you would get five points. Obviously, the lower the
point score the better.
The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of
goals scored in the entire tournament and the actual number. Again, the
lower the point total the better.
As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:
For the WCHA, the championship game score was 5-2.
For the Big Ten, the championship game score was 4-2.
The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each
game had been picked to win. It should be noted that the USCHO staff did
not pick the games all at once, the way the rest of us did, which in some
cases was especially advantageous.
OVERALL
NAME TOTAL
Robin Lock 188
William Sangrey 181
Tony Buffa 180
Andy Weise 174
John Edwards 164
CHODR 162
Sean Keller 161
Bill Krebs 161
Scott Kaplan 159
Mark Lewin 149
Charlie Shub 141
* Craig Roberts 125
Bill Fenwick 122
* Nathan Hampton 98
* Jim Dixon 88
USCHO 172
Higher Seed 170
* Did not submit picks for all conferences
ECAC Hockey East
NAME TOTAL NAME TOTAL
Craig Roberts 23 Mark Lewin 46
John Edwards 22 Tony Buffa 42
Charlie Shub 22 William Sangrey 41
Sean Keller 21 CHODR 41
Bill Krebs 21 Bill Krebs 40
Jim Dixon 20 Jim Dixon 38
Tony Buffa 19 Sean Keller 32
Andy Weise 19 Scott Kaplan 30
Robin Lock 17 Bill Fenwick 26
Scott Kaplan 17 Craig Roberts 24
CHODR 15 Andy Weise 23
Bill Fenwick 14 John Edwards 23
Mark Lewin 13 Robin Lock 21
William Sangrey 10 Charlie Shub 19
USCHO 43 USCHO 26
Higher Seed 19 Higher Seed 41
WCHA Tiebreaker 1 NCHC
NAME TOTAL Score Pts NAME TOTAL
Sean Keller 46 5-2 0 William Sangrey 38
Tony Buffa 46 4-3 2 Charlie Shub 34
Robin Lock 44 Bill Krebs 32
Nathan Hampton 44 Robin Lock 31
Scott Kaplan 43 John Edwards 29
Mark Lewin 43 Andy Weise 26
Bill Krebs 35 Craig Roberts 21
Andy Weise 35 Nathan Hampton 19
Craig Roberts 35 CHODR 15
CHODR 28 Bill Fenwick 8
Charlie Shub 27 Mark Lewin 8
William Sangrey 27 Scott Kaplan 8
Bill Fenwick 24 Sean Keller 7
John Edwards 24 Tony Buffa 7
USCHO 35 USCHO 34
Higher Seed 44 Higher Seed 19
Atlantic Hockey Big Ten Tiebreaker 1
NAME TOTAL NAME TOTAL Score Pts
Robin Lock 48 William Sangrey 38 4-2 0
John Edwards 47 Tony Buffa 38 5-2 1
Andy Weise 36 Bill Fenwick 38 5-3 2
Jim Dixon 30 Sean Keller 38 5-4 3
Mark Lewin 28 Nathan Hampton 35
CHODR 28 Andy Weise 35
Tony Buffa 28 CHODR 35
William Sangrey 27 Scott Kaplan 35
Scott Kaplan 26 Robin Lock 27
Craig Roberts 22 Charlie Shub 27
Sean Keller 17 John Edwards 19
Bill Krebs 14 Bill Krebs 19
Charlie Shub 12 Mark Lewin 11
Bill Fenwick 12
USCHO 14
USCHO 20 Higher Seed 27
Higher Seed 20
Bill Fenwick
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