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Subject:
From:
Mark Grassl <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Tue, 10 Mar 1992 14:35:09 CST
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 NCAA rankings (courtesy of the Wisc. State Journal, 3-10-92)
 
			Pts  Prev
 1. Maine               60     1
 2. Minnesota           56     2
 3. Michigan            52     3
 4. Lake Superior St.   48     6
 5. Michigan St.        42     4
 6. Wisconsin           41     7
 7. Boston University   34     5
 8. New Hampshire       32     9
 9. Northern Michigan   29     8
 10. St. Lawrence       26    10
 11. Providence         20    12
 12. Alaska-Anchorage   13    15
 13. Clarkson           12    14
 14. Harvard             7    11
 15. Western Michigan    5    13
 
 ----------------------------------------------------------------
 
 It is interesting to compare this ranking with the ranking from
 the RPICH that Erik Biever was so kind as to post.  The RPICH top
 15 follows with a few more comments.
 
                                                 Opp     OppOpp
                         G    W  L  T    Win%    Win%    Win%   RPICH
 1  Maine               32   27- 3- 2   .8750   .5028   .5066   .5788
 2  Minnesota           38   30- 8- 0   .7895   .5339   .5127   .5765
 3  Michigan            38   28- 7- 3   .7763   .5270   .5176   .5731
 4  Lake Superior       34   21- 9- 4   .6765   .5321   .5223   .5570
 5  Michigan State      36   19- 9- 8   .6389   .5385   .5219   .5520
 6  Boston University   33   21- 8- 4   .6970   .5039   .5155   .5472
 7  Alaska-Anchorage    29   21- 7- 1   .7414   .5086   .4791   .5433
 8  Wisconsin           34   21-11- 2   .6471   .5176   .5123   .5414
 9  Providence          35   21-12- 2   .6286   .5151   .5151   .5378
10  New Hampshire       34   21-11- 2   .6471   .5214   .4989   .5375
11  Northern Michigan   36   20-13- 3   .5972   .5190   .5142   .5327
12  St Lawrence         29   20- 8- 1   .7069   .4726   .4914   .5270
13  Western Michigan    34   16-12- 6   .5588   .5122   .5183   .5240
14  Harvard             27   14- 7- 6   .6296   .5054   .4865   .5227
15  Clarkson            29   20- 8- 1   .7069   .4552   .4914   .5200
 
 
The first 5 teams agree in the NCAA poll and the RPICH ranking.
After that things start to differ but the same 15 are in each of
the rankings.
 
-------------------------------------------------------------------
 
 I calculated the means and standard deviations for the three
 components of RPICH for the four leagues and the independents.
 The standard deviations don't say a lot.  They small standard
 deviations for OppOpp Win% reflect the very small differences
 within the conferences for this variable.  Opp Win% varies much
 more within the conferences.  Two teams with unusually high (compared
 to other teams) Opp Win% are UMass-Lowell(.5824) and Boston College(.5539)
 Following them are a number of teams in the .5200-.5385 range.
 As far as an individual team's strength of schedule goes, there is not
 much a team can do about OppOpp Win%.  All teams in a league are going
 to have essentially the same percentage. Teams can improve their own Win%
 (that's pretty obvious, eh) and improve their Opp Win% by scheduling
 tough nonconference opponents(at the risk of droping their Win%).
 
 
 Variable         Win%                Opp Win%           OppOpp Win%
              MEAN   STD DEV        MEAN   STD DEV       MEAN   STD DEV
 
 CCHA       0.52253  0.15299      0.52353  0.00989     0.51923  0.00254
 WCHA       0.50513  0.15256      0.51384  0.01590     0.51279  0.00227
 HE         0.54825  0.19256      0.52207  0.03331     0.50620  0.00626
 ECAC       0.48176  0.19216      0.48026  0.01938     0.48277  0.00505
 Indep.     0.37120  0.21183      0.43773  0.04169     0.46914  0.00909
 ALL        0.48921  0.18133      0.49645  0.03902     0.49811  0.01926
 
-------
mark grassl                          [log in to unmask]
 
Lutefisk, Lutefisk,
Lefse, Lefse,
We're from Wisconsin,
Ya'sure ya'betcha.       ----modified high school cheer

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