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Reply To: | John T. Whelan |
Date: | Tue, 17 Mar 1998 00:31:18 -0700 |
Content-Type: | text/plain |
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So, I tried playing around with my own "what if" page
<http://www.slack.net/~whelan/cgi-bin/tbrw.cgi?hypo> (now that I've
fixed the problem that was causing hypothetical results to be ignored)
and discovered that it's fairly easy to concoct a scenario where
Clarkson does not make the NCAAs. If the Knights go 0-2 in Lake
Placid, that seems to reverse their comparisons with BC, Ohio State
and UNH, even if BC and/or OSU go 0-1 in their conference tourneys.
If darkhorses win all four conference tournaments, then Michigan, BC,
OSU and UNH would take the at-large bids, leaving the Knights out in
the cold. I haven't tried every scenario along these lines, but
here's one that works:
* Minn-Duluth def. St Cloud
* Minn-Duluth def. North Dakota
* CO College def. Wisconsin
* Minn-Duluth def. CO College
* Wisconsin def. North Dakota
* Northern Mich def. Mich State
* Michigan def. Ohio State
* Northern Mich def. Michigan
* Princeton def. Cornell
* Yale def. Princeton
* Harvard def. Clarkson
* Harvard def. Yale
* Princeton def. Clarkson
* Merrimack def. Boston Coll
* Maine def. Mass-Lowell
* Maine def. Merrimack
Independent confirmation would certainly be welcome, in case I
screwed something up. But for instance the Ohio State comparison is
pretty easy to eyeball on the basis of the individual comparisons at
<http://www.uscollegehockey.com/pwr/comparisons.txt>; Clarkson, with a
loss, loses their "last 20" advantage, which makes the criteria 3-2.
John Whelan, Cornell '91
<[log in to unmask]>
<http://www.cc.utah.edu/~jtw16960/joe.html>
Learn about the NCAA selection process on the web at
http://www.slack.net/~whelan/cgi-bin/tbrw.cgi?pairwise
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