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Subject:
From:
Keith Instone <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Mon, 20 Jan 1992 02:11:41 EST
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (80 lines)
I did not have time to finish the notes to my satisfaction, so I will
save them for next week. The notes will be about games played and
average number of opponents so far this year, plus a comparison of
91-92 to past seasons (going back to 86-87).
 
Keith
(Email TCHCR questions to [log in to unmask])
==================================================
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
 
NOTE: TCHCR is *not* used in conjunction with the NCAA selection process.
 
Includes games on 1/19/92. Last week's ranking includes games on 1/11/92.
 
     Last                      Division I          Schedule Schedule
Rank Week Team                   Record    Rating  Strength   Rank
  1    3  Minnesota             18  6  0    83.38    63.56      9
  2    2  Lake Superior         14  4  2    83.23    62.59     12
  3    1  Michigan              16  4  3    82.58    62.39     14
  4    4  Northern Michigan     14  7  3    77.03    63.94      8
  5    5  Maine                 16  2  0    75.72    44.91     31
  6    6  Michigan State        12  5  5    73.72    62.38     15
  7    7  Wisconsin             15  8  1    72.39    62.83     11
  8    9  Western Michigan      10  8  2    66.74    62.48     13
  9    8  Boston University     15  4  0    66.48    46.68     25
 10   12  Alaska-Anchorage      15  5  1    64.64    47.25     24
 11   14  Miami                 11  9  2    64.31    60.66     16
 12   13  Providence            15  6  1    61.62    45.63     29
 13   18  Minnesota-Duluth      10 11  1    61.61    64.58      6
 14   15  Michigan Tech         10 13  1    60.75    67.08      1
 15   10  North Dakota          12 11  1    59.92    58.73     17
 16   11  St Lawrence           12  4  1    59.66    40.68     42
 17   17  Clarkson              12  4  1    59.12    39.60     44
 18   16  Harvard                8  3  3    59.11    44.62     32
 19   22  Illinois-Chicago       7 10  3    57.91    64.98      5
 20   21  New Hampshire         13  7  0    57.69    45.56     30
 21   19  Yale                   8  2  3    57.21    41.53     39
 22   20  St Cloud               7 10  1    56.96    64.29      7
 23   24  Colorado College       8 10  4    55.46    58.42     18
 24   26  Bowling Green          5 12  3    52.59    65.23      4
 25   23  Ferris State           4 11  5    52.28    66.26      2
 26   25  Cornell                7  5  2    48.83    41.68     38
 27   27  Ohio State             6 13  3    48.56    63.23     10
 28   28  Denver                 6 17  1    47.33    65.25      3
 29   30  Boston College         9 11  1    45.52    50.10     21
 30   29  UMass-Lowell           6 11  1    44.93    55.76     19
 31   31  Alaska-Fairbanks       9 10  0    42.11    42.66     35
 32   35  Vermont                7  9  1    39.39    41.52     40
 33   33  RPI                    8 10  0    39.02    43.85     33
 34   36  Merrimack             10 11  0    37.28    38.95     45
 35   34  Northeastern           7 12  0    36.40    47.70     23
 36   32  Brown                  5 10  2    36.14    46.11     27
 37   37  Alabama-Huntsville     5 10  0    35.20    48.07     22
 38   39  Colgate                6 10  1    33.84    40.93     41
 39   38  Princeton              6  9  0    33.37    40.38     43
 40   40  Kent                   3 12  2    33.14    51.50     20
 41   41  Notre Dame             5 10  0    27.09    42.70     34
 42   43  Union                  1 11  1    13.62    42.42     36
 43   42  Dartmouth              1 13  0    12.02    45.77     28
 44   44  Air Force              1 13  0    11.26    42.20     37
 45   45  Army                   0 12  0     7.82    46.27     26
 
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph and a
least squares optimization to rate the 45 Division I college hockey teams.
This method considers a team's opponents, and their opponents, etc., until
all 426 Division I games are included.
 
In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule is calculated for
each team. The schedule strength can be computed by averaging the ratings
of a team's opponents for each game.
 
For every game, the teams are evaluated based on: the outcome (win, lose,
tie); the margin of victory; percentage of goals allowed; the site of the
game (home, away, neutral ice); and overtime or regulation time.
 
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.

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