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Subject:
From:
Keith Instone <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
College Hockey discussion list <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 15 Dec 1991 21:33:29 EST
Content-Type:
text/plain
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text/plain (81 lines)
Here it is, finally, the first OFFICIAL TCHCR. Normally, I will be
analyzing the ups and downs a bit and providing some stats to help
explain what goes on.  But for the first week, I am just including the
mailbag and other introductory material for those first-time readers.
You all on HOCKEY-L have already read about it all, so you only get the
rating this week.
 
Keith
PS Again, this mail will have a bogus address. Your reply to it will
surely bounce. (Send mail to [log in to unmask])
=====================================================================
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating
compiled by Keith Instone
 
Includes games on 12/14/91. Last week's ranking includes games on 12/7/91.
 
     Last                      Division I          Schedule Schedule
Rank Week Team                   Record    Rating  Strength   Rank
  1    2  Michigan               9  3  3    77.84    62.13      1
  2    6  Yale                   6  0  1    77.31    48.33     33
  3    3  Maine                 11  1  0    77.29    45.38     40
  4    1  Lake Superior         11  4  1    75.46    57.48      9
  5    5  Minnesota             10  5  0    72.29    57.79      7
  6    7  Clarkson               9  2  0    71.59    47.16     36
  7    4  Michigan State         7  2  4    70.38    57.28     13
  8    8  Alaska-Anchorage      11  2  0    70.28    44.26     42
  9   13  St Lawrence            8  2  0    68.80    45.69     39
 10   11  Northern Michigan     10  5  2    66.94    53.11     24
 11    9  Harvard                4  1  2    66.75    48.17     34
 12   12  New Hampshire          9  4  0    64.67    50.42     28
 13   10  Western Michigan       7  5  2    62.97    57.40     11
 14   14  Providence            10  4  0    60.54    43.73     44
 15   15  Boston University      8  4  0    60.44    50.33     29
 16   16  Wisconsin              9  6  1    58.27    53.25     23
 17   17  UMass-Lowell           6  5  0    55.96    53.73     20
 18   25  Miami                  7  7  2    55.39    55.71     16
 19   20  Vermont                4  5  0    54.24    56.09     15
 20   18  Minnesota-Duluth       7  8  1    54.00    57.28     14
 21   21  North Dakota           9  7  0    52.72    48.09     35
 22   26  Cornell                2  4  2    52.32    61.03      2
 23   23  St Cloud               5  7  0    52.05    59.10      4
 24   19  Boston College         7  7  1    51.82    53.64     21
 25   22  Michigan Tech          7  8  1    50.36    52.78     26
 26   27  Brown                  3  4  1    48.73    54.22     18
 27   30  Ferris State           2  6  4    47.03    58.61      6
 28   28  RPI                    5  6  0    45.92    50.05     30
 29   24  Illinois-Chicago       4  8  2    45.59    57.40     10
 30   29  Colorado College       5  8  2    45.17    52.58     27
 31   33  Northeastern           3  7  0    43.53    60.25      3
 32   35  Princeton              4  6  0    42.68    48.86     32
 33   36  Ohio State             4  8  2    41.86    53.96     19
 34   32  Bowling Green          3  8  1    41.27    58.61      5
 35   31  Alaska-Fairbanks       6  8  0    41.20    45.35     41
 36   34  Merrimack              6  8  0    34.93    39.72     45
 37   38  Denver                 3 12  1    34.82    57.38     12
 38   37  Kent                   2  8  1    32.36    49.24     31
 39   40  Alabama-Huntsville     2  9  0    32.03    55.16     17
 40   41  Colgate                1  6  1    30.89    53.63     22
 41   42  Dartmouth              1  4  0    29.17    52.78     25
 42   39  Notre Dame             3  8  0    25.96    46.37     38
 43   44  Union                  0  6  0    21.47    57.51      8
 44   43  Air Force              1  6  0    20.58    44.12     43
 45   45  Army                   0  7  0     9.14    46.44     37
 
The College Hockey Computer Rating uses a connected schedule graph and
a least squares optimization to rate the 45 Division I college hockey
teams. This method considers a team's opponents, and their opponents,
etc., until all 270 Division I games are included.
 
In addition to rating the teams, a strength of schedule is calculated
for each team. The schedule strength can be computed by averaging the
ratings of a team's opponents for each game.
 
For every game, the teams are evaluated based on: the outcome (win,
lose, tie); the margin of victory; percentage of goals allowed; the
site of the game (home, away, neutral ice); and overtime or regulation
time.
 
Only games against other Division I teams are considered.

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