Here are the probabilities KRACH came up with for the Final Four:
 
Harvard-LSSU     56%
BU-Minnesota     68%
 
...and for the final, these:
                BU       Minnesota
Harvard        39%          57%
LSSU           34%          52%
 
or, more succinctly, KRACH makes BU favorites if they win, and the Gophers
underdogs if they win.
 
To scatter some more (useless?) numbers around the place: the probabilites
of the various championship games are:
 
Harvard-BU            38%
LSSU-BU               30%
Harvard-Minnesota     18%
LSSU-Minnesota        14%
 
 
and the probabilities of winning the whole thing are:
 
BU         43%
Harvard    25%
LSSU       17.5%
Minnesota  14.5%
 
Curious coincidence time: my predicted championship game is BU-Harvard.
Today I went to a talk by a professor of Statistics who now teaches at
BU and who did his PhD at Harvard. (His name is Ralph D'Agostino, if
any of you know him. If you do, of course, you'll be able to calculate
the last two tables of probabilities from the first two, won't you?)
 
 
--
Ken Butler
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