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Date: | Sun, 28 Jan 1996 22:21:27 -0900 |
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CCHA STANDINGS AND PROJECTIONS
Michigan dropped three points over the weekend to throw the CCHA back =
into a four way battle while Miami and Ohio State picked up 2 each with =
a surprise win and two ties respectively. The Redskins moved past =
Alaska-Fairbanks into 6th place and if Ohio State can sustain their =
improvement the rest of the way and pick up some more points they still =
have a shot at a playoff berth. It's unfortunate for them that they =
couldn't hang on for wins in either game, because they are going to have =
a difficult time making up the rest of the deficit. With two losses to =
Michigan State, Illinois-Chicago dropped into last place in the CCHA and =
into deep trouble if they want to make it into the playoffs.
Michigan State moved into first place with their two wins and now is in =
the driver's seat in the conference. They control their own destiny =
with a 4 point lead but face the toughest finish of any of the top four =
teams with two games remaining against Western Michigan and Michigan and =
single games with Lake Superior and Bowling Green. Michigan, which =
dropped to a tie for third with Lake Superior 5 points back, is capable =
of winning the conference with 10 straight wins to close out the season, =
but basically the conference is up for grabs by the top four teams.
This a big week for the bottom teams in the CCHA. Notre Dame plays =
three games with a shot at upset wins Tuesday at home against Bowling =
Green and on the road Friday at UIC. They finish up with a road game =
Saturday at Michigan State. Alaska-Fairbanks hits the road again to =
Miami for a pair of games which could go either way. Fairbanks took the =
first game earlier and one win would give them the season series. If =
either team picks up both wins they almost assure themselves a spot in =
the playoffs. Two losses for either will hurt particularly for =
Fairbanks. Ferris State will be on the road to Western Michigan and =
Michigan State. Ohio State will also be on the road with two games =
against Michigan. Ferris State will be a 2-3 goal underdog both games =
and we may be seeing a preview of the opening round of the playoffs on =
Thursday night against Western Michigan, while Ohio State is likely to =
return home another victim of Michigan's home ice juggernaut. After =
UIC's Friday game at home against Notre Dame--one that UIC almost must =
win at this point--their final game will be home on Saturday against =
Western Michigan.
And now projecting the rest of the way (based only on my own methods, =
which are meant to be unbiased even if not ultimately accurate)...
CURRENT REMAINING PROJECTED
W L T PTS W L T PTS W L T PTS =
LAST WEEK
1 Michigan 15 4 1 31 10 0 0 20 25 4 1 51 =
54 -3
2 Western Michigan 15 4 2 32 8 0 1 17 23 4 3 49 =
49 0
3 Lake Superior 15 4 1 31 8 2 0 16 23 6 1 47 =
47 0
4 Michigan State 18 3 0 36 4 4 1 9 22 7 1 45 =
45 0
5 Bowling Green 10 8 1 21 5 4 2 12 15 12 3 33 =
33 0
6 Miami 6 11 3 15 2 5 3 7 8 16 6 22 =
20 2
7 Ferris State 5 14 2 12 3 4 2 8 8 18 4 20 =
20 0
8 Alaska-Fairbanks 7 16 0 14 2 3 2 6 9 19 2 20 =
20 0
9 Notre Dame 5 11 3 13 1 8 2 4 6 19 5 17 =
17 0
10 Illinois-Chicago 4 15 1 9 1 7 2 4 5 22 3 13 =
14 -1
11 Ohio State 3 13 4 10 1 8 1 3 4 21 5 13 =
11 2
=
=20
PLAYOFF PROJECTIONS =
=20
=
=20
Alaska-Fairbanks =
=20
at Michigan =
=20
=
=20
Ferris State =
=20
at Western Michigan =
=20
=
=20
Miami =
=20
at Lake Superior =
=20
=
=20
Bowling Green =
=20
at Michigan State =
=20
If these projections hold up--and it will now take a big finish for =
Michigan to pull it off--we may well yet see a third visit and rounds 4 =
to 6 of Nanook Bob Schwark vs. Michigan. For the Nanook's sake, I hope =
he learned something last time.
Eric Carlson
University of Alaska, 1978
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