With the conference post-season tournaments over and the NCAA tournament
almost upon us, it's time to announce the winners of the Pick the
Post-Season Tournament contests. For Contest #1, in which the later rounds
were weighted more than the earlier ones, the overall winner is...
Nathan Hampton
whose 224 points beat runner-up Nick Markham by 10. Congratulations to
Nathan, and we all hail your excellent prognosticating ability, although
our admiration needs to come with a caveat -- and no, not the usual
complaint about luck. More below -- but, well done, Nathan.
As for the individual conference winners...
The ECACH race ended in a tie between William Sangrey and Andy Weise, with
53 points each. William took the title on the first tiebreaker, as his
predicted score was one point closer than Andy's.
First place in Hockey East somehow went to me, with 34 points.
The CCHA race also went my way, with a total of 63 points. Yes, I checked
the spreadsheet again.
No human could figure out what the heck was going on in the WCHA playoffs,
and in fact none did; the WCHA was won by the CHODR rating, with 34 points.
The closest human prognosticator was Nick Markham, with 30 points.
Jim Dixon's 52 points were good for the top spot in Atlantic Hockey.
From last week's update, Troy D. Mills won the CHA in a tiebreaker with 34
points.
One scoring note: Having had to deal with a tied consolation game last
week for the first time since I started this contest, it makes perfect
sense that another one (the ECACH) ended in a tie this week. The ECACH
elected to hold a shoot-out after the overtime to settle third place, but
since the NCAA ignores shoot-out results, and since St. Lawrence coach Joe
Marsh (whose team won the shoot-out) referred to it as "preposterous" --
not to mention bull-something -- well, that's good enough for me. So,
anyone who picked St. Lawrence or Princeton to win the ECACH consolation
was awarded 2 points.
Complete scoring results are below. Congratulations to all the winners,
and thanks again to all those who participated.
Tiebreaker notes: The first tiebreaker was the difference between your
predicted championship-game score and the actual score. Thus, if you
picked the score of the ECAC championship game (actually -- gag -- 5-0) to
be 4-1, you would get two points; if you picked 1-0, you would get four
points; and if you picked 6-4, you would get five points. Obviously, the
lower the point score the better.
The second tiebreaker was the difference between your predicted total of
goals scored in the entire tournament and the actual number. Again, the
lower the point total the better.
As far as tiebreakers that were actually needed:
For the ECACH, as mentioned, the championship game score was 5-0 (enough
already!).
For the CHA (from last week), the championship game score was 3-2.
The USCHO prognosticators' numbers are included below, as are the "Higher
Seed" picks showing what would have happened if the higher seed for each
game had been picked to win. I believe this is the first time this has
happened since I've been doing this contest, but the Higher Seed strategy
would have been a winning one; anyone following it would have picked up a
contest-winning 232 points.
OVERALL
NAME TOTAL
Nathan Hampton 224
Nick Markham 214
Craig Knowles 213
Bill Fenwick 202
Charlie Shub 197
CHODR 191
Robin Lock 186
Troy D. Mills 185
Mike Larson 180
Craig Roberts 178
Mark Lewin 177
William Sangrey 177
Tony Buffa 172
Scott Kaplan 170
William Groskreutz 166
Jim Dixon 161
* Andy Weise 129
* Bob Fitta 118
* John Edwards 53
USCHO 222
Higher Seed 236
* Did not submit picks for all conferences
ECAC Tiebreaker 1 Hockey East
NAME TOTAL Score Pts NAME TOTAL
William Sangrey 53 4-2 3 Bill Fenwick 34
Andy Weise 53 3-2 4 William Groskreutz 33
Nathan Hampton 51 Nathan Hampton 33
Nick Markham 47 Robin Lock 33
Craig Knowles 39 Scott Kaplan 33
Mike Larson 39 Jim Dixon 31
William Groskreutz 38 Nick Markham 30
Troy D. Mills 36 CHODR 30
Robin Lock 35 Charlie Shub 30
Craig Roberts 30 Mike Larson 30
Tony Buffa 30 Mark Lewin 30
Charlie Shub 28 Tony Buffa 20
Mark Lewin 26 Craig Knowles 17
Bob Fitta 24 William Sangrey 14
Scott Kaplan 23 Troy D. Mills 14
Jim Dixon 22 Craig Roberts 10
CHODR 20 John Edwards 9
Bill Fenwick 19
USCHO 41
USCHO 41 Higher Seed 30
Higher Seed 53
CCHA WCHA
NAME TOTAL NAME TOTAL
Bill Fenwick 63 CHODR 34
Charlie Shub 57 Nick Markham 30
Craig Roberts 55 Craig Knowles 28
Mark Lewin 55 Scott Kaplan 25
Andy Weise 55 Bill Fenwick 25
Troy D. Mills 55 Nathan Hampton 23
Bob Fitta 53 John Edwards 20
Craig Knowles 53 Craig Roberts 19
Nathan Hampton 45 Troy D. Mills 18
Robin Lock 41 William Sangrey 16
Scott Kaplan 40 Robin Lock 15
Nick Markham 39 Charlie Shub 15
CHODR 39 William Groskreutz 15
Tony Buffa 37 Jim Dixon 14
Mike Larson 35 Mark Lewin 12
William Sangrey 34 Mike Larson 11
William Groskreutz 24 Tony Buffa 11
Jim Dixon 18
USCHO 23
USCHO 59 Higher Seed 28
Higher Seed 58
Atlantic Hockey
NAME TOTAL
Jim Dixon 52
Nathan Hampton 48
Nick Markham 44
CHODR 44
Craig Knowles 42
Charlie Shub 41
Bob Fitta 41
Craig Roberts 40
Tony Buffa 40
Mike Larson 39
Scott Kaplan 39
William Sangrey 36
Robin Lock 36
William Groskreutz 30
Troy D. Mills 28
Bill Fenwick 27
Andy Weise 21
Mark Lewin 20
USCHO 32
Higher Seed 43
Bill Fenwick
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