Quinnipiac has sunk to 15th in the Ratings Percentage Index Calculation
They rank 5th in winning percentage, but they are playing a weak schedule
ranking next to last. Only Iona has a worse opponents winning percentage.
They are also in the bottom 6 in terms of opponents strength of schedule.
They do better in the Pairwise, ranking 7th of 26, but those numbers seem
to be misleading...
they have a total of 6 wins (out of 8) against teams with a record
of .500 or better, 2 each against connecticut, holy cross, and iona
actually, They are 6 and 2 against the 18th 24th and 26th teams
under consideration and that's a .750 record. It is exceeded only
my maine and North Dakota.
they win the record against common opponents when compared to
niagara, uconn, holy cross, and iona. They lose against colorado
college, denver, and anchorage (i believe the only common opponent
is air force) and they tie against princeton, providence, rpi,
lowell, and colgate.
they have only played 3 teams under consideration and have common
opponents with just a dozen teams under consideration. As such,
about half their comparisons involve only RPI, winning percent in
their last 16 games, and record against teams under consideration.
We already know they have a very weak strength of schedule (next
to last in opponents winning percentage) and we also know they
have a misleadingly high record against teams under consideration.
i've included my calculations (as of this morning) below.
charlie
Estimated NCAA Division 1 Ice Hockey ratings percentage index
based on 663 games played through 02/13/1999
Game scores for this calculation provided by www.uscollegehockey.com
Software to perform the calculation developed by Charlie Shub
Weight 35% 50% 15%
G W L T win% rank opp% rank opp-opp Total
1 North Dakota 28 24- 2- 2 89.29 ( 1) 53.35 ( 7) 52.50 ( 1) 65.80
2 Maine 26 20- 2- 4 84.62 ( 2) 51.69 (17) 52.04 ( 4) 63.27
3 New Hampshire 29 22- 5- 2 79.31 ( 3) 52.98 ( 8) 52.06 ( 3) 62.06
4 Michigan State 29 20- 3- 6 79.31 ( 3) 49.35 (32) 51.18 (11) 60.11
5 Colorado College 30 20- 9- 1 68.33 ( 6) 53.97 ( 5) 51.44 ( 8) 58.62
6 Clarkson 26 16- 9- 1 63.46 (10) 55.86 ( 2) 50.00 (32) 57.64
7 Boston College 30 18-10- 2 63.33 (12) 55.06 ( 3) 52.46 ( 2) 57.57
8 Michigan 30 17- 8- 5 65.00 ( 8) 51.00 (23) 50.33 (25) 55.80
9 St Lawrence 28 17- 9- 2 64.29 ( 9) 50.63 (26) 50.60 (19) 55.40
10 Notre Dame 29 16- 9- 4 62.07 (13) 51.76 (16) 50.85 (16) 55.23
11 Denver 28 15-11- 2 57.14 (17) 53.96 ( 6) 50.30 (27) 54.52
12 Ohio State 33 18-11- 4 60.61 (15) 51.15 (21) 51.06 (15) 54.44
13 Northern Michigan 30 17-10- 3 61.67 (14) 50.32 (27) 50.58 (20) 54.33
14 Princeton 23 15- 7- 1 67.39 ( 7) 45.85 (44) 50.47 (22) 54.08
15 Quinnipiac 19 14- 3- 2 78.95 ( 5) 38.19 (50) 46.42 (45) 53.69
16 Providence 29 16-13- 0 55.17 (19) 51.45 (19) 51.25 (10) 52.72
17 Connecticut 19 10- 7- 2 57.89 (16) 51.14 (22) 41.79 (49) 52.10
18 Rensselaer 26 16- 9- 1 63.46 (10) 44.51 (46) 49.82 (35) 51.94
19 Mass Lowell 29 16-13- 0 55.17 (19) 49.33 (33) 51.52 ( 7) 51.70
20 Minnesota 31 10-15- 6 41.94 (35) 58.05 ( 1) 50.45 (23) 51.27
21 Ferris State 28 13-10- 5 55.36 (18) 48.31 (38) 51.17 (12) 51.21
22 Vermont 25 11-12- 2 48.00 (28) 51.97 (14) 50.32 (26) 50.33
23 Boston University 29 11-15- 3 43.10 (32) 55.06 ( 4) 51.27 ( 9) 50.31
24 Colgate 26 12-10- 4 53.85 (22) 48.04 (39) 49.60 (36) 50.30
25 Cornell 23 10-10- 3 50.00 (23) 50.04 (29) 49.57 (37) 49.96
26 MSU-Mankato 26 10-12- 4 46.15 (31) 52.11 (12) 50.12 (28) 49.73
27 Yale 23 10-11- 2 47.83 (29) 49.95 (30) 49.28 (42) 49.11
28 Wisconsin 29 11-15- 3 43.10 (32) 51.20 (20) 50.00 (31) 48.19
29 Bowling Green 29 12-14- 3 46.55 (30) 48.53 (36) 50.77 (18) 48.17
30 Niagara 19 8- 8- 3 50.00 (23) 45.86 (43) 49.56 (38) 47.86
31 St Cloud 28 12-13- 3 48.21 (27) 46.51 (42) 51.15 (14) 47.80
32 Dartmouth 21 8-12- 1 40.48 (37) 52.19 (11) 49.97 (33) 47.76
33 Harvard 21 8-11- 2 42.86 (34) 48.64 (35) 50.10 (30) 46.83
34 Northeastern 29 9-17- 3 36.21 (39) 51.83 (15) 51.16 (13) 46.26
35 Holy Cross 20 10- 8- 2 55.00 (21) 39.41 (49) 46.27 (46) 45.90
36 Brown 23 7-11- 5 41.30 (36) 48.03 (40) 49.28 (41) 45.86
37 Merrimack 29 10-18- 1 36.21 (39) 50.78 (25) 50.78 (17) 45.68
38 Alaska-Anchorage 29 12-12- 5 50.00 (23) 40.75 (48) 51.57 ( 6) 45.61
39 Canisius 18 5- 9- 4 38.89 (38) 51.53 (18) 41.52 (50) 45.61
40 Mass Amherst 28 8-18- 2 32.14 (43) 52.78 ( 9) 51.86 ( 5) 45.42
41 Miami 30 8-17- 5 35.00 (41) 50.99 (24) 50.10 (29) 45.26
42 Lake Superior 30 8-19- 3 31.67 (44) 52.61 (10) 50.52 (21) 44.97
43 Air Force 16 5-10- 1 34.38 (42) 49.94 (31) 46.19 (48) 43.93
44 Alaska-Fairbanks 28 7-20- 1 26.79 (48) 52.07 (13) 49.42 (40) 42.82
45 Michigan Tech 30 8-21- 1 28.33 (46) 50.11 (28) 49.87 (34) 42.45
46 Western Michigan 29 5-17- 7 29.31 (45) 49.17 (34) 50.38 (24) 42.40
47 Iona 17 8- 8- 1 50.00 (23) 35.70 (51) 46.19 (47) 42.28
48 Minnesota-Duluth 32 7-21- 4 28.12 (47) 47.75 (41) 49.47 (39) 41.14
49 Union 26 3-20- 3 17.31 (49) 48.41 (37) 49.17 (43) 37.64
50 Army 15 2-13- 0 13.33 (50) 45.71 (45) 47.47 (44) 34.64
51 Fairfield 18 0-18- 0 0.00 (51) 43.87 (47) 41.11 (51) 28.10
Average 49.37 49.60 49.65 49.53
Standard Deviation 17.93 4.30 2.51 6.96
range 0.00 35.70 41.11
to 89.29 58.05 52.50
This information is freely available for personal use.
Copyright 1999 Charlie Shub.
Republication without permission is prohibited.
The total is calculated by the Rating Percentage Index method,
used as a tool by the NCAA in selecting teams for national
collegiate tournaments in several sports. Ratings are derived
by summing each team's winning percentage, the average winning
percentage of its opponents, and the average winning percentage
of its opponents' opponents, multiplied by the given weights.
Factors such as importance of game, margin of victory, or home
ice are not included in the calculations.
Estimated NCAA Division 1 Ice Hockey PAIRWISE COMPARISONS
based on 663 games played through 02/13/1999
Game scores for this calculation provided by www.uscollegehockey.com
Software to perform the calculation developed by Charlie Shub
index team games win % last 16 being considered rpi won
----- ---- ----- ----- ------- ---------------- --- ---
1 North Dakota 28 89.29 90.62 (10- 2- 0) 83.33 65.80 25
2 Maine 26 84.62 84.38 (10- 1- 2) 84.62 63.27 24
3 New Hampshire 29 79.31 84.38 (10- 5- 0) 66.67 62.06 23
4 Michigan State 29 79.31 87.50 ( 6- 2- 4) 66.67 60.11 22
5 Colorado College 30 68.33 59.38 ( 4- 6- 1) 40.91 58.62 20
6 Clarkson 26 63.46 78.12 ( 6- 9- 1) 40.62 57.64 20
7 Quinnipiac 19 78.95 75.00 ( 6- 2- 0) 75.00 53.69 18
8 Boston College 30 63.33 59.38 ( 9- 6- 1) 59.38 57.57 16
9 St Lawrence 28 64.29 62.50 ( 6- 7- 1) 46.43 55.40 16
10 Denver 28 57.14 68.75 ( 5- 8- 0) 38.46 54.52 16
11 Michigan 30 65.00 53.12 ( 6- 7- 3) 46.88 55.80 15
12 Princeton 23 67.39 62.50 ( 5- 3- 0) 62.50 54.08 15
13 Ohio State 33 60.61 68.75 ( 9- 6- 3) 58.33 54.44 14
14 Notre Dame 29 62.07 50.00 ( 4- 7- 4) 40.00 55.23 12
15 Northern Michigan 30 61.67 59.38 ( 5- 8- 2) 40.00 54.33 11
16 Providence 29 55.17 62.50 ( 5- 8- 0) 38.46 52.72 10
17 Niagara 19 50.00 53.12 ( 6- 2- 1) 72.22 47.86 9
18 Connecticut 19 57.89 50.00 ( 6- 5- 1) 54.17 52.10 8
19 Rensselaer 26 63.46 65.62 ( 2- 7- 1) 25.00 51.94 8
20 Mass Lowell 29 55.17 62.50 ( 4- 9- 0) 30.77 51.70 7
21 Ferris State 28 55.36 46.88 ( 6- 7- 0) 46.15 51.21 5
22 Colgate 26 53.85 43.75 ( 3- 6- 3) 37.50 50.30 4
23 Cornell 23 50.00 40.62 ( 3- 5- 3) 40.91 49.96 3
24 Holy Cross 20 55.00 56.25 ( 4- 5- 0) 44.44 45.90 3
25 Alaska-Anchorage 29 50.00 62.50 ( 2- 4- 0) 33.33 45.61 1
26 Iona 17 50.00 53.12 ( 1- 6- 1) 18.75 42.28 0
Teams can earn points for each of the following criteria:
1. Head to head Competition (one point per game)
2. Record against common opponents
3. Record against teams under consideration
4. Record in last 16 games
5. Ratings percentage index
The record in the last 16 games, the record against teams
under consideration, the ratings percentage index, and
the number of pairwise comparisons won are listed above.
(for individual comparisons, subtract head to head record
from the overall 'being considered' record given above.)
The Ratings percentage index is used as a tiebreaker.
Summaries of head to head competition results, record
against common opponents, and overall pairwise
comparisons are given in 3 tables below.
Head To Head (row team wins over column team)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 total
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -----
1 North Dakota 3 2 4 1 10
2 Maine 2 2 1 3 2 10
3 New Hampshire 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 10
4 Michigan State 1 1 1 3 6
5 Colorado College 1 1 2 4
6 Clarkson 1 1 2 1 1 6
7 Quinnipiac 2 2 2 6
8 Boston College 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 9
9 St Lawrence 1 2 1 2 6
10 Denver 1 1 1 2 5
11 Michigan 1 1 1 1 2 6
12 Princeton 1 1 1 1 1 5
13 Ohio State 1 2 2 2 1 1 9
14 Notre Dame 1 1 1 1 4
15 Northern Michigan 2 1 1 1 5
16 Providence 1 1 2 1 5
17 Niagara 1 1 1 1 1 1 6
18 Connecticut 2 1 3 6
19 Rensselaer 1 1 2
20 Mass Lowell 1 1 1 1 4
21 Ferris State 1 1 2 2 6
22 Colgate 1 1 1 3
23 Cornell 1 1 1 3
24 Holy Cross 3 1 4
25 Alaska-Anchorage 2 2
26 Iona 1 1
Common Opponents ('<' - row wins '^' - column wins 't' - tie)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 North Dakota < < < < < < < < ^ < t ^ < < < < ^ < ^ < < 16 4
2 Maine ^ < ^ < < < < t < < t < < < < < < < 14 2
3 New Hampshire ^ ^ t ^ < < < ^ < < < < t < < < < < < < < 15 4
4 Michigan State ^ < t ^ < ^ < < < ^ < < < < ^ ^ t < t < < 12 6
5 Colorado College ^ ^ < < ^ < < < < < t < ^ t < < < < < t ^ < < 15 5
6 Clarkson ^ ^ ^ < ^ < ^ ^ < < ^ < < < < < ^ < < < 12 8
7 Quinnipiac ^ ^ t t < < t t t < ^ < 4 3
8 Boston College ^ ^ ^ < ^ < < ^ < ^ t < ^ < ^ < < < < < < 12 8
9 St Lawrence ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < 9 12
10 Denver ^ t < ^ ^ < < < < < ^ < ^ t < < < < < < ^ ^ < < 15 7
11 Michigan ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ < ^ t < < < < ^ ^ < ^ < < < 10 9
12 Princeton < ^ ^ < t ^ t < ^ < t < ^ t ^ < t < < < < < < < 13 6
13 Ohio State ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ t ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ < ^ ^ < ^ t < 5 14
14 Notre Dame t t ^ ^ < < ^ < < ^ < ^ < < ^ ^ < < < < < 12 7
15 Northern Michigan < t ^ t ^ < < t ^ t ^ ^ < ^ < t < ^ < < 8 7
16 Providence ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ t ^ < ^ ^ < < ^ ^ < t ^ < < ^ t < ^ 7 14
17 Niagara ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ < ^ ^ < < ^ < ^ ^ < t < ^ ^ < 9 15
18 Connecticut ^ ^ ^ ^ t t ^ t t ^ t < ^ 1 7
19 Rensselaer ^ ^ ^ < ^ t ^ ^ ^ < ^ < < ^ < < t ^ ^ < < < < 10 11
20 Mass Lowell < ^ ^ t ^ ^ t ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ t ^ < t < < < < < < 9 10
21 Ferris State ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ ^ < < 5 16
22 Colgate < ^ ^ t t ^ t ^ ^ < < ^ < ^ < < t t ^ ^ < ^ < < 9 10
23 Cornell ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ t ^ ^ t ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < 5 15
24 Holy Cross ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < 2 13
25 Alaska-Anchorage ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < 4 18
26 Iona ^ ^ < ^ 1 3
Total points ('<' - row wins '^' - column wins)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 North Dakota < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 25 0
2 Maine ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 24 1
3 New Hampshire ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 23 2
4 Michigan State ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 22 3
5 Colorado College ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 20 5
6 Clarkson ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 20 5
7 Quinnipiac ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 18 7
8 Boston College ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ < ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 16 9
9 St Lawrence ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 16 9
10 Denver ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ ^ < < ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < 16 9
11 Michigan ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < ^ < < < < ^ < < < < < < < < < 15 10
12 Princeton ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ < ^ ^ < ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < 15 10
13 Ohio State ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < < < < 14 11
14 Notre Dame ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ < ^ < < ^ < < < < < < ^ < < 12 13
15 Northern Michigan ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < < 11 14
16 Providence ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < < < 10 15
17 Niagara ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ < ^ ^ < ^ ^ < < < < < < 9 16
18 Connecticut ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < < < < 8 17
19 Rensselaer ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ < < < < < < < 8 17
20 Mass Lowell ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ < < < < < < 7 18
21 Ferris State ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < < 5 20
22 Colgate ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < < 4 21
23 Cornell ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < < 3 22
24 Holy Cross ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < < 3 22
25 Alaska-Anchorage ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ < 1 24
26 Iona ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ 0 25
This information is freely available for personal use.
Copyright 1999 Charlie Shub.
Republication without permission is prohibited.
charlie shub University of Colorado at Colorado Springs
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